1. The Severn Estuary and Climate Change 1st Severn Estuary Forum 8th June 2006. Dr Roger Wade Environment Agency Wales.

2. My talk…... Direct Impacts of climate change –Flood Risk Management/ Coastal erosion –Habitats –Water resources Indirect impacts –Renewable energy resource –Aggregates (new build) –Leisure.

3. The changes….

4. Damage from Flooding- 2080 at 700ppm CO2 and 550ppm CO2.

5. Coastal Erosion-High Emissions 2080.

6. fisheries

7. Changes in bird numbers

8. What is in or out? Ten year trends % Dunlin-23 Bewick Swan-75 Whooper Swan22 Shellduck-59 Redshank-1 Gadwall82

9. Water resources- Lower Summer flows? Salt ingress Dredging costs Oxygen depletion Salmon Migration

10. Renewable Energy- Barrage ???

11. Aggregates dredging Domestic energy reduction = new houses= aggregates Welsh demand largely from Bristol Channel Possible erosion to beaches and cliffs Further pressure inland

12. Warmer- good for holidays?