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1 2 0 0 3 R E S U L T S 2 0 0 4 - 0 5 T A R G E T S U P D A T E M a r c h 3 1, 2 0 0 4
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2 GROUP NET INCOME (€ mn) 95.5 78.0 * +22.4 % ROE (goodwill adj.) 13.0% 11.1% + 190 bp ROE 10.2% 8.9% + 130 bp COST / INCOME67.0% 67.1% --- NET NPLs RATIO1.14% 1.06% + 8 bp 2003 results at a glance 2003 2002 Change * 2002 net income has been adjusted for 2002 Eptaconsors extraordinary dividend
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3 Business segment results 20032002 PF2001 PF20032002 PF2001 PF Retail banking 12612315156%62%72% Consumer credit 75544133%27%19% Product companies 2019139%10%6% Gross income * 225199211 as % of gross income Service companies 5542% Tax collection -220%-1% 1% * € mn - Goodwill and taxes excluded
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4 Total income 2003 total income € 1,009.5 mn [+5.7%] % change has been adjusted for 2002 Eptaconsors extraordinary dividend +4.0% € mn Interest margin +11.8% Non-interest income € mn Dividends 9.3 Co s at equity 15.0 Banks’ spread compression Positive trend for companies at equity Strong contribution from consumer credit Greater commissions and trading income, less dividend payouts
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5 Interest margin * Mark-up + mark-down 4Q ’02 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q’03 Bank customers’ spread * 3 months Euribor € mn 2002 quarters Avg. total spread 3.29% 2003 quarters Avg. total spread 3.14% € mn
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6 Non-interest income AUM Collect. & pay’t serv. +8.7% +15.8% 2002PF 2003 Net commissions +7.9% Net other inc. +6.0% Trading inc. +157.3% +11.8% € mn 333.6 373.0
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7 Total costs Goodwill excluded - * The % change is in comparison to “Ex Findomestic 2002PF” +2.6% € mn 2002PF 2003 (ex Findomestic)* +1.1% 20032002 PF Change CAGR Ex Findomestic Personnel exp. 378.7370.12.3%0.9% Other costs 236.0223.75.5%4.2% Depreciation 61.365.3-6.1%-6.3% Cost control achieved Personnel expenses slightly affected by labour contract renewal Restructuring costs better then expected
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8 Operating and net incomes € mn - % change has been adjusted for Eptaconsors 2002 extraordinary dividend +12.8% +30.4% +16.8% +22.4% +8.3% -13.5% -44.1% Clear improvement in operating income Better tax rate Prudent provisions management Assets streamlining
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9 Total financial assets € mn Indir. Funding +4.2% Direct funding +7.7% 26,296 27,838 +5.9% Assets under mng. +7.9% Assets under custody -1.0% Bonds +14.9% Sight borrowing +7.7% Other -12.7%
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10 Assets under management Discr. Accounts +20.5% Mutual funds -3.7% 8,198 8,843 +7.9% Insurance products +23.1% Portfolio composition 20022003 Discr. accountsInsurance prod.Mutual funds € mn
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11 Customer loans Small Business Corporate Consumer Credit Retail Public admin. € mn +7.1% Good increase despite non-favourable economic cycle High portfolio balance thanks to consumer credit Real estate financing (+ 13.6%): an important contribution Volumes moved towards retail and P.A.
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12 Credit quality Controlled credit risk loans 69% +240 bp Self-liquidating Collateral sec. Not secured Personal sec. Other Net NPLs/Net loans Gross NPLs/Gross loansNet NPLs cover ratio 53.5% 54.4% 52.6% 200120022003 2.40% 2.28% 2.36% 1.14% 1.06% 1.14% Credit quality is unchanged Increase in guaranteed and self-liquidating loans The internal rating system shows more loans in “good shape”
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13 CORPORATE & PRIVATE BKG. RETAIL BRANCHES RETAIL CORPORATE CENTERS 117 staff 109 portfolio managers 13 centers * 14 special prod. advisors 8 credit managers 12 branch managers PRIVATE BKG. CENTERS 48 portfolio managers 9 centers * 11 staff Network restructuring program 704 staff 366 Family portfolio mgr s 278 branches * 301 Personal portfolio mgr s 272 Business portfolio mgr s 254 branch managers STRUCTURE COMPLETED by SEPTEMBER 2003 * Banca CR Firenze only
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14 € mn - * Core capital - No preference shares issued Capital ratios 20032003 1H2002 2003-02 change Tier 1 * 895.6842.5 896.5 -0.1% Tier 2 816.7642.1 608.5 34.2% Deductions 92.097.6 114.6 -19.7% Regulatory capital 1,620.31, 387.0 1,390.4 16.5% Risk weighted assets 15,753.415,232.3 14,434.0 9.1% SOLVENCY ratio 10.61%9.30%9.80% 0.81 bp TIER 1 ratio 5.68%5.55%6.21% - 0.53 bp
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15 C A S S A D I R I S P A R M I O D E L L A S P E Z I A
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16 Strategic rationale " " " " " CR Spezia Parma CR Mirandola Bologna CR Firenze Territorially adjacent to the area currently presided by Banca CR Firenze Group The opportunity to rationalize the limited number of overlaps Ideal platform for West-East development Area of the city of Parma Possibility of joining forces with the CR Mirandola area Asset structure efficiency enhancement within an overall group management context CR Spezia
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17 Strong franchise - Market share * funding 46.8%, loans 25.5%, branches 38.% High level liquidity loans/funding ratio at 62% AUM/Indirect funding ratio at 64% å progressive switch to Group companies’ products Company’s main features Governance rules that will allow real efficiency enhancement Majority of members of the Board of Directors and the Executive Committee Appointment of the General Manager Main characteristics * Main business territory (Province of La Spezia) - 30.09.2003 CR Spezia
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18 Actions Rapid Group integration Extension of the Banca CR Firenze business model Centralization of key functions, such as -Planning & Risk Management -Finance -Auditing -Asset Managment -Accounting Support for innovative commercial actions Transfer of decision-making powers to the local level Strengthen risk control Enrichment of the product range CR Spezia
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19 NET INCOME 2.9 5.0 -42.0% ROE 1.9% 3.3% - 140 bp COST / INCOME 75.0% 78.1% -310 bp TAX RATE 75.9% 60.6% +1,530 bp 2003 results at a glance 2003 2002 Change TOTAL FIN. ASSETS 2.955 2,871 +2.9% of which AUM 930 848 +9.7% CUSTOMER LOANS 845 844 --- Net NPLs ratio 3.2% 3.4% -20 bp € million
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20 Targets 2003 2006 Tax rate Cost/income 2003 2006 ROE Net income € mn Total financial assets +7% CAGR ( AUM +11% ) Customers loans +12% “
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21 2 0 0 4 - 0 5 T A R G E T S U P D A T E
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22 GDP 0.5% 1.6% 2.3% 2003 2004 2005 Old* 1.4% 2.6% 2.5% Macroeconomic scenario Domestic demand 1.3% 2.1% 2.9% Old* 2.0% 2.5% 2.5% Disposable income 1.3% 1.8% 2.3% Old* 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% Lending 6.3% 6.5% 6.2% Old* 5.4% 6.2% 6.1% Lending rate (avg.) 5.0% 4.7% 4.8% Old* 5.3% 5.6% 5.9% Direct funding 4.3% 4.4% 4.3% Old* 4.7% 5.1% 5.1% Source: Prometeia, December 2003 - * Figures underlying 2003-05 Business Plan
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23 TOTAL COSTS 722.4 780.0 + 2.6% +3.2 % +0.8 % 2002 PF 2005 Change - New Change - Old FINDOMESTIC CAGR CAGR Excluded - CAGR Personnel expenses 407.8 428.0 + 1.6% + 1.4 % + 0.5 % Other costs 246.5 284.0 + 4.8% + 5.7 % + 2.1 % Depreciation 68.1 68.0 FLAT + 5.0 % - 1.3 % Cost breakdown update € million
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24 EPS and Cost/Income With CR Spezia * Without CR SpeziaNewOld EPS Cost/Income * EPS takes into account the capital increase connected to the acquisition
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25 F I N D O M E S T I C B A N C A C O N S U M E R C R E D I T
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26 Torino Milano Bologna Bari Reggio C. Palermo Sassari Udine Cosenza Perugia Ancona Verona Padova Genova Firenze Roma Napoli Lecce Pescara Salerno Cagliari Catania 2003 results at a glance 2003 LEADING FINANCIAL COMPANIES FINDOMESTIC 4.6 FIATSAVA3.0 AGOS ITAFINCO2.7 DEUTSCHE BANK2.4 FIDITALIA1.8 GR. FINEMIRO1.7 BIPIELLE DUCATO1.6 FINCONSUMO1.4 € billion Net income (euro mn) 90.6(+45%) ROE 25.7% Market share 13.4% S&P ratings Long termA+(1 notch up) Short termA1(positive outlook) Main figures
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27 Volumes and credit quality 2002 2003 Euro mn New business NPLs ratio Italian GDP annual increase 2003 / 2002 +16.4%
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28 Growth comparison Findomestic Market 2003 New business growth Agos DB Cards - Volumes Cartasi Findomestic Cartasi Agos BPL Cards - Transactions Findomestic DB Agos BPL Personal loans - Volumes € million /000,000
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29 Source: ASSOFIN and Prometeia The Italian market: recent developments Total outstanding Consumer credit Durable goods consumption % - CAGR € mn 0 2002 2003 E
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30 A prospective outlook Source: Goldman Sachs - 2003, October
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31 B A C K - U P
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32 Carinord2 fanout costs 6.7 CR Spezia Foundation 38.22% 162.2 2.67 CR della Spezia - The deal Banca INTESA 29.87% 69.0 1.44 Stake Euro mn PBV x TOTAL 68.09% 237.9 2.20 Dedicated capital increase mispricing -19.3 TOTAL 68.09% 218.6 2.02 Put option 31.9% 58.3 1.15 TOTAL 100.00% 276.9 1.74
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33 Asset under management * Net inflows, source: Assogestioni ** Business territory, source: Prometeia Dec. 2003 2003 LEADING ASSET GATHERERS * Sanpaolo IMI 5,615 BPU 2,920 ANIMA 2,231 BANCA CR FIRENZE 1,632 CREDEM 1,491 MPS 1,449 B. LOMBARDA 1,333 POSTE ITALIANE 1,288 Euro mn AUM market share ** (ex insurance products) Insurance product market share **
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34 2002 - Consumer credit / G.D.P.2002 - Consumer credit / Household consumption Consumer credit - Market comparison
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35 Household consumption New vehicles Furniture Personal loans Credit cards Electronics Source: ASSOFIN and Prometeia. 1Q ’98 household consumption=100 Consumer credit - Low price sensitivity
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36 One of the best performer since the enactment of the Italian “Securitisation Law” (1999) Perseo Finance: NPLs securitisation
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37 Euro 521 million of “in bonis” residential mortgage loans: no value adjustment required so far CR Firenze Mutui: mortgage loans securitisation Class Face amount/ million Yield Underwriting price Rating Fitch/Moody's/S&P A151.3Euribor 3 m + 19 bp100AAA / Aaa / AAA A2425.6Euribor 3 m + 28 bp100AAA / Aaa / AAA B28.2Euribor 3 m + 75 bp100A / A2 / A C7.7Euribor 3 m + 145 bp100BBB / Bbb / BBB D8.2Floating BCRF portfolio 100----
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38 2 0 0 3 R E S U L T S 2 0 0 4 - 0 5 T A R G E T S U P D A T E M a r c h 3 1, 2 0 0 4
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