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Friday Talk: Financial crisis Course in spring on financial crisis Chapter 11 &12 Regulation & Industry Structure Links: Marginal Revolution ▪ http://www.marginalrevolution.com/ http://www.marginalrevolution.com/
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Safety and soundness regulation Entry, branching, network, and mergers ▪ Chapter 12 Deposit insurance Deposit interest ceilings Portfolio restrictions, including reserve requirements Capital requirements Regulatory monitoring and supervision 1-2
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Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.11-3
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Source: www.fdic.gov/bank/historical/bank/index.html.
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11-5 A story of Changing financial conditions ▪ See marginal revolution link Deregulation Reregulation
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Declining profitability of traditional business High interest rate environment ▪ Cost of funds increase, but long term loans on books Regulatory relief Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act ▪ Rate ceilings abolished (both lending and deposit) ▪ Increased deposit insurance ▪ Entry to new businesses allowed Copyright © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.1-6
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11-7 Managers did not have expertise in managing risk Rapid growth in new lending, real estate in particular Activities expanded in scope; regulators at FSLIC did not have expertise or resources High interest rates and recession increased incentives for moral hazard
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11-8 Regulatory forbearance by FSLIC Insufficient funds to close insolvent S&Ls Established to encourage growth Did not want to admit agency was in trouble Zombie S&Ls taking on high risk projects Attract business from healthy S&Ls Losses amount to $150 billion
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11-9 Regulatory apparatus restructured Federal Home Loan Bank Board relegated to the OTS FSLIC given to the FDIC RTC established to manage and resolve insolvent thrifts Re-restricted asset choices
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FDIC went broke Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Improvement Act of 1991 Recapitalize the Bank Insurance Fund ▪ Increase ability to borrow from the Treasury ▪ Higher deposit insurance premiums Reform the deposit insurance and regulatory system to minimize taxpayer losses Prompt corrective action provisions ▪ Classification scheme 1-5, category 3 must have corrective action plan ▪ Category 5 - weakest banks must be closed by FDIC ▪ equity< 2% of assets receivership within 90 days Risk-based insurance premiums ▪ Later led to CDS market
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Preserve independence of regulator by eliminating discretion Discretion creates opportunities for corruption or capture Eliminate ‘zombies’ with prolonged capital inadequacy Zombies likely to create additional harms (by taking on more risky deals) Either bank or regulator must add capital 10-11
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