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The Economics of Feedstocks - Calculating Your Cost of Producing Energy Crops and Crop Residues Madhu Khanna and Nick Paulson University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign.

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Presentation on theme: "The Economics of Feedstocks - Calculating Your Cost of Producing Energy Crops and Crop Residues Madhu Khanna and Nick Paulson University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign."— Presentation transcript:

1 The Economics of Feedstocks - Calculating Your Cost of Producing Energy Crops and Crop Residues Madhu Khanna and Nick Paulson University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign

2 Corn Stover Switchgrass 300 Acre Energy Farm at University of Illinois Miscanthus Many Feedstock Choices for Next Generation Biofuels Miscanthus Agave

3 Energy Crop Yield Based on Experimental Research on Miscanthus and Switchgrass  Over 10 years of experimental research at the 300 acre Energy Farm at the University of Illinois and several other locations  Calibration and validation of a DayCent Model, allows  Extrapolation of crop yield simulation to entire rainfed US

4 A decision tool to enable a profitable choice of feedstock  Choice among three sources of biomass  Miscanthus, switchgrass and corn stover  Useful for landowners deciding whether and which crop to produce for biomass at a given price and location  Processors and aggregators of biomass seeking to contract for biomass  or lease land for vertically integrated production of an energy crop  Accounting for support from the Biomass Crop Assistance Program (BCAP)

5 Key Components of Cost of Biomass  Yield per acre  Cost/Type of land for energy crops  Establishment cost and length of establishment period  Input and equipment costs  Harvesting, storage, transportation  Discount rate: time value of money

6 Functionality of the Feedstock Cost and Profitability Calculator  County specific default values for crop yields and costs  Users can input own/site-specific values  discount rate, establishment/input/equipment costs, harvest and storage losses, lifespan  Calculate the cost of converting land from corn/soy to energy crop  For corn stover: choose the rotation and tillage methods, nutrient application rates  Calculate value of BCAP subsidies  Outputs: Total Expenses, Revenues and Returns per Acre  Available as an Excel File that can be downloaded and operated on your computer from http://farmdoc.illinois.edu/fasttools/index.asp

7 Low Quality Land Yields vary across locations and with land quality Miscanthus Switchgrass Corn Soybean High Quality land

8 Cost of energy crops lower on low quality land  Miscanthus and switchgrass yields are 5-10% lower on low quality land compared to high quality land  But lower cost of low quality land more than offsets this  Land quality affects the opportunity cost of converting land for energy crops  Highest foregone returns that could be earned with an alternative use of the land  Fixed cost: results in high per ton cost of feedstock with low yields  On high quality land: profits from row crops: corn/soybean for cropland  On low quality land : Conservation Reserve Program rental payment

9 Breakeven Price Calculation  Price needed each year of the life of the energy crop for the present value of revenues = present value of costs of production.  It will decrease  If the lifespan of the crop is longer  Yield is higher  Establishment cost is lower  Opportunity cost of land is lower  Discount rate is lower  For corn stover: Price needed to cover the incremental costs of collecting, harvesting, storing and adding replacement fertilizer. It decreases  With yield  With collection rates: higher with no-till practice

10 Breakeven Prices of Miscanthus and Switchgrass $ per ton Marginal Land Switchgrass Cropland Miscanthus

11 Cost of Corn StoverLeast Cost Feedstock by County Competitiveness of Feedstocks Differs Across Locations

12 Biomass Crop Assistance Program: Lowers the break-even price of biomass Features of BCAP built into the calculator  Matching payments: $20 per ton for up to 2 years  Establishment cost share: 50% with a cap of $500 per acre  Annual payments for up to 5 years  Based on CRP rental rates for cropland  Based on pastureland rental rates for cropland-pasture  Reduced once harvesting starts depending on the type of facility the biomass is being sold to

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14 Risk Premium $ per ton Yield Riskiness Relative to Corn Miscanthus Switchgrass

15 Planned additions  Extending the Feedstock Cost Calculator  To poplar and energy cane  Life cycle greenhouse gas emissions intensity per ton of biomass  Riskiness of yield and income with biomass production  Feedstock Cost Calculator available at: http://farmdoc.illinois.edu/fasttools/index.asp  Send feedback and comments to: khanna1@Illinois.edu

16 Publications  Dwivedi, P., W. Wang, T. Hudiburg, D. Jaiswal, W. Parton, S. Long, E. DeLucia, and M. Khanna, “Cost of Abating Greenhouse Gas Emissions with Cellulosic Ethanol. Environmental Science and Technology,” 49(4): 2512-2522, 2015  Song, Y., A. K. Jain, W. Landuyt, H.S. Kheshgi, and M. Khanna “ Estimates of Biomass Yield for Perennial Bioenergy Grasses in the United States,” Bioenergy Research doi 10.1007/s12155-014-9546-1, 2014  Miao, R. and M. Khanna, “Are Bioenergy Crops Riskier than Corn? Implications for Biomass Price,” Choices, 29(1), 6 pages, 2014  Jain, A., M. Khanna, M. Erickson and H. Huang, “An Integrated Biogeochemical and Economic Analysis of Bioenergy Crops in the Midwestern United States,” Global Change Biology Bioenergy, 2: 217–234, 2010  Khanna, M., B. Dhungana and J. Clifton-Brown, “Costs of Producing Miscanthus and Switchgrass for Bioenergy in Illinois,” Biomass and Bioenergy, 32: 482 – 493, 2008.  Khanna, M., “Cellulosic Biofuels: Are They Economically Viable and Environmentally Sustainable?” Choices, 3 rd Quarter 23(3): 16-21, 2008


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