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Published byAngelica Hart Modified over 9 years ago
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Experience from Taiwan apply for Equity Investment in Vietnam Investment Department May 2012 Taiwan Training Trip Sharing
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Outline: Three steps for stock investment Macro Analysis Sector Analysis Company Analysis 2
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3 Three steps for Stock Investment Economy Analysis Sector Analysis Stocks Analysis
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Step 1: Economy Analysis 4 1. Economy trend, cycle GDP yoy 2. Inflation Trend, Cycle %CPI yoy Experience from Cathay TW: When GDP is at bottom, or Lower Government target => Time for Stock Investment Inflation is on down trend (comparison with three consecutive mths) Government think that Inflation is already down High Low
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5 3. Others investment channel: Step 1: Economy Analysis %Government Bond yield 4. Stock Index: Deposit, bonds, … is at low level Stock index is at cheap price (refer to latest bottom) Resistance line
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6 Step 2: Sector analysis Advise from Cathay Taiwan: choose sectors connect to GDP => Financials, Consumer
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7 Large Stock Weight Others 8 Largest companies dominated the market ( Cathay Taiwan advise we should choose some largest companies) Step 3: Company analysis
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8 BVH AAM Decide Investment Method (as advised, we should choose safety stock for first time investment ) RISKY StockSAFETY Stock Things to Consider Step 3: Company Analysis
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3 Rules for Investment Decision 9 BCIDAS RULE # 1: For downward trend price, BUY when volume increase Price chart Volume Price chart Volume Step 3: Company Analysis
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10 VE9 PHR RULE # 2: BUY if Stock is sideway for longtime but suddenly increase both price and volume 3 Rules for Investment Decision Price chart Volume Step 3: Company Analysis
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11 SDD KMR Price chart Volume RULE # 3: SELL when stock at high price and volume increase: 3 Rules for Investment Decision Step 3: Company Analysis
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12 P/E ratio analysis: Valuation: Step 3: Company Analysis Expensive price Cheap price
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13 Broker views: Step 3: Company Analysis
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Financial analysis: 14 FA ANALYSIS ROA Asset Equity EPSROE -Should based on 5 years -Audit report from big four company -Financial report should be released on time -Company plan in the next five years Step 3: Company Analysis FA Criteria's:
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How to get information? 15 Step 3: Company Analysis
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16 How to get information? Step 3: Company Analysis
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Thank you 17
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