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World Blueberry Acreage & Production Fall Preview US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R /21/ :00 PM World Blueberry Acreage.

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Presentation on theme: "World Blueberry Acreage & Production Fall Preview US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R /21/ :00 PM World Blueberry Acreage."— Presentation transcript:

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13 World Blueberry Acreage & Production Fall Preview
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM World Blueberry Acreage & Production Fall Preview Cort Brazelton

14 Traditional Developing US Highbush 2009 Draft 011009
4/21/ :00 PM Traditional Developing

15 US Highbush 2009 Draft 4/21/ :00 PM North America

16 2014 North American Highbush Production North America Region
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM 2014 North American Highbush Production North America Region ≈20% every 2 years Updated 9/22/14

17 2014 North American Highbush Production North America Region
Updated 9/22/14

18 NA Fresh Production by Region 1995 - 2014
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM NA Fresh Production by Region Updated 9/22/14

19 NA Processed Production by Region 1995 - 2014
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM NA Processed Production by Region Updated 9/22/14

20 US Highbush 2009 Draft 4/21/ :00 PM South America

21 2013/14 South American Highbush Production
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM 2013/14 South American Highbush Production 119 m lbs. ~ Updated 9/22/14

22 2013/14 South American Highbush Production
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM 2013/14 South American Highbush Production Updated 9/22/14

23 2013/14 South America Fresh Production
Updated 9/22/14

24 US Highbush 2009 Draft 4/21/ :00 PM Europe

25 2014 European Highbush Production
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM 2014 European Highbush Production Updated 9/22/14

26 2014 European Highbush Production
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM 2014 European Highbush Production Updated 9/22/14

27 Mediterranean & North Africa
US Highbush 2009 Draft 4/21/ :00 PM Mediterranean & North Africa

28 2014 Mediterranean & North Africa Highbush Production
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM 2014 Mediterranean & North Africa Highbush Production Updated 9/22/14

29 2014 Mediterranean & North Africa Highbush Production
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM 2014 Mediterranean & North Africa Highbush Production Updated 9/22/14

30 US Highbush 2009 Draft 4/21/ :00 PM Southern Africa

31 2014 Southern Africa Highbush Production
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM 2014 Southern Africa Highbush Production Updated 9/22/14

32 2014 Southern Africa Highbush Production
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM 2014 Southern Africa Highbush Production Updated 9/22/14

33 US Highbush 2009 Draft 4/21/ :00 PM Asia & Pacific

34 2014 Asia & Pacific Highbush Production Asia
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM 2014 Asia & Pacific Highbush Production Asia Updated 1/20/13

35 2014 Asia & Pacific Highbush Production Asia
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM 2014 Asia & Pacific Highbush Production Asia Updated 1/20/13

36 2014 Asia & Pacific Highbush Production Pacific
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM 2014 Asia & Pacific Highbush Production Pacific Updated 1/23/13

37 2014 Asia & Pacific Highbush Production Pacific
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM 2014 Asia & Pacific Highbush Production Pacific Fixed Y-axis 2/10/13

38 2014 Asia & Pacific Highbush Production
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM 2014 Asia & Pacific Highbush Production ~2x? Updated 1/23/13

39 2014 Asia & Pacific Highbush Production
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM 2014 Asia & Pacific Highbush Production Updated 1/23/13

40 US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 011211
4/21/ :00 PM World

41 2014 World Highbush Production by Region
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM 2014 World Highbush Production by Region ≈150 m lbs. ≈275 m lbs. ≈205 m lbs.

42 2014 World Highbush Production by Region
US Highbush Spring 2011 Mtg v2R 4/21/ :00 PM 2014 World Highbush Production by Region Confirmed 2/22/13

43 2012 World Highbush Production Growth Prediction
Over 1.45 Bn lbs. by 2017 Over 1.3 Bn lbs. by 2015 Updated 1/27/13

44 Global Market Growth … ` Existing Market Growth Market
US Highbush 2009 Draft 4/21/ :00 PM Global Market Growth … ` Existing Market Growth Market Developing Market

45 Australian Blueberry Industry Growth Success
Experience Sharing Shanghai, November 2014 Presented by PJ McPherson

46 Australian Blueberry Growers Association (ABGA)
Grower membership (incorporated) – Mid 1980’s Intent to cover all growers & growing regions Meets 4/5 times annually, with Annual Conference The industry voice (political / generic) Lobby for adequate, skilled workforce Promotional activities (voluntary levy) Increase consumer awareness (health) Market access - new markets R&D activities (matching government $) Food safety / sustainability Employ Industry Development Officers (Technical, Quality Assurance)

47 Marketing & Distribution
Fresh Export Northern Hemisphere -window of opportunity Australian product - premium quality Markets Japan – closed 2011 (awaiting re-opening) UK / Europe - opportunistic - price main barrier South East Asia – steady growth Russia new market opening – good growth – Putin factor China / India direct market access – opportunity Australian COP our “Achilles' heel”.

48 What Australia has to Offer China Fresh Supply
Higher fruit quality – fresh safe blueberries Picked, packed, air shipped – ETA 36 to 48 hours Latest fruit varieties from world renowned, proven private programs Taste Shelf life Size Mirror Japanese fresh strategy - proven Fills under-supply window September through November (Northern NSW) Possibly February through April (Tasmania) 10 hour flight

49 What Australia has to Offer China Genetics
Number of private breeding programs Mainly based on early season Southern Highbush as displayed at Asia Fruit Logistica in Hong Kong Mostly linked back to Florida “Evergreening” the big attribute Have proven successful in other Northern hemisphere locations – Morocco / Mexico / California / Peru Southern China possibly best location and production on site is under establishment

50 What Australia has to Offer China Technical Expertise / Joint Venture
Growing knowledge (+30 years) Production / Horticulture Post harvest / shelf-life extension Cool chain management Consumer Promotions Learnings Consumer awareness Social media Consumer literature Joint Venture growing opportunity Sharing the expertise and the risk

51 What can China do for Australia
Assist in gaining market access for: Premium Blueberries World class Genetics We need your support – political / biosecurity Create a win / win situation for China consumer


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