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Machine Science Distilling Free-Form Natural Laws from Experimental Data Hod Lipson, Cornell University
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Lipson & Pollack, Nature 406, 2000
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Camera View
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Adapting in simulation Simulator Evolve Controller In Simulation Try it in reality! Download Crossing The Reality Gap
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Adapting in reality Evolve Controller In Reality Try it ! Too many Physical Trials
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Simulation & Reality Evolve Controller “Simulator” Try it in reality! Build Collect Sensor DataEvolve Simulator Evolve Simulators Evolve Robots
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Servo Actuators Tilt Sensors
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Emergent Self-Model With Josh Bongard and Victor Zykov, Science 2006
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Damage Recovery With Josh Bongard and Victor Zykov, Science 2006
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Random Predicted Physical
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System Identification ?
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Perturbations
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Photo: Floris van Breugel
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Structural Damage Diagnosis With Wilkins Aquino
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. com With Jeff Clune, Jason Yosinski
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Symbolic Regression f(x)=e x sin(|x|) What function describes this data? John Koza, 1992
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Encoding Equations * sin – x1x1 3 f(x)f(x) + x2x2 -7 Building Blocks: + - * / sin cos exp log … etc sin(x 2 ) x 1 *sin(x 2 ) (x 1 – 3)*sin(x 2 ) (x 1 – 3)*sin(-7 + x 2 ) John Koza, 1992
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Michael D. Schmidt, Hod Lipson (2006) Models: Expression trees Subject to mutation and selection Experiments: Data-points Subject to mutation and selection {const,+,-,*,/,sin,cos,exp,log,abs}
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Solution Accuracy Entire Dataset Coevolved Dataset
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Solution Complexity Entire Dataset Coevolved Dataset
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Semi-empirical mass formula Modeling the binding energy of an atomic nucleus R 2 = 0.999915 Weizsäcker’s Formula: R 2 = 0.99944 Inferred Formula:
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Systems of Differential Equations Regress on derivative timex 1 x 2 … 03.4-1.7… 0.13.2-0.9… 0.23.1-0.1… 0.32.71.2… ………… State Variables dx 1 /dtx 2 /dt … -2.08.0… -1.08.0… -4.01.3… -5.71.9… ……… Derivatives
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Original Equations Inferred Equations Inferring Biological Networks With Michael Schmidt, John Wikswo (Vanderbilt), Jerry Jenkins (CFDRC)
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Charles Richter
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Ingmar Zanger, John Amend
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Wet Data, Unknown System With Michael Schmidt (Cornell) and Gurol Suel (UT Southwestern)
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Wet Data, Unknown System With Michael Schmidt (Cornell) and Gurol Suel (UT Southwestern)
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Cell #1 Cell #2 Cell #3-60 …
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Blue Dots = data points, Green Line = regressed fit = =
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Biologist’s Inferred Model: Gurol Suel, et. al., Science 2007 Symbolic Regression Inferred Time-Delay Model:
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Withheld Test Set #1 Fit
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Withheld Test Set #2 Fit
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Withheld Test Set #3 Fit
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Looking For Invariants
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Data Mining
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42 42+x-x 42+1/(1000+x 2 ) ?
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From Data: x y… 0.12.3 0.24.5 0.39.7 0.45.1 0.53.3 0.61.0 ……… δxδx δyδy δyδy δxδx,, … Calculate partial derivatives Numerically: δfδf δxδx δfδf δyδy From Equation: δx’δx’ δy’δy’ δy’δy’ δx’δx’,, … Calculate predicted partial derivatives Symbolically:
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x y x 3 + x – y 2 – 1.5 = 0x 2 + y 2 – 16 = 0x 2 + y 2 + z 2 – 1 = 0 x y x z Homework CircleElliptic CurveSphere
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Linear Oscillator Coefficients may have different scales and offsets each run
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Pendulum H L
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Double Linear Oscillator would be plus for Lagrangian
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xyz z=f(x,y) ? dy/dt=f(x,y) ? f(x,y,z)=0 ?
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Run…
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xyz z=f(x,y) ? dy/dt=f(x,y) ? f(x,y,z)=0 ? I feel lucky
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Von Thomas Hermanowski, Dr. Andreas Rick, Dr. Jochen Weber
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Particle Accelerators angle Distortion Correction (GE X-Ray Detectors) 5x Resolution Improvement Jay Schuren
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Concluding Remarks Correlation is enough. Faced with massive data, [the Scientific Method] is becoming obsolete. We can stop looking for models. “ ” Chris Anderson Wired 16.07 The data deluge accelerates our ability to hypothesize, model, and test.
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Theoretical physicists are not yet obsolete, but scientists have taken steps toward replacing themselves
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I am worried that we have enjoyed a brief window in human history where we could actually understand things, but that period may be coming to an end. -- Steve Strogatz The end of insight
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