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1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007
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2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents
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3 1. 1H07 Overview
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4 Highlights CONSTANT MILLION PESOS Performing Loan Growth Past Due Loan Ratio Reserve Coverage Net Income ROE Stock Price EPS P/BV Net Interest Margin Tax Rate 1H071H06 25%28% 0.750.83 1.6% 174% 1.5% 141% 12% 36%35% 2,938 12% 3,292 26%24% 26.25 89% 49.58 7.6%7.3% 2.21 55% 3.42
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5 Income Statement CONSTANT MILLION PESOS Net Interest Income Service Fees Recovery FX & Trading Non Interest Income Total Income Non Interest Expense Net Operating Income Non Operating Income (Expense) Net Income Tax Net Income Provisions Subsidiaries and Minority Interest 1H06 Change1H07 11%7,8437,069 10% (51%) (7%) (3%) 2,760 288 883 3,932 2,519 587 947 4,054 6%6% 8%8% 11,775 (6,792) 11,123 (6,288) 3%3% 1,462% 18% 12% 18% (70%) 4,983 931 (1,742) 3,292 (987) 108 4,835 60 (1,472) 2,938 (839) 354
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6 Recurring Net Income 635 2Q04 1,345 2Q05 1,521 2Q06 CONSTANT MILLION PESOS 1,325 1Q07 1,675 2Q07 1,617 2,196 851 292 Recurring Non Recurring
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7 Non Interest Expense CONSTANT BILLION PESOS EFFICIENCY RATIO Non Interest Expense 1H06 6.3 1H07 6.8 8% 57% 1H05 56% 1H06 57% 1H07 54% New Accounting Standards + Expansion Program 300bp
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8 Net Interest Margin vs CETES PERCENTAGE 106% CETES NIM 8.1 9.0 9.7 9.5 8.6 7.6 7.0 6.2 7.3 8.5 8.3 8.5 7.5 7.1 7.0 7.7 8.0 7.9 77% 7.5 7.1 1Q074Q041Q052Q053Q054Q051Q062Q063Q064Q062Q07 Average CETE : 1H05: 9.34% 1H06:7.36% 1H07:7.09%
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9 Core Deposits CONSTANT BILLION PESOS Mix Demand Time Demand Time Total Deposits2Q052Q072Q06 98 58 156 83 46 128 71 40 111 22%16% 9%12%10% YoY Change w/o INB 18% 28% 17% 14% 63% 37% 100% 64% 36% 100% 64% 36% 100%
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10 CONSTANT BILLION PESOS Performing Loan Portfolio 2Q061Q072Q07 QoQ Change YoY Commercial Corporate Government Total Consumer 2Q061Q072Q07 128 150 163 5%35% 19%36% 13%25% 9%28% 8%17% 63 30 17 163 54 60 25 15 150 50 46 22 13 128 46 YoY w/o Extras 26%19%28%
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11 Performing Consumer Loan Portfolio CONSTANT BILLION PESOS QoQ Change YoY 2Q061Q072Q07 46 50 54 3%5% 10%45% 10%26% 8%17% 8%11% 12 26% YoY Change w/o Extras 25% Consumer Car Loans Credit Card Payroll Loans Mortgage 2Q061Q072Q07 7 6 54 30 6 10 5 50 28 6 8 4 46 27
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12 Asset Quality Past Due Loans Loan Loss Reserves 2Q061Q072Q07 RESERVE COVERAGE PAST DUE LOAN RATIO 2Q061Q072Q072Q061Q072Q07 Total Loan Portfolio CONSTANT BILLION PESOS 2.0 3.6 141% 174% 149% 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 132 2.2 3.3 154 2.5 3.5 168
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13 Capitalization Ratio Tier 1 Tier 2 TOTAL 2Q052Q062Q07 Percentage Tier 1 10.9% 4.3% 15.2% 72% 14.0% 3.3% 17.3% 81% 12.7% 2.6% 15.2% 83% PERCENTAGE
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14 Net Income 1H05 362 1H06 406 1H07 313 CONSTANT MILLION PESOS 46 39 30 19 25 32 2Q032Q042Q05 Banorte IPAB 65 63 62 4 55 2Q06 59 2 55 2Q07 57 ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT CONSTANT BILLION PESOS Assets 6.2 Portfolio 49.0 Total: 56.5 Investment Projects 1.3 ASSET BREAKDOWN 2Q07 CONSTANT BILLION PESOS Recovery Bank
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15 AFOREINSURANCEANNUITIES LONG TERM SAVINGS 248 408 1H051H06 250 1H07 82 45 1H051H06 33 1H07 26 256 1H051H06 143 1H07 140 108 1H051H06 74 1H07 ROE: 13% ROE: 84% ROE: 19% Long Term Savings NET INCOME IN CONSTANT MILLION PESOS
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16 BROKERAGE HOUSE OTHER FINANCE COMPANIES 46 77 1H051H06 122 1H07 102 130 1H051H06 144 1H07 NET INCOME IN CONSTANT MILLION PESOS ROE: 32% ROE: 25% Subsidiaries
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17 CONSTANT MILLION DOLLARS INB Results Net Interest Margin4.7% 1H07 4.5% Performing Loan Portfolio721922 28% Deposits9771,280 31% Efficiency43.5%41.3% 1H06 ROE20.8%23.7% ROA1.8% Net Income (Banorte’s 70%)7.08.8 25%
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18 Commissions and fees: +11%. International services, remittances and letters of credit. Banorte Securities. Operating Income: +32%; Net Income: +70%. Branch referrals. US $40 million. 2,672 accounts. Cross border mortgages. Origination: US $39 million in 1H07; US $80 million expected in ’07. Banorte USA Developments
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19 2. Stock Metrics
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20 2004 - 2007 Stock Performance Bolsa: 334 Banorte: 478
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21 MILLION DOLLARS 1,792 1,420 2Q032Q04 3,365 2Q05 CAGR 60% 4,660 2Q06 9,209 2Q07 Market Capitalization 8,478 Aug-07
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22 1H031H04 2.0 5.4 1H05 7.2 1H06 14.9 CAGR 78% 1H07 20.2 MILLION DOLLARS Daily Turnover
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23 3. Final Considerations
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24 Final Considerations Profitability. Average NIM of 7.5% during the year. Consensus Net Income for ’07e: Ps $6.7 – $6.8 billion. Branch Expansion Program. Total: 70 in 2007. 52 new branches in ’07 (29 originally planned) and 50 in ‘08. 18 refurbishments and relocations in ’07 and 18 in ‘08. Planned investment of US $30 million remains unaltered. Asset Quality. Seasoning of the credit card portfolio. Provisions: 1.5% of the average loan portfolio during the year.
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