1. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations An Overview of Cumbria for Impact Housing Thursday 19 th June 2008 Dr. Dan Bloomer, Senior Policy Officer – Information and Intelligence

2. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Overview – 7 themes Life expectancy Demographic Change Health Educational and skills Wages and employment Satisfaction and Community Cohesion Mental Health and Suicide

3. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Theme 1: Life Expectancy

4. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Life expectancy at birth – England & Wales Source: ONS

5. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Life expectancy at birth – England & Wales Source: ONS 5.5 yrs 4.3 yrs 2.1 yrs 3.2 yrs

6. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Life expectancy at birth – Cumbria (04-06) Source: ONS

7. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Life expectancy in Cumbria Source: ONS

8. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Life expectancy – a summary Life expectancy is increasing nationally for both men and women The gap between life expectancy for men and women is shrinking There are significant variations in life expectancy around Cumbria Level are lowest for men in Barrow and for women in Allerdale and Copeland Life expectancy in Eden and South Lakeland are amongst the highest in the country

9. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Theme 2: Demographic Change

10. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Mid Year Estimates of Cumbria’s Population ONS

11. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Cumbria’s Population by Age Group 1981-2006 Mid Year Estimates

12. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Cumbria’s Population by Age Group 2004-2029 ONS Population Forecasts

13. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Cumbria – Net Internal (E&W) Migration, 1997-2006 GP Registrations

14. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Cumbria Population – Longer Term Trends ONS “Known”Forecasted

15. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Population Profile – Cumbria vs England ONS “Known”Forecasted

16. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Demographic change – a summary Cumbria’s population is growing but more slowly than nationally Overall growth masks demographic changes within the total population District trends vary. Eden’s population in fast growth, Barrow’s and Copeland’s populations declining These trends are forecast to continue Migration is a key control on past and future demographic structure

17. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Theme 3: Health

18. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Limiting long term illness - numbers Source: ONS

19. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Limiting long term illness - proportions Source: ONS

20. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Healthy life expectancy – Cumbria (2001) Source: ONS EnglandEdenCarlisleBarrowAllerdaleCopeland South Lakeland

21. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations 20.1% 24.7% 99.7k137.0k Change in LLTI, 2004-2029 Source: ONS

22. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Health and levels of satisfaction Source: QoL Survey 2006

23. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Alcohol related hospital admissions - under 18s PCT 3 rd in England 2 nd in England

24. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Teenage Pregnancy rates ONS

25. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Health – a summary Cumbria has higher levels of limiting long term illness than nationally The picture varies around the county – higher proportion in Barrow Similarly “healthy” life expectancy varies across Cumbria Eden and South Lakeland out perform England Demographic change can be expected to drive health changes Health status related to levels of satisfaction

26. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Theme 4: Education and Skills

27. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Qualification levels Source: APS

28. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations GCSE attainment - Cumbria Source: DCSF Av diff ‘92-’94 = 8.3% Av diff ‘04-’06 = 11.9%

29. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Range of GCSE Attainment - 2007 Source: DCSF County av = 45.7% England av = 46.8%

30. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Education and skills – a summary Cumbria has fewer people with no qualifications than nationally However county also has lower proportion of its workforce qualified to degree level More “lower level” qualifications Education attainment in the county is increasing Gap between attainment by boys and girls is increasing Significant range of attainment across the county’s secondary schools

31. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Theme 5: Wages and Employment

32. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Additional slide(s): National analysis of sectors paying low wages

33. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Additional slide(s): Assessment of the performance of these sectors in Cumbria

34. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Additional slide(s): Worklessness/economic activity in Cumbria

35. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Wages and employment – a summary tbc

36. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Theme 6: Satisfaction and Community Cohesion

37. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Issues – safer & stronger communities Source: BVGUSS

38. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Crime vs fear of crime Source: BCS

39. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Level of crime needs reducing Can influence decisions in your local area

40. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations General Happiness in Cumbria QoL Survey 2006

41. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfaction with local area QoL Survey 2006

42. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfied vs Not Satisfied by Age QoL Survey 2006

43. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfied vs Not Satisfied by Qualifications QoL Survey 2006

44. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfied vs Not Satisfied by Health QoL Survey 2006

45. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfied vs Not Satisfied by Fruit & Veg Consumption QoL Survey 2006

46. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfied vs Not Satisfied by Smoking QoL Survey 2006

47. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfied vs Not Satisfied by Alcohol Consumption QoL Survey 2006

48. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfied vs Not Satisfied by Exercise QoL Survey 2006 ModerateVigorous

49. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfaction & Community Cohesion – a summary Crime and important issue, although in decline Minority of residents are, in general, unhappy (3%) More people are dissatisfied with their local area (8%) More satisfied people tend to… o …be older (esp over 65) o …be better qualified (esp NVQ 3+) o …be more healthy o …eat more fruit and vegetables o …not smoke, but drink more o …and take vigorous, not moderate, exercise

50. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Theme 7: Mental Health and Suicide

51. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Mental Health Problems Source: Kings Fund

52. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Mental Health Problems Source: Kings Fund Costs: 2007 = £15bn 2026 = £35bn

53. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Suicide in Cumbria by age Source: Cumbria PCT

54. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Suicide in Cumbria Average of 56 suicides in Cumbria each year (11.6 per 100,000 population) Suicide levels in Cumbria are higher than in E&W Men are more likely to commit suicide than women Carlisle and Allerdale have suicide rates higher than national average (Carlisle = double) Causes: disability; illness (physical or mental); alcohol and drug misuse; stress (e.g. job loss, bereavement) – often a combination Source: Cumbria PCT

55. Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Mental health & suicide – a summary Forecasted increase in numbers of people suffering from mental health problems Increases driven largely through a growth in the size of the overall population Increases in level of dementia, however, driven by the aging of the population Higher rates of suicide than the national average Much more common in men than women