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Published byBruce Garrett Modified over 9 years ago
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2012 NC-CCIM Charlotte Commercial Real Estate Market Forecast “Financing for Commercial Real Estate”
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Loans are subject to credit approval BB&T Best Bank in Town Since 1872 Headquartered in Winston-Salem 18 th largest U.S. bank by assets NEVER recorded a quarterly loss during the “Great Recession” Asset base of over $174 Billion One of the first banks to repay TARP and increase its dividend New commercial real estate focus with John Kraynik as practice leader
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Loans are subject to credit approval Grandbridge Real Estate Capital Headquartered in Charlotte BB&T Subsidiary One of the nation’s largest commercial mortgage bankers Closed $4.8 Billion in financing in 2011 Servicing portfolio of $26 Billion 23 production offices in 16 states plus Washington, DC 30 CCIM’s on staff
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Loans are subject to credit approval Grandbridge Real Estate Capital IS A PROVIDER OF: Permanent Loan Placements Acquisition / Interim Bridge Financing Mezzanine Debt – Stabilized and Construction Mezz Preferred Equity Developmental and Acquisition JV Equity
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Loans are subject to credit approval Grandbridge Real Estate Capital Freddie Mac Seller/Servicer Fannie Mae DUS Lender MAP and Lean Approved FHA Lender Insurance Company Correspondent with over 2 dozen servicing lenders in Charlotte alone BB&T Real Estate Funding – proprietary bridge lending platform CMBS origination and servicing relationships
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Loans are subject to credit approval Grandbridge Real Estate Capital Charlotte Production 8 People 2 CCIM’s; 1 CFA; 1 CPA; 1 MAI $500 Million in 2011 $1.8 Billion Past Five Years
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Loans are subject to credit approval
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MARKET
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Loans are subject to credit approval Insurance Company, GSE, CMBS Lending Volumes: 2011 -- $139 Billion 2012 -- $154 Billion
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Loans are subject to credit approval Insurance Companies Source: MBA, GBRE estimates 2011 Lending Volume: $50 Billion Forecast 2012 Volume: $55 Billion
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Loans are subject to credit approval CMBS Lenders 2011 Lending Volume: $30 Billion Forecast 2012 Volume: $40 Billion Source: MBA
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Loans are subject to credit approval GSE Lenders Source: MBA 2011 Lending Volume: $59 Billion Forecast 2012 Volume: $59 Billion
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Loans are subject to credit approval Source: MBA & GBRE Estimate
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Loans are subject to credit approval Source: Trepp, LLC
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Loans are subject to credit approval Source: Trepp, LLC
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Loans are subject to credit approval Financing multifamily and commercial real estate today
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Loans are subject to credit approval Active Lenders Insurance companies Agencies (Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, FHA/HUD) Bridge lenders (BB&T REF, others) Mezzanine lenders Preferred equity providers Banks (BB&T) CMBS Lenders Non-traditional lenders
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Loans are subject to credit approval Loan Types Available Today Immediate funding interim and permanent loans » Non-recourse; $1 Million and up……. » Acquisition, refinance, construction takeout » Fixed and variable rate » Bullet or self-amortizing » 3 to 20 year terms (30 - 40 for multifamily) » Amortization 15 - 30 years with some 30-year schedules (FHA 35 – 40 yrs) and, yes, even some interest-only
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Loans are subject to credit approval Loan Types Available Today Forward commitments are returning (6-12 months) Credit tenant lease (CTL) Acquisition / bridge loans Mezzanine and preferred equity Construction financing Construction mezzanine Institutional (life company) equity and JV money
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Loans are subject to credit approval Loan Characteristics Borrower continues to be the key Capital has migrated from primary to include secondary and tertiary markets Four major food groups PLUS hotel, self-storage, seniors, student, MHC, parking garages Fundamentals must all be in place Emphasis on stable in-place cash flow Tenant credit and lease term important Amortization continues to be important – pre or post
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Loans are subject to credit approval Loan Characteristics Underwriting –Submarket vacancy or actual –Above-market rents likely to be adjusted downward –Lease rollover underwritten, reserved, or both –Market and U/W cap rates are being used –LTV’s range 60 – 75% (80% for multi) – PLUS mezzanine Collections, debt coverage and debt yield –1.20 - 1.45x DCR –9% -- 12% debt yield (NOI divided by loan amount) – 13% for hotels
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Loans are subject to credit approval CMBS Structuring $5 Million minimum size range, a few can go lower 4 food groups PLUS; will go to smaller markets 70 -- 75% LTV 1.25x DCR; debt yield very important 5 and 10-year term; 30-year am; lock rate at closing Escrow for taxes, insurance and reserves May or may not reserve for TI and commissions (but will underwrite) Significant lease roll will drive structure Cash management or lockbox features in place, but softening
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Loans are subject to credit approval Permanent Rates 3/23/12 5-year money in the high 3’s to low 4’s (T = 1.09%) 7-year money in the mid to high 4’s (T = 1.64%) 10-year money in the mid 4’s to low 5’s (T = 2.24%) CMBS rates in the low to mid 5’s, with hotels under 6% Low leverage causes the rates to come in significantly Some insurance companies have floors
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Loans are subject to credit approval Conclusions More capital sources returning to market LT debt availability continuing to increase substantially in 2012 Underwriting moving up the LTV, DCR curves More markets attracting capital Pricing more attractive/competitive Equity requirements greater and new construction is returning CALL GRANDBRIDGE and BB&T !!!
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