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Monetary Policy Report July 2012. Unease in Europe casts a shadow over the Swedish economy.

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Presentation on theme: "Monetary Policy Report July 2012. Unease in Europe casts a shadow over the Swedish economy."— Presentation transcript:

1 Monetary Policy Report July 2012

2 Unease in Europe casts a shadow over the Swedish economy

3 Unease on financial markets Government bonds with 10 years left to maturity, per cent Source: Reuters EcoWin

4 Large differences in growth in Europe GDP growth, annual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Federal Statistical Office, Germany, Statistics Norway, Istat, National Institute of Statistics, Italy and INE – National Statistics Institute, Spain

5 Limited contagion effects on rest of world GDP, annual percentage change Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Eurostat, IMF and the Riksbank

6 Continued growth in Sweden despite Europe’s problems GDP, quarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

7 Confidence among households and companies has dampened slightly Index, mean = 100, standard deviation = 10 Source: National Institute of Economic Research

8 Labour market better than expected Unemployment, percentage of the labour force, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

9 Increased cost pressures Wages according to the short-term wage statistics, definitive and forecast of definitive outcome, annual percentage change Sources: National Mediation Office and the Riksbank

10 Low but rising inflation Note. Annual percentage change. CPIF is CPI with a fixed mortgage rate. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

11 Repo rate remains low Repo rate, per cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank

12 A forecast, not a promise Repo rate, per cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Confidence among households and companies returns faster than expected Problems in the euro area worsen

13 Unease in Europe casts a shadow over the Swedish economy


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