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Human Travel Patterns Albert-László Barabási Center for Complex Networks Research, Northeastern U. Department of Medicine, Harvard U. BarabasiLab.com
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Tropical forest in Yucatan, Mexico “Lévy flight” by a spider monkey
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Animal Motion Vishwanatan et. al. Nature (1996); Nature (1999). Wandering Albatross Pókmajom Sirályok repülése Wandering Albatross
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Sims et al. Nature (2008). Basking shark
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Porbeagle shark Sims et al. Nature (2008).
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Random Walks Lévy flights
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Human Motion Brockmann et. al. Nature (2006)
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A real human trajectory
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Mobile Phone Users
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CCNR Data Collection Limitations We know only the tower the user communicates with, not the real location. We know the location (tower) only when the user makes a call. Interevent times are bursty (non-Poisson process— Power law interevent time distribution).
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ALB, Nature 2005.
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CCNR Interevent Times J. Candia et al. A-L. B, Nature 2005.
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0 km300 km100 km200 km 0 km 100 km 200 km Mobile Phone Users
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Two possible explanations 1.Each users follows a Lévy flight 2.The difference between individuals follows a power law β=1.75±0.15
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Understanding human trajectories Radius of Gyration: Center of Mass:
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Characterizing human trajectories Radius of Gyration:
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CCNR Characterizing human trajectories Radius of Gyration:
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β r =1.65±0.15 Scaling in human trajectories
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0 km300 km100 km200 km 0 km 100 km 200 km Mobile Phone Users
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β=1.75±0.15 β r =1.65±0.15 Scaling in human trajectories α=1.2
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Relationship between exponents Jump size distribution P(Δr)~(Δr) -β represents a convolution between *population heterogeneity P(r g )~r g -βr *Levy flight with exponent α truncated by r g
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CCNR Return time distributions
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Mobile Phone Users
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CCNR The shape of human trajectories
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CCNR
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Mobile Phone Viruses Hypponen M. Scientific American Nov. 70-77 (2006).
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Spreading mechanism for cell phone viruses Short range infection process (similar to biological viruses, like influenza or SARS) Long range infection process (similar to computer viruses)
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Palla, A.-L. B & Vicsek (2007). Onella et al, PNAS (2007) Social Network (MMS virus) González, Hidalgo and A-L.B., Nature 453, 779 (2008) Human Motion (Bluetooth virus) MMS and Bluetooth Viruses
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Spatial Spreading Patterns of Bluetooth and MMS virus
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Spatial Spreading patterns of Bluetooth and MMS viruses Bluetooth Virus MMS Virus Driven by Human Mobility: Slow, but can reach all users with time. Driven by the Social Network: Fast, but can reach only a finite fraction of users (the giant component). What is the origin of this saturation ?
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Spreading mechanism for cell phone viruses If the market share of an Operating System is under m c ~10%, MMS viruses cannot spread.
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0 km300 km100 km200 km 0 km 100 km 200 km Mobile Phone Users
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Pu Wang Cesar Hidalgo Collaborators Marta Gonzalez www.BarabasiLab.com
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