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Vehicle routing using remote asset monitoring: a case study with Oxfam Fraser McLeod, Tom Cherrett (Transport) Güneş Erdoğan, Tolga Bektas (Management) OR54, Edinburgh, 4-6 Sept 2012 1
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Background www.oxfam.org.uk/shop
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Donation banks Oxfam bank sites in England
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Case study area 4
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5 Remote monitoring sensors
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6 Remote monitoring data
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Problem summary (requirements) Visit shops on fixed days Visit banks before they become full Routes required Monday to Friday each week Start/end vehicle depot Single trips each day (i.e. no drop-offs) 7
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Problem summary (constraints) Heterogeneous vehicle fleet –1 x 1400kg (transit van) –3 x 2500kg (7.5T lorry) Driving/working time constraints Time windows for shops 8
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Objectives Maximise profit (£X per kg – £1.50 per mile) –where X = f(site) (e.g. 80p/kg from banks; 50p/kg from shops) Avoid banks overfilling –prevents further donations (= lost profit) –upsets site owners –health and safety 9
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Data (locations, time, distance) Postcodes for 88 sites: –1 depot –37 bank sites –50 shops Driving distances/times between 3828 (= 88x87/2) pairs of postcodes –Commercial software –Times calibrated using recorded driving times 10
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Data (demand) Weights collected from shops and banks (April 2011 to May 2012) Remote monitoring data (from July 2012) Shop demand = average accumulation rate x no. of days since last collection Bank demand – randomly generated 11
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Assumptions (bank demand) Demand at bank i, day j = X i,j = max(X i,j-1 + d i,j-1, bank capacity) where d = donations = Y i,j.Z i,j Y = Bernoulli (P = probability of donation) Z = N( = amount donated mean daily donation amount, excluding days where no donations are made estimated from collection data bounded by [0, bank capacity] 12
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Assumptions (collection time) Collection time = f(site, weight) = a i + b i x i 13
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Solution approach Look ahead period = 1 day (tomorrow) Minimum percentage level to be collected –(50% and 70% considered) Overfilling penalty (applied to banks not collected from) –fill limit (%) (75% and 95% considered) –financial penalty (£/kg) (£10/kg considered) 14
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Solution approach Tabu search –Step 1 (Initialization) –Step 2 (Stopping condition): iteration limit –Step 3 (Local search): addition, removal and swap –Step 4 (Best solution update) –Step 5 (Tabu list update) –Go to Step 2 15
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Results / KPIs 20 consecutive working days 3 random starting seeds Performance indicators –# bank visits –profit –distance –time –weight collected and lost donations 16
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Results (# bank visits) 17 Probability of donation Penalty fill level
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Profit 18
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Distance 19
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Time 20
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Weight 21
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Conclusions & Discussion Bank visits could be substantially reduced But benefits are limited by the requirement to keep shop collections fixed Can we improve our modelling approach? 22
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