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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net My Favorite Investment Today Chloe Lutts Jensen, Moderator All Cabot Analysts
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net Global X Top Guru Holdings “Famous managers’ most concentrated stock picks … tend to do better than (their) funds on the whole.” —Brendan Conway (Barron’s) Top hedge fund positions from 13-F filings Assets: $3.94 million Equal-weighted stock holdings Management fee: 0.75% July YTD 25.9% (vs 14.4% NYSE Comp) Positive alpha Robin Carpenter
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net GURU Moving Alpha
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net Trinity Industries (TRN) Max Buy Price 39.54; Min Sell Price 55.49 Current P/E is 11.3. Dividend Yield is 1.3% Sales will rise 9% and EPS will climb 20% during the next 12 months Trinity has a huge backlog of orders for railcars Roy Ward
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net Facebook (FB) All the Characteristics of a Big Winner Mass market No competition New opportunity (mobile) Accelerating sales EPS estimates, margins ramp Michael Cintolo
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net Huge Blast Off = Accumulation
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net Volatility as an Asset Class Options are Insurance Geico/Allstate = Options Sellers Selling Volatility on a broad equity index has a positive expected return premium over time, as the seller effectively provides insurance to the buyer of volatility. Jacob Mintz
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net Over 20 years, the market has overpriced volatility by an average of 4.6 vol points Implied volatility has exceeded realized volatility 88% of the time since 1990
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net The Merrill Lynch vol/arb index enters into trades that monetize the difference between implied and realized volatility.
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net Current Volatility Conditions Vix at 13 Realized 30 Day Volatility of SPX is 8 A premium of 5 points
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net Baidu.com (BIDU) Paul Goodwin
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net Tesla (TSLA) Timothy Lutts
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net TripAdvisor (TRIP)
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net Issue Lots of great discoveries in medicine cannot reach their targets Tom Garrity
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net Big Idea: Delivery of Medicine Because of medicine’s inability to rapidly cross extra-cellular matrix (ECM) into the lymphatic vasculature and capillary beds, they can't exert their therapeutic effects
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net Halozyme (HALO) Patented enzymes allow drugs currently administered intravenously (IV) to be administered subcutaneously (SC) – Increased and faster absorption – Less frequently administered – Improved efficacy of existing therapies – Modify abnormal tissue
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net Partnerships Milestones Payments plus Royalties Hoffmann-La Roche ($13.8 billion in 2012) Pfizer (Up to $570 million) Baxter Healthcare ($1.59 billion in 2012) ViroPharma Incorporated (Milestone Payments Plus 10% Royalties) Intrexon Corporation ($54 million Plus Royalties)
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net Halozyme Proprietary Endocrinology Oncology Dermatology
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Cabot Investors Conference 2013www.cabot.net
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