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Selected Data for West Virginia Higher Education National Center for Higher Education Management Systems Presented on February 9, 2004 National Collaborative.

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Presentation on theme: "Selected Data for West Virginia Higher Education National Center for Higher Education Management Systems Presented on February 9, 2004 National Collaborative."— Presentation transcript:

1 Selected Data for West Virginia Higher Education National Center for Higher Education Management Systems Presented on February 9, 2004 National Collaborative on Postsecondary Education

2 Projected Change in the Population 2000 to 2020 Projected Change in the Population 2000 to 2020 Source: US Census Bureau

3 Projected West Virginia Population Growth Number Change from 2000 to 2020 – By Race -52,439 -28,968 -86,299 35,468 119,575 14 -31 -1,151 4,308 1,6061,592 835 2,258 3,101 1,872 -90,000 -60,000 -30,000 0 30,000 60,000 90,000 120,000 0 to 1718 to 2425 to 4445 to 6465 and Older WhiteBlackHispanic

4 Projection of 18-24 Year Olds (Traditional College Age – from 2000 to 2025) Projection of 18-24 Year Olds (Traditional College Age – from 2000 to 2025) Source: US Census Bureau 172,431 140,402 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 200020052010201520202025 -18.6 % Decline The Largest Decrease of all 50 States -18.6 % Decline The Largest Decrease of all 50 States

5 Projection of High School Graduates (from 2002 to 2018) Projection of High School Graduates (from 2002 to 2018) Source:Knocking at the Door: Projections of High School Graduates, Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education 17,784 16,327 15,000 15,500 16,000 16,500 17,000 17,500 18,000 18,500 2001-020220-042005-062007-082009-102011-12 2013-14 2015-162017-18

6 Student Pipeline Of 100 9 th Graders, How Many... Of 100 9 th Graders, How Many... Student Pipeline Of 100 9 th Graders, How Many... Of 100 9 th Graders, How Many... 84 58 28 38.8 67 38 26 18 26.7 75 39 27 15 16.6 42 0 100 Graduate from High School DirectlyEnroll Sophomore Year Graduate within 150% 25 to 44 with a Bachelor's Best Performing State US Average West Virginia Within 4 Years Enter College Population Sources: Tom Mortenson, ACT, NCES-IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey, US Census Bureau

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8 College Going Rates – First-Time Freshmen Directly Out of HS as a Percent of Recent HS Graduates (%) - 2000 Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity

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10 Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment as a Percent 25 to 44 Year Olds (%) - 2000 Source: NCES-IPEDS, US Census Bureau 10.8 3.6 6.2 3.3 0 3 6 9 12 Arizona California Utah New Mexico Kansas Alaska Wyoming Nevada Illinois Oregon Michigan Nebraska Colorado Florida Missouri Washington Rhode Island Wisconsin Nation Maryland Texas Minnesota Virginia Iowa Oklahoma Delaware Maine North Carolina Hawaii Massachusetts Alabama Connecticut Idaho Ohio South Dakota Vermont Indiana South Carolina New Hampshire New Jersey Tennessee Arkansas New York Kentucky Georgia Louisiana Mississippi North Dakota West Virginia Pennsylvania Montana

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12 Source: NCES-IPEDS, Graduation Rate Survey Graduation Rates – Percent of Bachelor’s Students Graduating within Six Years (%) - 2000

13 Improvement in Preparation from the 2000 to 2002 Measuring Up Report Cards

14 WV NAEP Scores by Subject Area Compared to US WVUS

15 Percent of Secondary Teachers Majored in the Subject Field They Teach – 1999-2000 Source: NCES, Schools and Staffing Survey

16 Percent of Secondary Students Taught by Teachers with At Least a Minor in the Subject Field They Teach – 1999-2000

17 GEDs Awarded to 18-24 Year Olds Per 1,000 18-24 Year Olds with Less than a High School Diploma - 2000 Source: GED Testing Service, US Census Bureau 140.7 39.6 51.0 5.8 0 30 60 90 120 150 Maine Wyoming Alaska Montana Kentucky Rhode Island Oregon Utah Indiana Vermont Iowa Kansas New Hampshire North Dakota West Virginia New Mexico Florida Wisconsin Colorado Washington Tennessee Minnesota South Dakota Nebraska Hawaii New York Arkansas Ohio Massachusetts Oklahoma GeorgiaVirginia Nation Mississippi Michigan Missouri Illinois Maryland Pennsylvania Connecticut Alabama Nevada North Carolina Texas Louisiana Arizona South Carolina New Jersey Delaware California Idaho

18 WV Change in Gross State Product and Comparison to the US Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis 1% 11% 4% 18% 12% 5% 10% 13% 1% 6% 5% 11% 6% 1% 0% 19% 22% 11% 15% 14% 10% 12% 19% 17% 7% 9% 8% 5% 16% 12% 0% 25% Agriculture, forest., fish Mining Construction Manufacturing Transportation & utilities Wholesale trade Retail trade F.I.R.E. Services Government 19902000Nation in 2000

19 Employment by Job Type (1998-2001) Source: Tony Carnevale, Donna Deroschers (ETS) 3.0% 18.9% 23.0% 6.5% 8.8% 33.3% 6.4% 1.3% 21.1% 5.6% 10.1% 38.5% 6.9% 16.6% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% Natural Resources FactoryLow-Skilled Service HealthcareEducation, Public Service OfficeHigh Tech West VirginiaUS

20 Percent of Employees with a College Degree by Job Type (1998-2001) Source: Tony Carnevale, Donna Deroschers (ETS) 7.7% 7.5% 13.0% 50.3% 30.6% 57.8% 26.3% 10.3% 17.1% 62.6% 43.0% 66.2% 36.1% 12.3% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Natural Resources FactoryLow-Skilled Service Education and Healthcare OfficeHigh TechAll Jobs West VirginiaUS

21 Earnings by Job Type (1998-2001) Source: Tony Carnevale, Donna Deroschers (ETS) $36,425 $27,878 $14,423 $31,259 $28,059 $29,835 $36,551 $26,485 $20,765 $17,517 $39,701 $31,153 $40,807 $49,689 $33,221 $28,853 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 Natural Resources FactoryLow-Skilled Service HealthcareEducation, Public Service OfficeHigh TechAll Jobs West VirginiaUS

22 Median Earnings by Degree-Level ($) 22 to 29 Year Olds Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files. 17,300 20,000 21,950 25,000 32,000 38,000 13,500 17,700 18,000 20,000 26,100 30,900 10,000 14,000 12,500 17,250 20,000 26,300 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 Less Than HSHS or EquivalentSome CollegeAssociateBachelor'sGraduate/Professional Top StateUSWest Virginia

23 Median Earnings by Degree-Level ($) 30 to 64 Year Olds Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files. 22,700 30,000 35,000 37,000 50,000 61,000 77,750 75,000 17,700 24,000 28,000 30,000 40,000 47,000 65,000 60,000 15,900 20,000 23,000 27,050 32,100 37,500 61,000 51,000 $0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 Less Than HSHS or Equivalent Some CollegeAssociateBachelor'sMastersProfessionalDoctorate Top StateUSWest Virginia

24 Percent Employment in Professional and Management Occupations – 2000 Source: US Census Bureau

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26 Percent of Civilian Workforce Disabled WVUSLow State Civilian Workforce Disabled23.8%19.2%14.0% Civilian Workforce Disabled and Unemployed14.4%8.3%4.9% Males15.0%7.8%4.8% Females13.4%8.8%5.0% Percent of Disabled Unemployed59.6%43.4%35.0%

27 Interstate Migration of Adults with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher: Change in the Stock of Adults with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher Minus the Number of Bachelor’s Degrees Awarded (1990 to 2000) – 25 to 64 Year Olds Source: US Census Bureau, IPEDS Completions Survey 193 167 106 82 74 67 64 58 44 33 21 20 15 2 -4 -7 -8 -9 -12 -13 -14 -17 -19 -24 -27 -30 -37 -49 -50-51 -53 -57 -72 -75 -79 -80 -88 -93 -109 -120 -124 -138 -173 -281 -380 -51 -46 -10 -400 -200 0 200 Florida Georgia Colorado New Jersey Washington Arizona Nevada North Carolina Texas Virginia Oregon Maryland Idaho Alaska New Mexico Wyoming TennesseeMinnesota Hawaii Montana South Carolina DelawareArkansas South Dakota Maine Vermont New Hampshire Kentucky North Dakota Nebraska Mississippi Kansas Connecticut West Virginia Utah Illinois Rhode Island California WisconsinOklahomaAlabama Iowa LouisianaMissouriIndiana Michigan Massachusetts Ohio Pennsylvania New York (In Thousands) From 1990 to 2000, West Virginia Produced 84,106 Bachelor’s Degrees – While the Number of Adults 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher Rose by Only 33,577

28 Ratio of Net Migration of Bachelor’s Degrees to the Number of Bachelor’s Degrees Produced (%) Source: US Census Bureau, IPEDS Completions Survey, Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity

29 Net Migration by Degree-Level and Age-Group Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files.

30 WV Net Migration by Occupation All 22-29 Year Olds Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files. -980 -700 -640 -620 -580 -540 -480 -400 -380 40 60 80 100 200 -1000-800-600-400-2000200400 Primary, Secondary, and Special Education School Teachers Information and Record Clerks Computer Specialists Engineers Other Management Occupations Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners Supervisors, Sales Workers Counselors, Social Workers, and Other Community and Social Service Vehicle and Mobile Equipment Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers Health Technologists and Technicians Financial Specialists Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing Personal Appearance Workers Law Enforcement Workers Physical Scientists Other Protective Service Workers Postsecondary Teachers Food and Beverage Serving Workers Forest, Conservation, and Logging Workers Cooks and Food Preparation Workers

31 WV Net Migration by Occupation 22-29 Year Olds with College Degrees Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files. -880 -600 -540 -480 -440 -380 -340 -260 -240 -220 -200 40 60 -1000-800-600-400-2000200 Primary, Secondary, and Special Education School Teachers Engineers Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners Computer Specialists Other Management Occupations Counselors, Social Workers, and Other Community and Social Service Supervisors, Sales Workers Financial Specialists Financial Clerks Other Office and Administrative Support Workers Business Operations Specialists Information and Record Clerks Health Technologists and Technicians Physical Scientists Postsecondary Teachers Other Personal Care and Service Workers Law Enforcement Workers

32 WV Net Migration by Occupation All 30-64 Year Olds Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files. -720 -640 -480 -460 -380 -360 -300 -280 220 240 280 380 420 440 500 -1000-800-600-400-2000200400600 Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners Primary, Secondary, and Special Education School Teachers Other Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations Operations Specialties Managers Supervisors, Sales Workers Metal Workers and Plastic Workers Information and Record Clerks Computer Specialists Drafters, Engineering, and Mapping Technicians Financial Clerks Secretaries and Administrative Assistants Cooks and Food Preparation Workers Supervisors, Production Workers Religious Workers Food and Beverage Serving Workers Construction Trades Workers Motor Vehicle Operators Postsecondary Teachers Other Personal Care and Service Workers

33 WV Net Migration by Occupation 30-64 Year Olds with College Degrees Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files. -660 -640 -360 -320 -280 -160 100 140 280 460 -800-600-400-2000200400600 Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners Primary, Secondary, and Special Education School Teachers Operations Specialties Managers Supervisors, Sales Workers Financial Specialists Engineers Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing Advertising, Marketing, Promotions, Public Relations, and Sales Managers Health Technologists and Technicians Business Operations Specialists Counselors, Social Workers, and Other Community and Social Service Supervisors, Construction and Extraction Workers Physical Scientists Air Transportation Workers Supervisors, Production Workers Other Healthcare Support Occupations Religious Workers Postsecondary Teachers

34 Corporation for Enterprise Development – “Development Report Card for the States” 2001 2001

35 Progressive Policy Institute – “State New Economy Index” (2002)

36 Total Research and Development Expenditures Per Capita (2000) Source: National Science Foundation, US Census Bureau

37 Federal Research and Development Expenditures Per Capita (2000) Source: National Science Foundation, US Census Bureau

38 States’ Ability to Produce Graduates vs. Ability to Keep and Attract Graduates Student Pipeline (Of 100 9 th Graders—the Number Graduating from High School on time, Going Directly to College, Returning Their Second Year, and Completing College within 150 Percent of Degree Time) Import/Export Ratio of 22- to 29-Year-Olds with a College Degree 2 1 0 7.51522.530 3 AK NV NM GA ID FL OH NC MI MO VT KS NE ME PA RI TX OR AZ WA MD IL VA UT CA CO NYDEMN CT NH NJMA 0 State New Economy Index Scores (2002) Top Tier Middle Tier Low Tier OK LA AR MS HI KY AL TN SC WV MT IN SD WI ND IA WY Low Production, Importer of CapitalHigh Production, Importer of Capital Low Production, Exporter of CapitalHigh Production, Exporter of Capital


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