Download presentation
Presentation is loading. Please wait.
Published byHester Daniel Modified over 9 years ago
1
Economic Outlook March 2012 Economic Policy Division
2
Real GDP Outlook
3
U.S. GDP Actual and Potential Quarterly, Q1 1970 to Q4 2011 Real GDP Trillion 2005 Dollars Log Scale $5.2- $11.5- $7.7- $4.2- $14.0- $9.4- $6.3- Forecast
4
Real Personal Consumption Expenditures Real Disposable Income Per Capita Household Wealth Personal Consumption Outlook
5
Consumer Debt Service Household Liabilities Household Assets Household Balance Sheet
6
Net National Savings Net National Savings Rate Savings Components
7
Housing Market Trends Housing Starts Median Home Prices Housing Inventory Home Sales
8
Housing Market Trends Mortgage Delinquency Rates Mortgage Foreclosure Rates Housing Affordability Index
9
Investment Real Private Investment in Equipment & Software Real Private Investment - Structures Real Change in Private Inventories
10
Sector Indicators ATA Truck Tonnage Index Total Rail Carloadings Boxboard Production
11
U.S. Trade Real Net Exports of Goods and Services U.S. Nominal Trade Weighted Exchange Rate
12
Labor Market Total Nonfarm Jobs Initial Unemployment Claims Unemployment Rate January: 8.3 percent Household Employment
13
Civilian Participation Rate Duration of Unemployment Part-time for Economic Reasons Discouraged Workers Labor Market
14
Labor Participation Rates (by age class, population shares) 16%
15
Inflation Consumer Price Index Core Consumer Price Index
16
Spot Market Price Index: All Commodities Spot Market Price Index: Metals
17
Interest Rates & Spreads Risk Spread Moody's Seasoned Baa Corporate Bond Yield Minus Moody's Seasoned Aaa Corporate Bond Yield 10-Year Treasury Note Yield 3-Month Treasury Note Yield TED Spread 3-Month LIBOR Minus 3- Month Treasury
18
Fed Policy Bank Assets and Liabilities
19
Delinquency Rates at Commercial Banks Consumer Credit Outstanding Domestic Bank Lending Home Equity Loans
20
Deficit to GDP CBO’s Baseline Deficit (January 2012)
21
Alternative Deficit Forecasts Forecast Budget Deficit Forecast
22
Government Baseline Debt (CBO’s Baseline – January 2012)
23
Alternative Debt Forecasts Forecast
24
Government Revenues and Outlays ( percent of GDP) Source: CBO Baseline (January 2012)
Similar presentations
© 2024 SlidePlayer.com. Inc.
All rights reserved.