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THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.
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Investment Competition Economic Data Buy or Sell Stocks? Glencore/Xstrata Merger M&A in mining
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Top 5 portfolio balances will be awarded
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1 st Place Philczech22 $300 towards BestBuy
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Bdass020 Google TV
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Possible 4 th & 5 th place prizes
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Europe U.S. China/Asia
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No Fiscal Union High Debt/Low Growth Most EU Economies Are Not Competitive EU needs a new Constitution Some countries like Greece might have to leave Less Gov’t interference in economy
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Black Rock CEO suggests investing 100% in Stocks World’s Largest Money Manager: Over $3.5 Trillion in Assets Very Bullish Call
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Be 100% in stocks: BlackRock’s CEO Wed Feb 8th 2012 | 12:00 PM ET
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BlackRock very Bullish Many traders/investors have taken profits off the table 20% since October lows Cautious, possible negative surprise (Europe?) Other traders still 75%-80% in stocks Sold “high beta stocks,” staying in low beta Traders believe more liquidity coming into the market from central banks later this year
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Glencore-Xstrata Merger: $90 billion deal, largest mining M&A deal ever
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World’s largest commodity trader 50% of business is commodity trading (Metals, Energy & Agriculture) 50% mining: copper, coal, zinc, aluminum etc One of the world’s largest private companies before IPO Very secretive company, employee owned 2010 Revenue: $145 billion Xstrata’s largest shareholder, 35% stake Ticker: GLEN on LSE or GLCNF on Pink Sheets
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4 th largest mining company in the world Market Cap: $70 billion Bought Canadian copper & nickel producer Falconbridge in 2006 Great management, low cost producer World’s largest exporter of coal 4 th largest copper producer in the world Copper was 50% of 2010 operating profit, and coal 29%, nickel, zinc, & alloys 21% Trades on the LSE ticker: XTA Pink sheets ticker (XSRAF) & (XSRAY)
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Merger will create a mining power house that will rival BHP Billition, Vale, Rio Tinto
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Glencore-Xstrata Deal creates full integration along the commodity value chain
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Glencore Deal Leading to Copper Inflation? Mon Feb 6th 2012 | 12:00 PM ET
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Global Commodity Supply in Fewer Hands Now
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Glencore-Xstrata deal means global commodities are now in fewer hands More pricing power for the producers Allows producers to have a stronger ability to put a floor in commodity prices such as iron ore, copper, and coal Very bad for the consumer Good for Investors!
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Will Glencore’s Merger Prompt Other Takeover Bids? Tues Feb 7th 2012 | 4:00 PM ET
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Glencore-Xstrata deal likely to spark more M&A/consolidation in the mining industry BHP, VALE, RIO might go for FCX, CLF, AA The big will continue to get bigger, too expensive for small players to expand/develop new mines
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