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Renewable Energy Project Economics, Policy and Incentives NARUC Staff Subcommittee on Accounting and Finance October 8, 2007 Dr. Lola Infante Manager, Generation Fuels and Market Analysis
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Renewable energy: Economics, barriers and incentives Market penetration Renewables’ share in power generation remains modest Growth driven by wind Drivers Renewable energy standards Financial incentives Cost remains a main barrier for renewable deployment Capital cost Transmission and integration Intermittency requires additional reserves Growth will depend on policy and technology developments
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Energy Sources and Uses Sources: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, 2004 data.
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Renewable Energy Net Generation - 2006 * Includes wind, solar, biomass and other non-hydropower renewable energy sources. ** Includes generation by batteries, chemicals, pitch, and purchased steam. Source: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, 2006 data
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Growth of renewables Source: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, 2006 data
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Growth of Wind million MWh Sources: EIA Electric Power Monthly and EIA Electric Power Annual.
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Renewable generation in the states generation mix Data: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, 2006 data Only shown the states with total renewable generation >1%
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Where renewable generation is Data: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, 2006 data Only shown the states with total renewable generation >1% of US total Wind
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Drivers Renewable Energy Standards in the states (26 + DC) create a “regulatory” demand for renewables The PTC and other financial incentives facilitate the financing of new capacity and lower its cost
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26 States & The District of Columbia Have Renewable Energy Standards
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Resources: Wind Power Source: NREL, Wind Energy Resource Atlas of the United States
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Resources: Solar Radiation – Tracking Concentrator Source: NREL
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Resources: Biomass Source: NREL
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Resources: Geothermal Source: NREL, Geothermal Resources Estimates for the US, Technical Report, NREL/TP-840-40665, Nov. 2006
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Costs are increasing: Wind Power Prices
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Costs are increasing: Project costs increases are a function of turbine prices
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Transmission Access for Renewable Energy Source: Global Energy Decisions, Inc., The Velocity Suite
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Future Contribution of Renewables to the National Fuel Mix 2006 2030 Source: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, 2006 data Source: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2007 Early Release BAU - generation
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Future Contribution of Renewables to the National Fuel Mix
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Thank you! Contact information: Lola Infante linfante@eei.org (202)508-5133
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