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NOTABLE HISTORIC AND FUTURE THREATENING EVENTS ALONG THE PACIFIC RING OF FIRE As of April 21, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

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Presentation on theme: "NOTABLE HISTORIC AND FUTURE THREATENING EVENTS ALONG THE PACIFIC RING OF FIRE As of April 21, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,"— Presentation transcript:

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2 NOTABLE HISTORIC AND FUTURE THREATENING EVENTS ALONG THE PACIFIC RING OF FIRE As of April 21, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA

3 RING OF FIRE

4 1,000 ACTIVE VOLCANOES ALONG THE RING OF FIRE

5 MANY HISTORIC EARTHQUAKES ALONG THE RING OF FIRE

6 SOME OF THE HISTORIC EVENTS ALONG THE RING OF FIRE

7 NOTABLE HISTORIC EVENTS ALONG THE RING OF FIRE THE PHILIPPINES: MOUNT PINATUBO USA: NORTHRIDGE, CA EARTHQUAKE CHRISTCHURCH, NEW ZEALAND: EARTHQUAKES SENDAI, JAPAN: EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI CHILE: VOLCANO PUYEUHE

8 THE PHILIPPINES: MT. PINATUBO: JUNE 15, 1991

9 Pinatubo was the second largest eruption of the 20 th century and the largest to impact a densely populated area.

10 NORTHRIDGE, CALIFORNIA EARTHQUAKE NORTHRIDGE, CALIFORNIA EARTHQUAKE 4:31 AM ON JANUARY 17, 1994 M 6.8 4:31 AM ON JANUARY 17, 1994 M 6.8

11 NORTHRIDGE EARTHQUAKE NORTHRIDGE EARTHQUAKE 57 DEATHS 9,000 INJURIES OVER $50 BILLION DAMAGE TRANSPORT- ATION SYSTEMS FAILED

12 CHRISTCHURCH, NEW ZEALAND: SEPT 2010 & FEB 2011 EARTHQUAKES

13 TWO EARTHQUAKES SEVERELY CUT NEW ZEALAND’S 2011 ECONOMIC GROWTH A DEEP (33 KM) M7.1 AND A SHALLOW (4 KM) M6.3 QUAKE SIX MONTHS APART COMBINE TO HALF NEW ZEALAND’S ECONOMIC GROWTH

14 M9.0 TOHOKU EARTHQUAKE/TSUNAMI IMPACTED JAPAN WITH THE TSUNAMI WAVES REACHING PACIFIC RIM COUNTRIES 4TH LARGEST QUAKE EVER 3 – 40 M TSUNAMI WAVES 2:46 pm MARCH 11, 2011

15 JAPAN: TSUNAMI FOLLOWING M9.0 EARTHQUAKE

16 CHILE’S VOLCANO PUYEHUE ERUPTED WITH A MASSIVE ASH CLOUD AND SPECTACULAR LIGHTNING JUNE 4, 2011

17 VOLCANO PUYEHUE’S ASH CLOUD: JUNE 4, 2011

18 PUYEHUE’S ASH CLOUD  The ash cloud over the Southern Hemisphere has impacted Argentina and spread as far as South Africa and Australia.

19 PUYEHUE’S ASH CLOUD  The ash cloud over the Southern Hemisphere impacted Argentina and spread as far as South Africa and Australia.

20 NOTABLE HISTORIC EVENTS ALONG THE RING OF FIRE CHILE: EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI COLOMBIA: NEVADA DEL RUIZ

21 M8.8 EARTHQUAKE STRIKES CENTRAL CHILE: 3:34 am on February 27, 2010 Subduction Zone Quake 500 Times More Energy than the M7.0 Haiti Quake 800+ Deaths; 500+ Injured Numerous Aftershocks Tsunami Waves Travel Across Pacific Estimated Loss: $30 Billion

22 The Chilean people had to cope with the demands associated with: 1) a mega-quake, 2) a vigorous aftershock sequence with large events, 3) tsunami wave run up, 4) looting of the affluent sector, and 5) recovery after the loss of 15 percent of the GDP.

23 It was a catastrophic experience, even though Chile has experienced many past earthquakes, has implemented a modern building code, and was well prepared to respond to all aspects of the emergency.

24 COLOMBIA: NEVADA DEL RUIZ, A 1988 DISASTER

25 The lahar generated by the eruption of Nevada del Ruiz buried 25,000 people in the city of Armero as they slept.

26 SOME OF THE THREATENING EVENTS ALONG THE RING OF FIRE

27 THREATENING EVENTS ALONG THE RING OF FIRE JAPAN: MOUNT FUJI JAPAN: TOKAI EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI USA: NORTHERN CALIFORNIA USA: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA USA: CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE

28 MOUNT FUJI: JAPAN; A THREAT TO TOKYO

29 Because of its location in the densely populated Bay area of 7 million people, an earthquake on the Hayward fault could be one of the USA's worst natural disasters.

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31 A Hayward fault earthquake potentially affects 5 million people, and damages homes, schools, senior centers, hospitals, businesses, the Bay bridge, and the campus of UC Berkeley.

32 A M 7.0 earthquake on the Hayward fault will cause an estimated $210 billion dollars in damage. The region's transportation infrastructure and water delivery systems will take a major hit.

33 THE GREAT TOKAI EARTHQUAKE POSSIBLY THE WORLD’S FOREMOST IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE DISASTER FOR WHICH JAPAN HAS BEEN PREPARING FOR 25 YEARS

34 REGIONAL MAP

35 TOKAI EARTHQUAKE The Government of Japan expects its next great earthquake to be “the Tokai Earthquake.”

36 TOKAI EARTHQUAKE Estimated deaths — between 7,900 and 9,200 depending on the amount of advance warning and the time of day it occurs. Estimated property damage –- as much as $310 billion.

37 TOKAI EARTHQUAKE Landslides -- 6,449 specific locations Structures susceptible to quake-related fires – 58,402 specific houses

38 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA (LOS ANGELES AREA) EARTHQUAKE SCENARIO

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40 The magnitude 7.8 scenario earthquake will cause about 1,800 deaths and $213 billion of economic losses.

41 CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE

42 CASCADIA SUDUCTION ZONE

43 SEATTLE, WASHINGTON

44 CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE The Cascadia subduction zone (CSZ), which extends from Vancouver Island to Cape Mendiceno, is capable of producing earthquakes of M8 to M9 and a destructive tsunami if the M > 8.0.

45 A M9.0 CSZ EARTHQUAKE Long-period waves will dominate the ground shaking of a M9.0 CSZ earthquake. Long-period ground shaking is very efficient in exciting tall buildings, long bridges, and long pipelines into vibration.

46 THREATENING EVENTS ALONG THE RING OF FIRE MEXICO: POPOCATEPETL USA: MOUNT RAINIER ECUADOR: SANGAY VANUATU: MOUNT YASUR GUATEMALA: SANTA MARIA

47 MEXICO’S POPOCATEPETL: APRIL 20

48 An estimated 5 million people in the states of Mexico, Puebla, and Morelos would be affected by a major eruption of the 17,778 ft Popocatepetl

49 MT RAINIER: TACOMA, WA

50 Tacoma, the capital city is at high risk when Rainier erupts

51 SANGAY, ECUADOR

52 Sangay’s steep-sided volcanic cone, which reaches a height of 17,158 feet (5,230 meters), has been characterized by: 1) a historical eruption in 1628, 2) more or less continuous eruptions from 1728 until 1916, and 3) continuous eruptions again from 1934 to the present.

53 MOUNT YASUR, VANUATU

54 Mount Yasur, an active volcano on Tanna Island and a part of the archipelago nation of Vanuatu in the South Pacific, has been erupting nearly continuously for over a century with strombolian- type eruptionsk, often occurring several times an hour.

55 SANTA MARIA, GUATEMALA

56 Santa Maria, a 12,375-foot (3,772- meter) tall stratovolcano, had a catastrophic eruption in 1902, one of the largest eruptions of the 20th century, that caused severe damage throughout southwestern Guatemala

57 SO--- IT’S STILL ALL ABOUT THE ART AND SCIENCE OF MAKING ALL CIRCUM-PACIFIC COMMUNITIES RESILIENT TO EARTHQUAKES AND VOLCANOES

58 MAKING THE RING OF FIRE’S FUTURE BETTER THAN ITS PAST UNDER- STAND IDENT- IFY HEAR PERSON- ALIZE ACT PERIOD OF INTEGRATION 1988-2012 WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY 2012 PERIOD OF IMPLEMENTATION NOW


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