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Chapter 24 Comparing Means.

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Presentation on theme: "Chapter 24 Comparing Means."— Presentation transcript:

1 Chapter 24 Comparing Means

2 Comparing Two Means An educator believes that new reading activities for elementary school children will improve reading comprehension scores. She randomly assigns her third-grade students to one of two groups. The first group will use a traditional reading program and the second group will use the new reading activities. At the end of the experiment, both groups take a reading comprehension exam. Are the scores for the new reading activities group higher than for the traditional group?

3 Comparing Two Means Look at boxplot of each group’s scores.

4 Comparing Two Means What do you see?
____________________________________

5 Comparing Two Means Does the new reading program produce better average scores? For this particular class _________________________________ For population of all third-graders _________________________________

6 Comparing Two Means μ1 = _____________________________
μ2 = _____________________________ Interested in quantity μ1 - μ2.

7 Comparing Two Means μ1 and μ2 are parameters (unknown).
________________________________ Estimate μ1 - μ2 with

8 Sampling Distribution
Assumptions: Random Samples Samples are Independent Nearly Normal Population Distributions

9 Sampling Distribution
If Assumptions hold, sampling distribution is

10 Sampling Distribution
σ1 and σ2 are parameters (unknown). ____________________________

11 Sampling Distribution

12 Degrees of Freedom? t really doesn’t have a t distribution.
The true distribution of t is ________________________________ when you use this formula for the degrees of freedom.

13 Degrees of Freedom?

14 Degrees of Freedom? Problem:
____________________________________ Can use simpler, more conservative method.

15 Inference for μ1 - μ2 C% confidence interval for μ1 - μ2
t* is critical value from t distribution table. d.f. = n1 – 1 or n2 – 1, whichever is smaller.

16 Example #1 A statistics student designed an experiment to test the battery life of two brands of batteries. For the sample of 6 generic batteries, the mean amount of time the batteries lasted was minutes with a standard deviation of 10.3 minutes. For the sample of 6 name brand batteries, the mean amount of time the batteries lasted was minutes with a standard deviation of 14.6 minutes. Calculate a 90% confidence interval for the difference in battery life between the generic and name brand batteries.

17 Example #1 (cont.) Assumptions: Random samples Independent samples
OK Independent samples different batteries for each sample. Nearly Normal data shows no real outliers.

18 Example #1 (cont.) d.f. = 5 μ1 = ______________________________
μ2 = ______________________________

19 Example #1 (cont.)

20 Example #1 (cont.)

21 Example #2 The Core Plus Mathematics Project was designed to help students improve their mathematical reasoning skills. At the end of 3 years, students in both the CPMP program and students in a traditional math program took an algebra test (without calculators). The 312 CPMP students had a mean score of 29.0 and a standard deviation of 18.8 while the 265 traditional students had a mean score of 38.4 with a standard deviation of Calculate a 95% confidence interval for the mean difference in scores between the two groups.

22 Example #2 (cont.) Assumptions: Random samples Independent samples
no reason to think non-random Independent samples different students in each group Nearly Normal n1 and n2 are large, so not important.

23 Example #2 (cont.) d.f. = smaller of 311 and 264 = 264
μ1 = _____________________________ μ2 = _____________________________

24 Example #2 (cont.)

25 Example #2 (cont.)

26 Hypothesis Test for μ1 - μ2
HO: __________________________ HA: Three possibilities HA: ______________________________

27 Hypothesis Test for μ1 - μ2
Assumptions Random samples. Independent samples. Nearly Normal Population Distributions.

28 Hypothesis Test for μ1 - μ2
Test statistic: d.f. = smaller of n1 – 1 and n2 – 1

29 P-value for Ha:__________________
P-value = P(t d.f. > t)

30 P-value for Ha: _________________
P-value = P(t d.f. < t)

31 P-value for Ha:__________________
2*P(t d.f. > |t|)

32 Hypothesis Test for μ1 - μ2
Small p-value _____________________________________ Large p-value

33 Decision If p-value < α __________________________________

34 Hypothesis Test for μ1 - μ2
Conclusion: Statement about value of μ1 - μ2. Always stated in terms of problem.

35 Example #1 Back to the reading example. The educator takes a random sample of all third graders in a large school district and divides them into the two groups. The mean score of the 18 students in the new activities group was with a standard deviation of The mean score of the 20 students in the traditional group was 41.8 with a standard deviation of Is this evidence that the students in the new activities group have a higher mean reading score? Use α = 0.1.

36 Example #1 (cont.) μ1 = ______________________________
μ2 = ______________________________

37 Example #1 (cont.) HO: ____________ HA: ____________ Assumptions:
Random Samples OK Independent Samples Different set of students in each group. Nearly Normal boxplots look symmetric

38 Example #1 (cont.)

39 Example #1 (cont.) d.f. = smaller of 17 or 19 = 17 P-value

40 Example #1 (cont.) Decision:

41 Example #1 (cont.) Conclusion:

42 Example #2 In June 2002, the Journal of Applied Psychology reported on a study that examined whether the content of TV shows influenced the ability of viewers to recall brand names of items featured in commercials. Researchers randomly assigned volunteers to watch either a program with violent content or a program with neutral content. Both programs featured the same 9 commercials. After the shows ended, subjects were asked to recall the brands in the commercials. Is there evidence that viewer memory for ads differs between programs? Use α = 0.05

43 Example #2 (cont.) μ1 = _____________________________
μ2 = _____________________________

44 Example #2 (cont.) HO: ______________ HA: ______________ Assumptions:
Random Samples no reason to think not random Independent Samples Different people in each group. Nearly Normal n1 and n2 are large so not important

45 Example #2 (cont.)

46 Example #2 (cont.) d.f. = smaller of 107 or 107 = 107 P-value

47 Example #2 (cont.) Decision:

48 Example #2 (cont.) Conclusion:


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