1. Athens, 09-05-2014 Dynamic Assessment of the Forest Fires Risk Tool – DFF Risk Tool presentation Konstantinos Gompakis, Physicist, MSc kgobakis@isc.tuc.gr Professor Georgios S. Stavrakakis gstavr@electronics.tuc.gr Assistant Professor Denia Kolokotsa dkolokotsa@enveng.tuc.gr FOREST CITIES LIFE+ 08 ENV/GR/553

2. Forest Cities Project Partners (all in Greece): -Regional Union of Municipalities of Attica (PEDA) -University of Athens – Department of Geology and Geoenvironment – Laboratory of Natural Hazards (UoA) -Technical University of Crete – Department of Electronic and Computer Engineering (TUC) -Municipality of Serres - West Macedonia -Municipality of Ilioupoli - Athens area- Attica Main Deliverables –Recording the Institutional Framework for the Prevention of Forest Fires in Greece and internationally –Action Plan for forest fires prevention, case studies Municipality of Serres and Ilioupoli –Installation guidelines and user manual of the DFF-Risk tool

3. Forest Fire Risk Index FHI (fire hazard index) a measure of that part of the fire danger contributed by the fuels available for burning and topological characteristics of the particular forest area FDI (fire danger index) the chance of fire commencement, as affected by the nature and incidence of meteorological causative parameters FFRI (Forest Fire Risk Index)

4. FHI (fire hazard index) FHI = 0.4 * n + 0.15 * s + 0.05 * a + 0.12 * r + 0.10 * h + 0.13 * v parameters nature: n : vegetation type (nature) s : terrain slope a : orientation of the terrain r : proximity of the terrain to roads or paths h: proximity of the terrain to power lines v : proximity of the terrain to settlements and uncontrolled waste disposal sites

5. vegetation types Coefficient- n Slope of the terrain Coefficient- s Terrain orientation Coefficient- a conifers5> 40%5135° - 270°5 broadleaf413-40%346° - 135°3 dense bushes30-13%1271° - 315°3 light shrub land2 0° - 45°1 crops1 316° - 360°1 FHI (fire hazard index) perimeter zone distance (m) Coefficient Proximity to roads and paths: r asphalt505 dirt road504 forest path504 h proximity to power lines 305 v Proximity to settlements 4004 Proximity to uncontrolled waste disposal sites1005

6. Indicative map of terrain slope

7. Coefficient s (slope) value Terrain slope Coefficient- s > 44%5 13-40%3 0-12%1

8. Proximity to roads and paths indicative map

9. Proximity to roads and paths coefficient value perimeter zone distance (m) Coefficient- r Proximity to roads and paths: r asphalt505 dirt road504 forest path504

10. Evaluation of FHI Classification on five (5) risk categories for FHI, FDI and the combined FFRI : – Category 1 : 0 – 1. (VERY LOW - GREEN COLOR) – Category 2 : 1.01 – 2. (LOW – LIGHT BLUE COLOR) – Category 3 : 2.01 – 3. (MEDIUM- YELLOW COLOR) – Category 4 : 3.01 – 4. (HIGH – ORANGE COLOR) – Category 5 : 4.01 – 5. (VERY HIGH - RED COLOR)

11. FHI MAP PRODUCTION FOR ILIOUPOLIS FOREST-ATHENS

12. Evaluation of FDI -Fire danger (meteorological) index

13. FDI –Fire danger (meteorological) index calculated for Ilioupolis-Athens The fire risk map bellow on the left is published by the Greek General Secretary of Civil Protection for the day of 12 September 2011. FDI given by the Greek General Secretary of Civil Protection Risk class Number of incidents observations Percentage in each class (%) 1 607223,62 2 938436,51 3 662425,77 4 362414,10 5 00,00 FDI calculated using fuzzy c-means classification for the same day Risk class Class Limits Number of incidents observations Percentage in each class (%) 1 0. 0102-0.1037902835.02 2 0.1037-0.2062839032.55 3 0.2062-0.3455519720.16 4 0. 3455-0.547922968.91 50.5479-1.77478653.36

14. FDI – Fire danger (meteorological) index calculated for Ilioupolis-Athens Date Ambient temperature Ambient wind speed (km/h) Relative humidityFDI 30/9/11 3:00 πμ20,714,5303 11/8/11 9:59 μμ25,69,7343 26/7/11 1:00 μμ28,411,3353 20/6/11 8:59 μμ28,612,9294 21/6/11 1:59 πμ2516,1324 24/6/11 3:00 μμ28,9516,942,54 25/6/11 2:00 μμ28,214,5354 20/6/11 1:00 μμ35,114,5265 26/8/11 3:00 μμ40,416,1335 7/7/11 2:00 μμ37,116,1245 20/7/11 3:59 μμ38,914,5275

15. FDI –Fire danger (meteorological) index – Meteorological data on-line http://meteo.gr/Gmap.asp

16. FDI –Fire danger (meteorological) index – Meteorological data on-line

17. FDI –Fire danger (meteorological) index – Meteorological data on line Meteorological parameters measurement stations in forests

18. Forest Fire Risk Index (FFRI) FFRI = 0.6*FDI+0.4*FHI (with rounded integer downward)

19. Application of the DFF Risk Tool- see for a whole indicative summer day the FFRI change in the Ilioupolis-Athens forest using real time meteorological measurements: https://www.dropbox.com/s/sxs6iwzfuz6sx9r/speedUpx5.mp4?dl=0 ArcGis 10 ή ArcGis Engine –Spatial Analyst –3D Analyst ArcObjects SDK for the Java Platform External Java libraries –Apache Base64 Encryption – edtftp –Quartz Scheduler

20. Κεντρική οθόνη εφαρμογής

21. Send e-mail when predetermined areas fire risk exceeds a predetermined level of risk  Modify shapefile protectionArea for the areas of interest of the responsible of Civil protection and designation of these areas. -Entries for the e-mail sending -When a new map is created all regions set by the operator are controlled and if the FFRI has surpassed even at in one pixel the risk limit set, an e-mail is sent.  Determine the template of the e-mail that the operator will receive.

22. Send an e-mail when predetermined areas exceed a predetermined level of fire risk: Ilioupolis -Athens forest case

23. Website: http://forestcities.gr/