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Proposition for a FUNCEME’s Participation in Project CLARIS.

Published byEzra Hancock Modified over 9 years ago

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Presentation on theme: "Proposition for a FUNCEME’s Participation in Project CLARIS."— Presentation transcript:

1 Proposition for a FUNCEME’s Participation in Project CLARIS

2 FUNCEME = Fundação Cearense de Meteorologia e Recursos Hidrícos Fortaleza, Ceará

3 Brazilian Semi-Arid = 788.000 Km 2 (= 48 % of Nordeste, 9.3 % of Brazil) Cearense Semi-Arid = 136.000 Km 2 = 92 % of Ceará Ceará Semi-Arid = 17% of the non covered terrestrial surface by the oceans

4 5 0 N 0 0 5 0 S 10 0 S 15 0 S 20 0 S 25 0 S 55 0 W 50 0 W 45 0 W 40 0 W 35 0 W 30 0 W 25 0 W 0 C R CLIMATIC REGIME OF NORDESTE AMJJ NDJF FMAM (P. Nobre & N. da Silva Melo, 2004, Pers. Com.)

5 OLR Anomalies ENSO 1982-83 ENSO 1997-98 Dry Wet (Ronchail, 2005, Pers. Comm.) Pacific Teleconnection

6 Proposition for a Participation of FUNCEME in Project CLARIS FUNCEME’s Potential Participation in CLARIS According Five Tasks: A) Effective Participation in CLARIS 2005-2006: Task 1: CLARIS-WP3.2: A Contribution for Providing Regional Daily Data Base for Climate Trends and Extreme Event Studies (Nordeste) Task 2: CLARIS-WP4.2: Climate and Vector-Borne Epidemics: Action on Dengue in Nordeste B) Expertise – Processing Collaboration in CLARIS 2005-2006 (Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006) Task 3: CLARIS-WP3.1: Climate Change Downscalling in the Sub- Tropical (and Tropical) South America Task 4: CLARIS-WP4.1: Climatic Regional Impacts in Agriculture: Action in the Nordeste Semi-Arid C) Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006 Task 5: CLARIS-WP4.3: Cloud-Aerosol-Radiation Observation Facility

7 A) Effective Participation in CLARIS 2005-2006: Task 1: CLARIS-WP3.2: High-quality regional daily data base for climate trends and extreme event studies Principal investigator: Meiry Sayuri Sakamoto (FUNCEME) Proposition for a Participation of FUNCEME in Project CLARIS

8 Conventional Rain Gauge Network 548 Rain Gauges Site Map of Conventional Rain Gauges Fortaleza

9 Automatic Data Collection Platform (DCP) Network A total of 76 DCP´s Fortaleza

10 Agro-Hydro-Meteorological DCP Sensors - Air Temperature - Relative Humidity - Pressure - Solar Radiation - Wind Velocity - Wind Direction - Precipitation - Evapotranspiration (estimate) - Soil Temperature in three levels - Soil Heat Flux - Soil Humidity Daily Soil Humidity Jaguaribe Station Days of April, 2003 Soil Humidity (%) - Water level (pressure sensor) - Water level (ultrasonic sensor) Daily Precipitation Jaguaribe Station Days of April, 2003 Precipitation (mm)

11 FUNCEME DATA BANK - Rain Gauges Network: since 1974 - DCP Network: since 1999 - Meteosat and NOAA Satellites Images: since1990 Data Request: funceme@funceme.br (meiry@funceme.br) www.funceme.br

12 A) Effective Participation in CLARIS 2005-2006: Task 2: CLARIS-WP4.2: Climate and Vector-borne Epidemics: A Pilot Action on Dengue in Brazil (Fortaleza, Ceará) Principal investigators: Jacques Servain (IRD) and Nicolas Degallier (IRD) = An new IRD-FUNCEME-SESACE-CEVEPI Cooperation including in CATIN (IRD-CNPq) Proposition for a Participation of FUNCEME in Project CLARIS

13 Experimentation ClimatMosquitoDengue Impact (hourly/daily) Main objective : To establish a system of alert for the dengue outbreaks

14 Statistical analysis of meteo data (hourly) and daily cases of dengue (1999-present)

15

16 B) Expertise – Processing Collaboration in CLARIS 2005-2006 (Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006) Task 3: CLARIS-WP3.1: Climate Change Downscalling in the Sub- Tropical (and Tropical) South America Principal investigator: Alexandre Araujo Costa (FUNCEME) Proposition for a Participation of FUNCEME in Project CLARIS From now: Strong collaboration with CPTEC/INPE, IRI, ECMWF, Other Nordeste’ States, …

17 PC Cluster with 30 CPUs (P4 2.8 GHz ; 512 MB RAM) Total: 7.2 TBytes Computer Facility at FUNCEME for Downscalling Experiments

18 Regional Climate Forecast by downscalling: AGCM ECHAM-4.5 (Max Plank Institute) at IRI  RSM-97 (NCEP) at FUNCEME Forcing: - Predicted SS - Persisted SST Downscalling: J-F-M-A-M-J IRI RSM= 16°N-21°S, 56°W a 2°E

19 Global CPTEC Global ECHAM 4.5 RAMS RSM-97 Climatic Forecast Perspective: The “Super-Ensemble”

20 B) Expertise – Processing Collaboration in CLARIS 2005-2006 (Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006) Task 4: CLARIS-WP4.1: Climatic Regional Impacts in Agriculture: A Pilot Action in Nordeste Semi-Arid Principal Investigator: Eduardo Sávio Passos Rodrigues Martins (FUNCEME) = In Collaboration with an IRD-FUNCEME Cooperation including in CATIN (IRD-CNPq) Proposition for a Participation of FUNCEME in Project CLARIS

21 Methodology

22 FUNCEME is working within a research and delivery network (CRAMALA) which fully integrates scientists and stakeholders to address comprehensively the issue of climate related risks in agriculture for improving productivity, profitability and risk management Sponsor: IAI Cooperation: IRI See the note « FUNCEME’s Potential Participation in CLARIS » for details

23 C) Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006 Task 5: CLARIS-WP4.3: Cloud-Aerosol-Radiation Interaction Principal investigator: Alexandre Araujo Costa (FUNCEME) Proposition for a Participation of FUNCEME in Project CLARIS

24 FUNCEME participates in a scientific program of cloud physics and aerosols observations using the facilities of the State University of Ceará (UECE) that includes an instrumented aircraft This aircraft participated in different field campaigns over Northeast Brazil (“Ceará Experiment”) and the Amazon (LBA-SMOCC-EMfiN!) Bandeirante

25 Parâmetro MedidoSensor(es) Temperatura Rosemount 102AU1AF Pressão EstáticaRosemount 1201F Pressão DinâmicaRosemount 1221F Latitude e LongitudeTrimble GPS Temperatura do Ponto de Orvalho EG&G 137-C3-S3 Água LíquidaCsiro-King LWC, Johnson Williams CT43 AerossóisCCNC UW 83-1 HidrometeorosFSSP-100, OAP-200X, OAP-200Y Radiação de Onda Curta EPPLEY PEP Radiação de Onda Longa EPPLEY PEP

26 With that instrumented aircraft, FUNCEME could contribute significantly to better understand the physical processes concerning cloud and precipitation development over distinct places in South America See the notes « FUNCEME’s Potential Participation in CLARIS » and “avião-escopo.doc” (in portuguese) for details

27 The Participation of FUNCEME in CLARIS (and Post-CLARIS) Could Bring: A Complete Agro-Hydro-Meteorological Data Set (Ceará, Nordeste) Extension of the Knowledge in the Climat-Dengue Relationship (with different climatic conditions) Competence and Cooperation in Downscalling Processes (RSM, RAMS, …) Experience in Climate-Agriculture Relationship (in association with other partners: IRI, …) Technical and Scientific Contribution in the Cloud-Aerosol- Radiation Studies (different regions, different conditions) In conclusion …

28 Furthermore … FUNCEME proposes to organize, at Fortaleza, in June 2006, A Dedicated South America Climate Congress (including CLARIS-2) in collaboration with the EGS (European Geophysical Society) and the CLARIS Community

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