Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Capital Markets Overview Dennis Williams Managing Director NorthMarq Capital May 2011.

Similar presentations


Presentation on theme: "Capital Markets Overview Dennis Williams Managing Director NorthMarq Capital May 2011."— Presentation transcript:

1 Capital Markets Overview Dennis Williams Managing Director NorthMarq Capital May 2011

2 Key Themes of 2011 2011 ushered in the rebirth of the life insurance companies, banks and the return of new CMBS issuance. – Underwriting more aggressive and “strike zone” widening Conduit collateral performance still declining. – Total delinquency rate 9.4% as of Q-1 2011 New underwriting standards and projected loan volumes are still not sufficient to rollover debt maturities. CRE fundamentals are slowly improving, but weak across most major property segments and markets.

3 Banks Hold Largest Share of CRE Loans 44% of commercial real estate loans are held on bank balance sheets. CMBS accounts for 21% of the $3.4 trillion commercial real estate market

4 CMBS Market: Maturities Through 2017

5 Commercial Mortgage Delinquency Rates by Lender Type Sources: Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Morgan Stanley Research CMBS: 9.4%; Life Companies: 0.5% Fannie Mae: 0.62%; Freddie Mac: 0.12%; Banks and Thrifts: 3.6%

6 A New World: Commercial Mortgage Underwriting 2007 to Present 2007 Underwriting2009 Underwriting2011 Underwriting NOI$5,000,000 Purchase Price$100,000,000$62,500,000$74,100,000 Lender Cap Rate5.00%8.00%6.75% Loan to Value80%55%70% Loan Amount$80,000,000$34,375,000$51,870,000 Equity$20,000,000$28,125,000$22,230,000 Interest Rate5.70%8.00%5.00% AmortizationI/O30 Debt Service$4,560,000$3,026,800$3,341,400 Debt Service Coverage1.10x1.65x1.50x

7 Looking Ahead : 1.Agencies Remain Reliable: –Rates and terms remain attractive, but underwriting guidelines penalize properties showing any weakness 2.Rebirth of Life Companies: –In 2009, 60% of Life Co’s said they were “in the market” –In 2011, 95% are “in business” with allocation goals indicating at least $50 billion in originations 3.CMBS Returns: –Rates in the high 4’s to mid 5’s, up to 75% LTV, all major property types 4.Underwriting: –Rents to lesser of actual or market –Lender-imposed minimum vacancy by property type/market –Special attention to rollover (reserves or cash flow sweeps) –LTV: 65-75% on real cap rate –DSC: 1.25x–1.40x


Download ppt "Capital Markets Overview Dennis Williams Managing Director NorthMarq Capital May 2011."

Similar presentations


Ads by Google