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Allison Dolan, Javier Ramos, Alex Ouligian, Bianca Tomkoria 1 March 2011 IntroductionAsset Purchase Programs+/- of ProgramsRisk MitigationConclusion
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A monetary policy of central banks that entails buying bonds and other assets in order to inject liquidity to the market. Process: The central bank electronically gives itself a set amount in its own account. Buys bonds and other assets from commercial or investment banks IntroductionAsset Purchase Programs+/- of ProgramsRisk MitigationConclusion
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Similar but distinct from QE Buy sovereign debt Stabilize “dysfunctional” market segments Restore monetary policy transmission mechanisms 3 and 6 month liquidity cycles Liquidity re-absorbed through other ECB operations IntroductionAsset Purchase Programs+/- of ProgramsRisk MitigationConclusion
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Used when interest rates are near zero When the central bank is willing to risk inflation When additional liquidity is needed, i.e. to prevent a liquidity trap IntroductionAsset Purchase Programs+/- of ProgramsRisk MitigationConclusion
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Used by the major central banks during the 2007-2010 Financial Crisis May 2010 – Securities Asset Programme 2007 – US Fed Quantitative Easing IntroductionAsset Purchase Programs+/- of ProgramsRisk MitigationConclusion
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IMF: QE increased the stability of international financial markets during the 2007-2010 Financial Crisis Restore some confidence in financial sector IntroductionAsset Purchase Programs+/- of ProgramsRisk MitigationConclusion
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ECB balance sheet is more risky in the case of Euro member default Banks and other institutions don’t circulate the newly acquired cash Banks invest their cash overseas or in speculative markets Prolonged low interest rates may lead to financial bubbles in the future Decreases fiscal agility of ECB in other areas Quantitative Easing SMP Possible inflation risks, especially if GDP growth does not keep up with the new issuance of debt Banks and other institutions don’t circulate the newly acquired cash Banks invest their cash overseas or in speculative markets Prolonged low interest rates may lead to financial bubbles in the future IntroductionAsset Purchase Programs+/- of ProgramsRisk MitigationConclusion
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Escaping inflation… Ability to buy cheap imported goods ▪ Eurozone might not be in the best position to do this because much of member states’ imports are from other members When liquidity goes toward creating an asset bubble IntroductionAsset Purchase Programs+/- of ProgramsRisk MitigationConclusion
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Balance sheet has to be seen from a central bank perspective Preventing future crises and stabilizing markets may involve a more united fiscal policy Balance sheet has to be seen from a central bank perspective Preventing future crises and stabilizing markets may involve a more united fiscal policy German central bank and government are very much opposed to this idea "What Spain advocates is that if we have a single currency, it's not enough just to have a central bank, a single central bank. It's not enough to have a single monetary policy. We also need to have a common economic policy" IntroductionAsset Purchase Programs+/- of ProgramsRisk MitigationConclusion
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IntroductionAsset Purchase Programs+/- of ProgramsRisk MitigationConclusion
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Asset purchase programs have become an important tool for central banks for controlling more complex economies 12 – 18 month window to see inflationary effects Don’t have much empirical evidence for the effects of these types of programs ▪ Japan in the 90s only strong case IntroductionAsset Purchase Programs+/- of ProgramsRisk MitigationConclusion
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And now, a lesson from South Park… How things REALLY get decided at the Fed...
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Chu, Dian L. From Quantitative Easing to Stagflation? The Market Oracle, 2010.. November 02, 2010. Conway, Edmund. Policy of 'printing’ money is still not yielding results. The Telegraph, 2009.. May 07, 2009. Eurostat Eurozone Annual Inflation.. February 28, 2011. Inman, Philli. ECB tries to calm markets by promising unlimited liquidity. Guardian, 2010.. December 2, 2010. Iyer, Raman. Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero. 2011. Top News Law.. January 31, 2011. Sharma, Shalini. Angela Merkel. 2009. Top News.. January 13, 2009. Sharma IntroductionAsset Purchase Programs+/- of ProgramsRisk MitigationConclusion
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