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WORKSHOP AGIR HELSINKI JUNE 12-13, 2003 RESULTS FOR BELGIUM: WP1 – WP2 J. MESTDAGH – M. LAMBRECHT Federal Planning Bureau Economic Analysis & Forecasts
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WP 1 Biodemographic aspects of ageing Paper presented in The Hague, 14-15/2/2003: -Population: evolution, structure by age and by gender -Fertility: number of births, birth rate -Mortality, probabilities of death, survivors -Longevity : LE, modal + median life duration, life endurance record age
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WP 1 Biodemographic aspects of ageing (2) -Life courses : age to leave school, marriage, children, retirement and widowhood -Morbidity: health and disability (vision and hearing problems, mental health, mobility) -Healthy and disability free life expectancy
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WP1 – Results Belgium Additional information gathered since AGIR meeting in The Hague, February 14-15 -Number of births by gender 1950 - 2050 -Age at first job
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Fertility Number of births by gender, 1948 – 2000 Decrease in the number of births (150.000 in 1948 and 114.800 in 2000) More boys than girls
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Fertility (2) Number of births by gender, 2000 – 2050 Varies between 115.000 and 108.000 babies
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Age at first job Average age at first job, 1990 – 2000, men and women (irrespective whether still doing this job or not) Increase in age at first job from 20 in 1990 to 24 in 2000 (note: age at which people leave school increased from 19.9 to 21.5 in the same period)
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WP2 – Use of health care and nursing by the elderly Paper presented at The Hague, 14-15/2/2003 -Demand for (use of) health care a)Hospital admissions b)Length of hospital stay c) Contacts with doctor (average number) -Demand for (use of) long term care at home and in institutions
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WP2 – Use of health care and nursing by the elderly -Supply of ‘formal’ health care: doctors, nurses, hospital beds… -Supply of ‘informal’ health care: a) Household composition b) Labour market developments: participation rates, PT employment, working hours…
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WP2 – Results Belgium Additional information gathered since AGIR meeting in The Hague, February 14-15 -Hospital admissions -Length of hospital stay -Contacts with a doctor (% of population) -Household composition by age group and gender
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Hospital admissions Average number of admissions, 2000, by age and gender Highest at age 0, then decrease, to increase again with age Women are less frequently admitted except at age 15-34
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Hospital admissions (2) Average number of admissions – 1991 – 2000, by gender / age Increase between 1991-’00 for younger and older age groups Decrease between 1991-’00 between age 1 and 45
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Length of hospital stay Average length of hospital stay by age group and gender, 2000 Positive relation with age : increases as people get older Higher for women than for men, especially in oldest age group
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Length of hospital stay (2) Average length of hospital stay by age group / gender, 1991-00 Decrease between 1991-2000, men/women, all age groups
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Volume of hospital stay Volume of hospital stay, 2000, by gender and age U-shaped curve, positive relation with age Similar for men and women (except age 15-34)
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Volume of hospital stay (2) Volume of hospital stay, MEN, by age, 1991 – 2000 Slight decrease between 1991 and 2000, all ages except youngest age group
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Volume of hospital stay (3) Volume of hospital stay, WOMEN, by age, 1991 – 2000 Slight decrease between 1991 and 1998, all ages except youngest age group
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Contacts with doctor % of population having contact with doctor during past year, by gender and age, 2001 Increase with age (avg. # of contacts increases with age too) More women contact their doctor than men do (except in youngest age group)
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Household composition % of MEN in single HH, 1991-2001, by age group % increases with age % decreased between 1991 and 2001
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Household composition (2) % of WOMEN in single HH, 1991-2001, by age group % increases with age, except in oldest age group % decreased between 1991 and 2001
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