1. CITS7212 Computational Intelligence CI Technologies

2. Particle swarm optimisation A population-based stochastic optimisation technique Eberhart and Kennedy, 1995 Inspired by bird-flocking Imagine a flock of birds searching a landscape for food Each bird is currently at some point in the landscape Each bird flies continually over the landscape Each bird remembers where it has been and how much food was there Each bird is influenced by the findings of the other birds Collectively the birds explore the landscape and share the resulting food

3. PSO For our purposes The landscape represents the possible solutions to a problem (i.e. the search space) Time moves in discrete steps called generations At a given generation, each bird has a position in the landscape and a velocity Each bird knows Which point it has visited that scored the best (its personal best pbest) Which point visited by any bird that scored the best (the global best gbest) At each generation, for each bird Update (stochastically) its velocity v, favouring pbest and gbest Use v to update its position Update pbest and gbest as appropriate

4. PSO Initialisation can be by many means, but often is just done randomly Termination criteria also vary, but often termination is either After a fixed number of generations, or After convergence is “achieved”, e.g. if gbest doesn’t improve for a while After a solution is discovered that is better than a given standard Performance-wise A large population usually gives better results A large number of generations gives better results But both obviously have computational costs Clearly an evolutionary searching algorithm, but co-operation is via gbest, rather than via crossover and survival as in EAs

5. Ant colony optimisation Another population-based stochastic optimisation technique Dorigo et al., 1996 Inspired by colonies of ants communicating via pheromones Imagine a colony of ants with a choice of two paths around an obstacle A shorter path ABXCD vs. a longer path ABYCD Each ant chooses a path probabilistically wrt the amount of pheromone on each Each ant lays pheromone as it moves along its chosen path Initially 50% of ants go each way, but the ants going via X take a shorter time, therefore more pheromone is laid on that path Later ants are biased towards ABXCD by this pheromone, which reinforces the process Eventually almost all ants will choose ABXCD Pheromone evaporates over time to allow adaptation to changing situations

6. ACO The key points are that Paths with more pheromone are more likely to be chosen by later ants Shorter/better paths are likely to have more pheromone Therefore shorter/better paths are likely to be favoured over time But the stochastic routing and the evaporation means that new paths can be explored

7. ACO Consider the application of ACO to the Traveling Salesman Problem Given n cities, find the shortest tour that visits each city exactly once Given m ants, each starting from a random city In each iteration, each ant chooses a city it hasn’t visited yet Ants choose cities probabilistically, favouring links with more pheromone After n iterations (i.e. one cycle), all ants have done a complete tour, and they all lay pheromone on each link they used The shorter an ant’s tour, the more pheromone it lays on each link In subsequent cycles, ants tend to favour links that contributed to short tours in earlier cycles The shortest tour found so far is recorded and updated appropriately Initialisation and termination are performed similarly to PSO

8. Learning Classifier Systems Reading: M. Butz and S. Wilson, “An algorithmic description of XCS”, Advances in Learning Classifier Systems, 2001 O. Sigaud and S. Wilson, “Learning classifier systems: a survey”, Soft Computing – A Fusion of Foundations, Methodologies and Applications 11(11), 2007 R. Urbanomwicz and J. Moore, “Learning classifier systems: a complete introduction, review, and roadmap”, Journal of Artificial Evolution and Applications, 2009

9. LCSs Inspired by a model of human learning: frequent update of the efficacy of existing rules occasional modification of governing rules ability to create, remove, and generalise rules LCSs simulate adaptive expert systems – adapting both the value of individual rules and the structural composition of rules in the rule set LCSs are hybrid machine learning techniques, combining reinforcement learning and EAs reinforcement learning used to update rule quality an EA used to update the composition of the rule set

10. Algorithm Structure An LCS maintains a population of condition-action-prediction rules called classifiers the condition defines when the rule matches the action defines what action the system should take the prediction indicates the expected reward of the action At each step (input), the LCS: forms a match set of classifiers whose conditions are satisfied by the input chooses the action from the match set with the highest average reward, weighted by classifier fitness (reliability) forms the action set – the subset of classifiers from the match set who suggest the chosen action executes the action and observes the returned payoff

11. Algorithm Structure Simple reinforcement learning is used to update prediction and fitness values for each classifier in the action set A steady-state EA is used to evolve the composition of the classifiers in the LCS the EA executes at regular intervals to replace the weakest members of the population the EA operates on the condition and action parts of classifiers Extra phases for rule subsumption (generalisation) and rule creation (covering) are used to ensure a minimal covering set of classifiers is maintained

12. An Example Diagram taken from a seminar on using LCSs for fraud detection, by M. Behdad

13. LCS Variants There are two main styles of LCS algorithms: 1.Pittsburgh-style: each population member represents a separate rule set, each forming a permanent “team” 2.Michigan-style: a single population of rules is maintained; rules form ad-hoc “teams” as required LCS variants differ on the definition of fitness: strength-based (ZCS): classifier fitness is based on the predicted reward of the classifier and not its accuracy accuracy-based (XCS): classifier fitness is based on the accuracy of the classifier and not its predicted reward, thus promoting the evolution of accurate classifiers XCS generally has better performance, although understanding when remains an open question

14. Fuzzy logic facilitates the definition of control systems that can make good decisions from noisy, imprecise, or partial information Zadeh, 1973 Two key concepts Graduation: everything is a matter of degree e.g. it can be “not cold”, or “a bit cold”, or “a lot cold”, or … Granulation: everything is “clumped”, e.g. age is young, middle-aged, or old Fuzzy systems age 1 0 old middle-aged young

15. Fuzzy Logic The syntax of Fuzzy logic typically includes propositions ("It is raining", "CITS7212 is difficult", etc.), and Boolean connectives (and, not, etc.) The semantics of Fuzzy logic differs from propositional logic; rather than assigning a True/False value to a proposition, we assign a degree of truth between 0 and 1, (e.g. v("CITS7212 is difficult") = 0.8) Typical interpretations of the operators and and not are v(not p) = 1 – v(p) v(p and q) = min { v(p), v(q) } (Godel-Dummett norm) Different semantics may be given by varying the interpretation of and (the T-norm). Anything commutative, associative, monotonic, continuous, and with 1 as an identity is a T-norm. Other common T-norms are: v(p and q) = v(p)*v(q) (product norm) and v(p and q) = max{v(p) + v(q) -1, 0} (Lukasiewicz norm)

16. Vagueness and Uncertainty The product norm captures our understanding of probability or uncertainty with a strong independence assumption prob(Rain and Wind) = prob(Rain) * prob(Wind) The Godel-Dummett norm is a fair representation of Vagueness: If it’s a bit windy and very rainy, it’s a bit windy and rainy Fuzzy logic provides a unifying logical framework for all CI Techniques, as CI techniques are inherently vague Whether or not it is actually implemented is another question

17. A fuzzy control system is a collection of rules IF X [AND Y] THEN Z e.g. IF cold AND ¬warming-up THEN open heating valve slightly Such rules are usually derived empirically from experience, rather than from the system itself Attempt to mimic human-style logic Granulation means that the exact values of any constants (e.g. where does cold start/end?) are less important The fuzzy rules typically take observations, and according to these observations’ membership of fuzzy sets, we get a fuzzy action The fuzzy action then needs to be defuzzified to become a precise output Fuzzy Controllers

18. Fuzzy Control temperature d(temperature) / dt Cold zero Right +ve Hot -ve heat cool heat no change Applying Fuzzy Rules Image from http://www.faqs.org/docs/fuzzy/