1. Employment Outlook: 2000-2010  National employment projections http://www.bls.gov/emp  State projections http://almis.dws.state.ut.us/occ/projhome.asp

2. Employment Outlook: 2000-2010  Labor force Economic growth Industry employment Occupational employment

3. Number of live births, 1920-2000 Babyboomers Millions

4. Population growth rates Annual rates of change Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics projected

5. Growth rates of the civilian labor force, ages 16 and older Annual rates of change Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics projected

6. Population, projected 2010 Millions Men Women 12 10 86 8644220 0 85+ 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-59 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 Age Source: Bureau of the Census

7. Women’s labor force participation rates will continue to rise Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Percent, 1950-2000 and projected 2000-2010 Total Men Women

8. Labor force growth rates of minorities will outpace that of whites Percent change, projected 2000-2010 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

9. Employment Outlook: 2000-2010 Labor force  Economic growth Industry employment Occupational employment

10. The 2000-2010 projections assume a 3.4 percent real GDP growth rate Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Percent projected

11. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Percent The 2000-2010 projections assume a 2.4 percent labor productivity growth rate projected

12. Annualized growth rates in productivity during recessions Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Percent 1953-541957-581960-611969-701973-75 1980 1981-82 1990-91 2001

13. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Percent The 2000-2010 projections assume a 4 percent unemployment rate assumed

14. Gross Private Domestic Investment expenditures increased as a share of GDP during the 1990s PCE Imports ExportsInvestmentGovernment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Percent

15. Computer equipment’s and software’s rising share of Gross Private Domestic Investment Computer equipmentSoftware Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Percent

16. Employment Outlook: 2000-2010 Labor force Economic growth  Industry employment Occupational employment

17. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Manufacturing and services accounted for nearly half of total output in 2000 Billions of chained 1996 dollars Service Producing Goods Producing

18. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Service Producing Goods Producing Services and retail trade accounted for 43 percent of jobs in 2000 Thousands of nonfarm wage and salary jobs in 2000

19. Output and employment shares of goods-producing industries, 2000 Percent Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

20. Output and employment shares of service-producing industries, 2000 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Percent

21. Services and retail trade account for most job growth Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Thousands of nonfarm wage and salary jobs, projected 2000-2010 Service Producing Goods Producing

22. Projected 2000-2010 employment growth in services is concentrated Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Thousands of nonfarm wage and salary jobs Engineering and management services Total: 12,893 Social services All other services Health services Business services 5,064 1,260 1,225 2,505 2,838

23. Employment Outlook: 2000-2010 Labor force Economic growth Industry employment  Occupational employment

24. Professional and related occupations had the most jobs in 2000 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Millions of jobs

25. All major occupational groups are projected to increase Percent change, projected 2000-2010 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

26. Eight of the fastest growing occupations are computer-related Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Percent change, projected 2000-2010 Computer software engineers, applications Computer support specialists Computer software engineers, systems software Network and computer systems administrators Network systems and data communications analysts Desktop publishers Database administrators Personal and home care aides Computer systems analysts Medical assistants 100

27. Occupations with the most job growth are large or rapidly growing Combined food preparation and serving workers, including fast food Security guards Computer software engineers, applications Customer service representatives Registered nurses Retail salespersons Computer support specialists Cashiers, except gaming Office clerks, general Waiters and waitresses Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Numerical change in thousands, projected 2000-2010 Large Rapidly growing

28. A focus on IT workers and high-tech industries

29. BLS estimates there were 3.3 million IT workers in 2000 using the 2000 Standard Occupational Classification System -Computer and information systems managers -Computer specialists -Computer programmers -Computer scientists and systems analysts -Computer software engineers -Database administrators -Computer support specialists -Network and computer systems administrators -Network systems and data communications analysts -All other computer specialists -Computer hardware engineers

30. IT occupations — managerial Occupation Employment, 2000 (thousands) 1 Employment, 2010 (thousands) 1 Percent change, 2000-10 Annual earnings, 2000 2 Total, all occupations145,594167,75415.2$33,090 Management, business, and financial occupations 15,51917,63513.6 61,890 Management occupations10,56411,83412.0 68,190 Computer and information systems managers 31346347.9 80,250 1 Includes wage & salary, self-employed, and unpaid family workers. 2 Based on OES occupational employment data for wage and salary workers. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

31. IT occupations — professional and related Occupation Employment 2000 (thousands) 1 Employment 2010 (thousands) 1 Percent change 2000-10 Annual earnings 2000 2 Total, all occupations 145,594167,75415.2$33,090 Professional and related occupations 26,75833,70926.0 45,990 Computer programmers 58568016.2 60,970 Computer and information scientists, research 283940.3 73,430 Computer systems analysts 43168959.8 61,210 Computer software engineers, applications 380760100.0 70,300 Computer software engineers, systems software 31760189.8 70,890 1 Includes wage & salary, self-employed, and unpaid family workers. 2 Based on OES occupational employment data for wage and salary workers. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

32. IT occupations — professional and related Occupation Employment, 2000 (thousands) 1 Employment, 2010 (thousands) 1 Percent change, 2000-10 Annual earnings, 2000 2 Total, all occupations145,594167,75415.2$33,090 Professional and related occupations 26,75833,70926.0 45,990 Computer support specialists 50699697.0 39,680 Database administrators 10617665.9 55,810 Network and computer systems administrators 22941681.9 53,690 Network systems and data communications analysts 11921177.5 57,890 All other computer specialists 20332660.7─ 1 Includes wage & salary, self-employed and unpaid family workers. 2 Based on OES occupational employment data for wage and salary workers. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

33. IT occupations — professional and related (cont.) Occupation Employment 2000 (thousands) 1 Employment 2010 (thousands) 1 Percent change 2000-10 Annual earnings 2000 2 Total, all occupations145,594167,75415.2$33,090 Professional and related occupations 26,75833,70926.0 45,990 Engineers1,4651,6039.4─ Computer hardware engineers 607524.9 70,100 1 Includes wage & salary workers, self-employed, and unpaid family workers 2 Based on OES occupational employment data for wage and salary workers. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

34. IT employment estimates differ substantially across different studies Information Technology Association of American (ITAA) U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration (ESA) Office of Technology Policy (OTP) Current Population Survey (CPS)

35. Information Technology Association of America (ITAA) ITAA defines an IT worker according to the eight career clusters established by the National Workforce Center for Emerging Technologies (NWCET).  Database administration and development  Digital media  Enterprise systems analysis and integration  Network design and administration  Programming/Software engineering  Technical support  Technical writing  Web development and administration

36. Information Technology Association of America (ITAA) ITAA estimates of IT employment: 10.4 million IT workers in 2001 9.9 million IT workers in early 2002

37. ITAA and OEP categories ITAA occupation ITAA employment 2002 SOC occupation OEP employment 2000 Database administration and development 960,626Database administrators 106,000 Enterprise Systems Analysis and Integration 1,086,020Computer Systems Analysts 431,000 Technical support 1,751,552Computer support specialists 506,000

38. ITAA and OEP categories ITAA occupationITAA employment 2002 SOC occupationOEP employment 2000 Network Design and Administration 733,473Network and Computer Systems Administrators 229,000 Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts 119,000 Total733,473Total348,000

39. ITAA and OEP categories ITAA occupationITAA employment 2002 SOC occupationOEP employment 2000 Programming/ Software Engineering 2,039,880Computer and Information Scientists, Research 28,000 Computer Programmers 585,000 Computer Software Engineers, Applications 380,000 Computer Software Engineers, Systems Software 317,000 Total2,039,880Total1,310,000

40. ITAA and OEP categories ITAA occupationITAA employment 2002 SOC occupationOEP employment 2000 Technical Writing 530,437Computer and Information Systems Managers 313,000 Web Development and Administration 837,917Computer Hardware Engineers 60,000 Digital Media 655,988 Other1,300,023All other Computer Specialists 203,000 Total3,324,365Total1,310,000

41. U.S. Department of Commerce (Economics and Statistics Administration) ESA defines IT workers as those who design, manufacture, operate, repair, and maintain the IT infrastructure that facilitates e-commerce and other Internet or network-related activities. The ESA divided the IT workforce into two partially overlapping groups— workers in IT-producing industries workers in IT occupations.

42. U.S. Department of Commerce (Economics and Statistics Administration) Workers in IT-producing industries include all occupations, (i.e. sales, marketing, and financial services), in addition to workers in IT occupations. IT-producing industries consist of four major segments: hardware, software and related computer services, communications equipment, and communications services.

43. U.S. Department of Commerce (Economics and Statistics Administration) Workers in IT occupations design, manufacture, operate, maintain, and repair IT products and provide related services across all industries, not just in IT producing industries. The Economics and Statistics Administration selected 30 IT-related jobs from Bureau of Labor Statistics/OES job classification.

44. U.S. Department of Commerce (Economics and Statistics Administration) 2000 ESA estimates: 5.6 million – size of workforce in IT industries 6.7 millions workers in IT related occupations

45. U.S. Department of Commerce (Office of Technology Policy) Defines the core IT workforce as: –computer engineers, –system analysts, –computer programmers, –database administrators, –computer support specialists –all other computer scientists. Based on pre-2000 SOC BLS/OES job classifications. 2.2 million IT workers in 1998

46. 699585 Computer programmers 1,797459Total --- 431 Computer systems analysts --- 28 Computer and information scientists, research CPS Employment, 2000 (thousands) OEP Employment, 2000 (thousands) Occupation Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey

47. High technology defined Industries are considered high tech if employment in R&D and in all technology- oriented occupations accounted for a proportion of employment that was at least twice the average for all industries in the Bureau’s Occupational Employment Statistics survey.

48. High technology defined (cont.) Twenty-nine industries, 25 in manufacturing and 4 in the services division, met both criteria. These industries have at least 6 R&D and 76 total technology-oriented workers per thousand workers. A subset of 10 high-tech industries, those with both ratios at least 5 times the average, is referred to as high-tech intensive industries. These industries have at least 15 R&D and 190 total technology-oriented workers per thousand workers.

49. High technology defined (cont.) High tech intensive industries include computers and other electronics-based industries, aerospace, research laboratories, and drug manufacturing. Other high-tech industries are machinery and motor vehicle manufacturing, chemicals, engineering services, and management consulting.

50. High-tech employment Millions of wage and salary jobs Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 9.1 10.7 14.0

51. High-tech employment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Wage and salary jobs, percent change projected

52. High-tech employment as a percent of total employment Wage and salary jobs Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

53. High-tech services employment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Percent change projected

54. High-tech manufacturing employment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Percent change 1990-2000 2000-2010, projected

55. High-tech, highly defense-related industry employment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Percent change 1990-2000 2000-2010, projected

56. Computer and office equipment manufacturing employment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Percent change 1990-2000 2000-2010, projected

57. Computer and office equipment manufacturing output Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Percent change projected

58. IT employment Total: 3,276 Total: 5,429 Thousands of jobs Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

59. High-tech industries with the most IT jobs Industry Employment 2000 (thousands) Employment, 2010 (thousands) Percent change 2000-10 Computer and data processing services 1,0642,221109 Computer and office equipment9511419 Management and public relations 7212473 Engineering and architectural services 6110267 Research and testing services498265 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

60. Non-high-tech industries with the most IT jobs Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Industry Employment, 2000 (thousands) Employment, 2010 (thousands) Percent change 2000-10 Wholesale trade, other19026439 Education, public and private14020244 Commercial banks, savings institutions, and credit unions 11715533 State government, except education and hospitals 729939 Telephone communications7111053

61. Employment Outlook: 2000-2010 One critical aspect of the analysis of occupational employment trends are the education and training requirements of jobs. The context for any discussion of education is the remarkable trend since the late 1970s in the growing gap between those with more and those with less education

62. The widening spread of the distribution of real earnings of full-time wage and salary workers Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Total, 1989 and 2000

63. Those with more education have gained relative to those with less education since 1979 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Total

64. Change in real 2000 CPI-U median weekly earnings by educational attainment, usual full-time workers, 1992-2000 Percent Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Less than high school High school Some college, no degree Associates degree, vocational Associates degree, educational Bachelor’s degree Advanced degree

65. Change in employment by educational attainment, full-time wage and salary workers, 1992-2000 Percent Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

66. Web sites Occupational Outlook Handbook http://www.bls.gov/oco/ Career Guide to Industries http://www.bls.gov/oco/cg/ Occupational Outlook Quarterly http://www.bls.gov/opub/ooq/ooqhome.htm