1. Renewable Energy Target for Europe 20 % by 2020 EREC European Renewable Energy Council Energy, greenhouse gas emissions and climate change scenarios EEA, Copenhagen 29-30 June 2004 Christian Kjaer, European Wind Energy Association

2. European Renewable Energy Council Umbrella organisation regrouping: As Members EPIAEuropean Photovoltaic IndustryAssociation ESHAEuropean Small Hydropower Association ESTIFEuropean Solar Thermal Industry Federation EUBIAEuropean Biomass Industry Association EWEAEuropean Wind Energy Association EUREC AgencyEuropean Renewable Energy Research Centers Agency As Associate Members EGECEuropean Geothermal Energy Council AEBIOMEuropean Biomass Association

3. EREC‘s objectives  To act as a forum for exchange of information and discussion on issues related to RES.  To provide information and consultancy on renewable energies for the political decision makers on local, regional, national and international level.  To launch policy initiatives to create a positive framework for renewable energy sources  To promote European RES equipment, products and services on world markets

4. 20 % by 2020 in Europe

5. 20 % by 2020  A contribution of RES to total inland consumption of 20 % by 2020 is possible  The contribution of RES to electricity production will be more than 33 % in 2020  The contribution of RES to heat production will be 25 % in 2020.

6. 2000TARGETS 2010TARGETS 2020 TYPE OF ENERGYEurostat Convention % of total Eurostat Convention % of total Eurostat Convention % of total Total Gross Inland Consumption 1,4551,576 (trends to 2030) 1,576 1. Wind1.920.1314.40.91382.4 2. Hydro27.61.930.61.94332.1 3. Photovoltaics0.010.30.023.60.2 4. Biomass54.53.73125.57.9620513.0 5. Geothermal3.320.226.20.412.40.8 6. STC0.380.0230.2241.5 Total Renewable Energies 87.86.018011.4331620.0 Contribution of RES to Total Inland Consumption – 20% by2020 Eurostat Convention (Mtoe)

7. 1995 Eurostat TWh 2000 Eurostat TWh 2010 Projections TWh 2020 Projections TWh Wind422.4168444 PV0.030.13.642 Biomass22.539.2141282 Hydro290.2321.5355.4384 Geothermal3.54.8714 TOTAL RES320.23886751166 Total Electricity Generation (Trends to 2030)2308.3257430273450 Share of RES13.9%15.1%22.3%33.8% Contribution of Renewables to Electricity Production (1995-2020)

8. Contribution of Renewable Energy to Heat Production (1995- 2020)

9. 2001-2010 Billion Euro 2011-2020 Billion Euro 2001-2020 Billion Euro Wind55101156 PV106676 Biomass444589 Hydro11920 Geothermal4711 Solar thermal167591 TOTAL RES140303443 Total RES investment (2001 – 2020)

10. 2001-2010 Billion Euro 2001-2020 Billion Euro Wind9.4 – 24.040.2 – 102.8 PV0.2 – 0.52.7 – 6.8 Biomass16.7 – 42.762.6 – 160.1 Hydro2.2 – 5.67.5 – 19.1 Geothermal0.6 – 1.42.5 – 6.3 Solar thermal1.3 – 3.411.2 – 28.8 TOTAL RES30.4 – 77.6126.7 – 323.9 Cumulative Avoided External Costs in the EU15 (2001 – 2020)

11. 2010 Mt/year 2020 Mt/year Wind99236 PV2.224 Biomass176326 Hydro2335 Geothermal5.815 Solar thermal1492 TOTAL RES320728 % of total EU15 CO2 emissions in 20009.6%21.9% Annual CO 2 Emission Reductions due to RES Penetration due to RES Penetration (2001 – 2020)

12. 2001-2010 Billion Euro 2001-2020 Billion Euro Wind12.963 PV0.24.3 Biomass-- Hydro3.111.5 Geothermal1.57.3 Solar thermal2.329.7 TOTAL RES20.0115.8 Cumulative Avoided Fuel Costs in the EU-15 (2001 – 2020)