1. The Millennial Generation The Next Greatest Generation? American Association of School Administrators 801 N. Quincy St., Suite 700 Arlington, VA 22203 Standing Up For Public Education Standing Up For Kids

2. Most major negative indicators are falling

3. SOURCE: National Institutes of Health, National Institute on Drug Abuse, Monitoring the Future Survey.Monitoring the Future Survey Percentage of students who reported smoking cigarettes daily in the previous 30 days by school grade (1980-2003)

4. Percentage of students who reported having five or more alcoholic beverages in a row in the last 2 weeks by grade, 1980-2003 SOURCE: National Institutes of Health, National Institute on Drug Abuse, Monitoring the Future Survey.Monitoring the Future Survey

5. NOTE: Illicit drugs include marijuana, cocaine (including crack), heroin, hallucinogens (including LSD, PCP, and ecstasy [MDMA]), amphetamines (including methamphetamine), and nonmedical use of psychotherapeutics. SOURCE: National Institutes of Health, National Institute on Drug Abuse, Monitoring the Future Survey.Monitoring the Future Survey Percentage of students who reported using illicit drugs in the previous 30 days by grade (1980-2003)

6. Rate of serious violent crime victimization of youth ages 12 to 17 by gender (1980-2000) NOTE: Serious violent crimes include aggravated assault, rape, robbery (stealing by force or threat of violence), and homicide. Because of changes made in the victimization survey, data prior to 1992 are adjusted to make them comparable with data collected under the redesigned methodology. Numbers for 2000 are preliminary and do not contain final homicide estimates. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics, National Crime Victimization Survey. Federal Bureau of Investigation, Uniform Crime Reporting Program, Supplementary Homicide Reports.National Crime Victimization SurveySupplementary Homicide Reports

7. Serious violent crime offending rate by youth ages 12 to 17, 1980-2000 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics, National Crime Victimization Survey. Federal Bureau of Investigation, Uniform Crime Reporting Program, Supplementary Homicide Reports.National Crime Victimization SurveySupplementary Homicide Reports

8. Serious violent crime victimization and perpetration rates for youth ages 12 to 17 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics, National Crime Victimization Survey. Federal Bureau of Investigation, Uniform Crime Reporting Program, Supplementary Homicide Reports.National Crime Victimization SurveySupplementary Homicide Reports Above figure at ChildStats.gov

9. In the 10 years between 1992 and 2001, the decline in the number of violent crime arrests was greater for juveniles than adults: Violent Crime Index –21% –9% Murder–62–29 Forcible rape –24–29 Robbery–32–23 Aggravated assault –14 –3 Data source: Crime in the United States 2001, table 32. JuvenileAdult

10. 1.All the growth in the juvenile violent crime arrest rate that began in the latter part of the 1980s was erased by 2001. The juvenile Violent Crime Index arrest rate in 2001 was at its lowest level since 1983—44% below the peak year of 1994 Data source: Analysis of arrest data from the FBI and population data from the U.S. Bureau of the Census.

11. After years of relative stability, the juvenile arrest rate for Property Crime Index offenses began a decline in the mid-1990s that continued through 2001 Data source: Analysis of arrest data from the FBI and population data from the U.S. Bureau of the Census.

12. Trends in juvenile arrest rates for weapons law violations and for murder were similar between 1980 and 2001

13. Data source: Analysis of arrest data from the FBI and population data from the U.S. Bureau of the Census. The juvenile arrest rate for drug abuse violations soared in the mid-1990s

14. Adolescent mortality: Death rates among adolescents ages 15 to 19 by cause of death SOURCE: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Immunization Program and National Center for Health Statistics, National Immunization Survey.National Immunization Survey Above figure at ChildStats.gov

15. Above found at School Violence Resource Center website, Fact Sheet:What are the Odds?

16. Source: The Alan Guttmacher Institute, 2004.

17. Birth rates by mother's age, race, and Hispanic origin 1980-2002 SOURCE: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Immunization Program and National Center for Health Statistics, National Immunization Survey.National Immunization Survey Above figure at ChildStats.gov

18. Source: The Alan Guttmacher Institute, 2004.

20. Percentage of youth ages 16 to 19 who are neither enrolled in school nor working by gender, race, and Hispanic origin SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey.Current Population Survey Above figure at ChildStats.gov

21. Number of homicides and suicides of youth ages 5-19 at school 1 Homicides and suicides of youth ages 5–19 at school from July 1,1992 to June 30,2002. 2 Data are preliminary and subject to change. SOURCE: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), 1992–2002 School-Associated Violent Deaths Surveillance System, previously unpublished tabulation (August 2003). Above found in National Center for Education Statistics Indicators of School Crime and Safety, 2003.

22. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics, National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS), 1992–2001. Above found in National Center for Education Statistics Indicators of School Crime and Safety, 2003. Rate of Non-fatal crimes against students ages 12-18 per 1000 students, by location

23. Percentage of students in grades 9-12 who reported carrying a weapon at least 1 day during the previous 30 days, by sex SOURCE: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System (YRBSS), “Youth Risk Behavior Survey” (YRBS), selected years 1993–2001. Above found in National Center for Education Statistics Indicators of School Crime and Safety, 2003.

24. At the same time, positive indicators are rising

25. YearAP SchoolsAP CandidatesAP Exams TakenColleges Receiving AP Grades 1955-561041,2292,199130 1960-611,12613,28317,603617 1965-662,51838,17850,1041,076 1970-713,34257,85074,4091,382 1975-763,93775,65198,8981,580 1980-815,253133,702178,1591,955 1985-867,201231,378319,2242,125 1990-919,786359,120535,1862,587 1995-9611,712537,428843,4232,895 1996-9712,022581,554921,6012,872 1997-9812,486635,1681,016,6572,964 1998-9912,886704,2981,149,5153,007 1999-200013,253768,5861,272,3173,070 2000-0113,680844,7411,414,3873,199 2001-0214,157937,9511,585,5163,388 cumulative (1955-02): 10,541,457*16,118,698 Source: College Board

26. AP Candidates and Exams Taken Source: College Board

27. Number of Schools offering AP Courses

28. Average Number of Carnegie Units Earned by Public High School Graduates from 1982-2000 Source: National Center for Education Statistics, November 2002

29. Average Number of Carnegie Units Earned by Public High School Graduates from 1982-2000 Source: National Center for Education Statistics, November 2002

30. Percentage of high school graduates who completed high-level coursework in mathematics, science, English, and foreign language SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, High School and Beyond Survey,High School and Beyond Survey National Education Longitudinal Study of 1988,National Education Longitudinal Study of 1988, and National Assessment of Educational Progress Transcript Study.National Assessment of Educational Progress Transcript Study Above figure at ChildStats.gov

31. Adults have a mistaken impression of young people. –Adults think kids are more dangerous and commit more crimes –Adults think schools are more dangerous –But adults do acknowledge that kids work harder in school than they did, but not by a wide margin –Some good things about today’s kids must be sinking in with adults because they do see them as better citizens than they were

32. I have more concern that teens today will engage in aggressive behavior than my parents did when I was a teenager 11% 2% 5% 9% 60% 24% Total Agree 84% Total Disagree 14%

33. Today’s young people commit fewer crimes and are less likely to use drugs than previous generations 11% 2% 11%16% 25%46% Total Agree 27% Total Disagree 71%

34. Do you think that ELEMENTARY SCHOOLS are (much/somewhat) more or less dangerous than when you were a child? Much more 26% Somewhat more 40% Somewhat less 15% Much less 6% Neither 12% Totals More Dangerous – 66% Less Dangerous – 21%

35. Do you think that MIDDLE SCHOOLS are (much/somewhat) more or less dangerous than when you were a child? Much more 43% Somewhat more 37% Somewhat less 9% Totals More Dangerous – 80% Less Dangerous – 12% Neither 6% Much less 3%

36. Do you think that HIGH SCHOOLS are (much/somewhat) more or less dangerous than when you were a child? Much more 56% Somewhat more 31% Somewhat less 6% Totals More Dangerous – 87% Less Dangerous – 8% Neither 4% Much less 2%

37. Do you think that (insert item) schools are (more/somewhat) more or less dangerous than when you were a child? Total More Elementary 66% Middle 80% High 87% Total Less Elementary 21% Middle 12% High 8%

38. Children today work harder in school-they take more classes and harder classes-than previous generations 11% 3% 29% 21%18% Total Agree 58% Total Disagree 40%

39. Children today are more likely to be good citizens 11% 2% 14%41% 28%15% Total Agree 54% Total Disagree 43%

40. Persons in selected age groups as a percentage of the total U.S. population SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates and ProjectionsPopulation EstimatesProjections Above figure at ChildStats.gov