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1 1 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Slides Prepared by JOHN S. LOUCKS St. Edward’s University Slides Prepared by JOHN S. LOUCKS St. Edward’s University.

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1 1 1 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Slides Prepared by JOHN S. LOUCKS St. Edward’s University Slides Prepared by JOHN S. LOUCKS St. Edward’s University

2 2 2 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Chapter 7 Sampling and Sampling Distributions Sampling Methods Sampling Methods Sampling Distribution of Sampling Distribution of Introduction to Sampling Distributions Introduction to Sampling Distributions Point Estimation Point Estimation Simple Random Sampling Simple Random Sampling

3 3 3 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western The purpose of statistical inference is to obtain The purpose of statistical inference is to obtain information about a population from information information about a population from information contained in a sample. contained in a sample. The purpose of statistical inference is to obtain The purpose of statistical inference is to obtain information about a population from information information about a population from information contained in a sample. contained in a sample. Statistical Inference A population is the set of all the elements of interest. A population is the set of all the elements of interest. A sample is a subset of the population. A sample is a subset of the population.

4 4 4 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western The sample results provide only estimates of the The sample results provide only estimates of the values of the population characteristics. values of the population characteristics. The sample results provide only estimates of the The sample results provide only estimates of the values of the population characteristics. values of the population characteristics. A parameter is a numerical characteristic of a A parameter is a numerical characteristic of a population. population. A parameter is a numerical characteristic of a A parameter is a numerical characteristic of a population. population. With proper sampling methods, the sample results With proper sampling methods, the sample results can provide “good” estimates of the population can provide “good” estimates of the population characteristics. characteristics. With proper sampling methods, the sample results With proper sampling methods, the sample results can provide “good” estimates of the population can provide “good” estimates of the population characteristics. characteristics. Statistical Inference

5 5 5 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Simple Random Sampling: Finite Population n Finite populations are often defined by lists such as: Organization membership roster Organization membership roster Credit card account numbers Credit card account numbers Inventory product numbers Inventory product numbers n A simple random sample of size n from a finite population of size N is a sample selected such population of size N is a sample selected such that each possible sample of size n has the same that each possible sample of size n has the same probability of being selected. probability of being selected.

6 6 6 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Simple Random Sampling: Finite Population In large sampling projects, computer-generated In large sampling projects, computer-generated random numbers are often used to automate the random numbers are often used to automate the sample selection process. sample selection process. Sampling without replacement is the procedure Sampling without replacement is the procedure used most often. used most often. Replacing each sampled element before selecting Replacing each sampled element before selecting subsequent elements is called sampling with subsequent elements is called sampling with replacement. replacement.

7 7 7 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western n Infinite populations are often defined by an ongoing process whereby the elements of the population consist of items generated as though the process would operate indefinitely. Simple Random Sampling: Infinite Population n A simple random sample from an infinite population is a sample selected such that the following conditions is a sample selected such that the following conditions are satisfied. are satisfied. Each element selected comes from the same Each element selected comes from the same population. population. Each element is selected independently. Each element is selected independently.

8 8 8 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Simple Random Sampling: Infinite Population The random number selection procedure cannot be The random number selection procedure cannot be used for infinite populations. used for infinite populations. In the case of infinite populations, it is impossible to In the case of infinite populations, it is impossible to obtain a list of all elements in the population. obtain a list of all elements in the population.

9 9 9 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western s is the point estimator of the population standard s is the point estimator of the population standard deviation . deviation . s is the point estimator of the population standard s is the point estimator of the population standard deviation . deviation . In point estimation we use the data from the sample In point estimation we use the data from the sample to compute a value of a sample statistic that serves to compute a value of a sample statistic that serves as an estimate of a population parameter. as an estimate of a population parameter. In point estimation we use the data from the sample In point estimation we use the data from the sample to compute a value of a sample statistic that serves to compute a value of a sample statistic that serves as an estimate of a population parameter. as an estimate of a population parameter. Point Estimation We refer to as the point estimator of the population We refer to as the point estimator of the population mean . mean . We refer to as the point estimator of the population We refer to as the point estimator of the population mean . mean . is the point estimator of the population proportion p. is the point estimator of the population proportion p.

10 10 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Sampling Error Statistical methods can be used to make probability Statistical methods can be used to make probability statements about the size of the sampling error. statements about the size of the sampling error. Sampling error is the result of using a subset of the Sampling error is the result of using a subset of the population (the sample), and not the entire population (the sample), and not the entire population. population. The absolute value of the difference between an The absolute value of the difference between an unbiased point estimate and the corresponding unbiased point estimate and the corresponding population parameter is called the sampling error. population parameter is called the sampling error. When the expected value of a point estimator is equal When the expected value of a point estimator is equal to the population parameter, the point estimator is said to the population parameter, the point estimator is said to be unbiased. to be unbiased.

11 11 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Sampling Error n The sampling errors are: for sample proportion for sample standard deviation for sample mean

12 12 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Example: St. Andrew’s St. Andrew’s College receives St. Andrew’s College receives 900 applications annually from prospective students. The application form contains a variety of information including the individual’s scholastic aptitude test (SAT) score and whether or not the individual desires on-campus housing.

13 13 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Example: St. Andrew’s The director of admissions The director of admissions would like to know the following information: the average SAT score for the average SAT score for the 900 applicants, and the 900 applicants, and the proportion of the proportion of applicants that want to live on campus.

14 14 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Example: St. Andrew’s We will now look at three alternatives for obtaining the desired information. n Conducting a census of the entire 900 applicants entire 900 applicants n Selecting a sample of 30 applicants, using a random number table n Selecting a sample of 30 applicants, using Excel

15 15 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Conducting a Census n If the relevant information for the entire 900 applicants was in the college’s database, the population parameters of interest could be calculated using the formulas presented in Chapter 3. n We will assume for the moment that conducting a census is practical in this example.

16 16 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western n Population Mean SAT Score n Population Standard Deviation for SAT Score n Population Proportion Wanting On-Campus Housing Conducting a Census

17 17 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Simple Random Sampling The applicants were numbered, from 1 to 900, as The applicants were numbered, from 1 to 900, as their applications arrived. their applications arrived. She decides a sample of 30 applicants will be used. She decides a sample of 30 applicants will be used. Furthermore, the Director of Admissions must obtain Furthermore, the Director of Admissions must obtain estimates of the population parameters of interest for estimates of the population parameters of interest for a meeting taking place in a few hours. a meeting taking place in a few hours. Now suppose that the necessary information on Now suppose that the necessary information on the current year’s applicants was not yet entered the current year’s applicants was not yet entered in the college’s database. in the college’s database.

18 18 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western n Taking a Sample of 30 Applicants Simple Random Sampling: Using a Random Number Table We will use the last three digits of the 5-digit We will use the last three digits of the 5-digit random numbers in the third column of the random numbers in the third column of the textbook’s random number table, and continue textbook’s random number table, and continue into the fourth column as needed. into the fourth column as needed. Since the finite population has 900 elements, we Since the finite population has 900 elements, we will need 3-digit random numbers to randomly will need 3-digit random numbers to randomly select applicants numbered from 1 to 900. select applicants numbered from 1 to 900.

19 19 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western n Taking a Sample of 30 Applicants Simple Random Sampling: Using a Random Number Table (We will go through all of column 3 and part of (We will go through all of column 3 and part of column 4 of the random number table, encountering in the process five numbers greater than 900 and one duplicate, 835.) We will continue to draw random numbers until We will continue to draw random numbers until we have selected 30 applicants for our sample. we have selected 30 applicants for our sample. The numbers we draw will be the numbers of the applicants we will sample unless The numbers we draw will be the numbers of the applicants we will sample unless the random number is greater than 900 or the random number is greater than 900 or the random number has already been used. the random number has already been used.

20 20 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western n Use of Random Numbers for Sampling Simple Random Sampling: Using a Random Number Table 744 436 865 790 835 902 190 836... and so on 3-Digit 3-Digit Random Number Applicant Included in Sample No. 436 No. 865 No. 790 No. 835 Number exceeds 900 No. 190 No. 836 No. 744

21 21 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western n Sample Data Simple Random Sampling: Using a Random Number Table 1744 Conrad Harris1025 Yes 2436 Enrique Romero 950 Yes 3865 Fabian Avante1090 No 4790 Lucila Cruz1120 Yes 5835 Chan Chiang 930 No..... 30 498 Emily Morse 1010 No No. RandomNumber Applicant SAT Score Score Live On- Campus.....

22 22 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western n Taking a Sample of 30 Applicants Using Excel to Select a Simple Random Sample Each of the 900 applicants has the same probability Each of the 900 applicants has the same probability of being included. of being included. Then we choose the 30 applicants corresponding Then we choose the 30 applicants corresponding to the 30 smallest random numbers as our sample. to the 30 smallest random numbers as our sample. 900 random numbers are generated, one for each 900 random numbers are generated, one for each applicant in the population. applicant in the population. Excel provides a function for generating random Excel provides a function for generating random numbers in its worksheet. numbers in its worksheet.

23 23 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Using Excel to Select a Simple Random Sample n Formula Worksheet Note: Rows 10-901 are not shown.

24 24 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Using Excel to Select a Simple Random Sample n Value Worksheet Note: Rows 10-901 are not shown.

25 25 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western n Put Random Numbers in Ascending Order Using Excel to Select a Simple Random Sample Step 4 When the Sort dialog box appears: Choose Random Numbers in the Choose Random Numbers in the Sort by text box Sort by text box Choose Ascending Choose Ascending Click OK Click OK Step 3 Choose the Sort option Step 2 Select the Data menu Step 1 Select cells A2:A901

26 26 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Using Excel to Select a Simple Random Sample n Value Worksheet (Sorted) Note: Rows 10-901 are not shown.

27 27 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western as Point Estimator of  as Point Estimator of  s as Point Estimator of  s as Point Estimator of  n as Point Estimator of p Point Estimates Note: Different random numbers would have identified a different sample which would have resulted in different point estimates.

28 28 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western PopulationParameterPointEstimatorPointEstimateParameterValue  = Population mean SAT score SAT score 990997  = Population std. deviation for deviation for SAT score SAT score 80 s = Sample std. s = Sample std. deviation for deviation for SAT score SAT score75.2 p = Population pro- portion wanting portion wanting campus housing campus housing.72.68 Summary of Point Estimates Obtained from a Simple Random Sample = Sample mean = Sample mean SAT score SAT score = Sample pro- = Sample pro- portion wanting portion wanting campus housing campus housing

29 29 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western n Process of Statistical Inference The value of is used to make inferences about the value of . The sample data provide a value for the sample mean. A simple random sample of n elements is selected from the population. Population with mean  = ? Sampling Distribution of

30 30 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western The sampling distribution of is the probability distribution of all possible values of the sample mean. Sampling Distribution of where:  = the population mean  = the population mean E ( ) =  Expected Value of

31 31 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Sampling Distribution of Finite Population Infinite Population is referred to as the standard error of the is referred to as the standard error of the mean. mean. A finite population is treated as being A finite population is treated as being infinite if n / N <.05. infinite if n / N <.05. is the finite correction factor. is the finite correction factor. Standard Deviation of

32 32 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Sampling Distribution of If we use a large ( n > 30) simple random sample, the central limit theorem enables us to conclude that the sampling distribution of can be approximated by a normal probability distribution. When the simple random sample is small ( n < 30), the sampling distribution of can be considered normal only if we assume the population has a normal probability distribution.

33 33 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Sampling Distribution of for SAT Scores SamplingDistributionof

34 34 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western What is the probability that a simple random sample What is the probability that a simple random sample of 30 applicants will provide an estimate of the population mean SAT score that is within +/  10 of the actual population mean  ? In other words, what is the probability that will be In other words, what is the probability that will be between 980 and 1000? Sampling Distribution of for SAT Scores

35 35 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Step 1: Calculate the z -value at the upper endpoint of the interval. the interval. z = (1000  990)/14.6=.68 P ( z <.68) =.7517 Step 2: Find the area under the curve to the left of the upper endpoint. upper endpoint. Sampling Distribution of for SAT Scores

36 36 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Sampling Distribution of for SAT Scores Cumulative Probabilities for the Standard Normal Distribution the Standard Normal Distribution

37 37 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Sampling Distribution of for SAT Scores 990SamplingDistributionof1000 Area =.7517

38 38 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Step 3: Calculate the z -value at the lower endpoint of the interval. the interval. Step 4: Find the area under the curve to the left of the lower endpoint. lower endpoint. z = (980  990)/14.6= -.68 P ( z.68) =.2483 = 1 . 7517 = 1  P ( z <.68) Sampling Distribution of for SAT Scores

39 39 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Sampling Distribution of for SAT Scores 980990 Area =.2483 SamplingDistributionof

40 40 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Sampling Distribution of for SAT Scores Step 5: Calculate the area under the curve between the lower and upper endpoints of the interval. the lower and upper endpoints of the interval. P (-.68 < z <.68) = P ( z <.68)  P ( z < -.68) =.7517 .2483 =.5034 The probability that the sample mean SAT score will be between 980 and 1000 is: P (980 < < 1000) =.5034

41 41 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western 1000980990 Sampling Distribution of for SAT Scores Area =.5034 SamplingDistributionof

42 42 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Relationship Between the Sample Size and the Sampling Distribution of and the Sampling Distribution of Suppose we select a simple random sample of 100 Suppose we select a simple random sample of 100 applicants instead of the 30 originally considered. applicants instead of the 30 originally considered. E ( ) =  regardless of the sample size. In our E ( ) =  regardless of the sample size. In our example, E ( ) remains at 990. example, E ( ) remains at 990. Whenever the sample size is increased, the standard Whenever the sample size is increased, the standard error of the mean is decreased. With the increase error of the mean is decreased. With the increase in the sample size to n = 100, the standard error of the in the sample size to n = 100, the standard error of the mean is decreased to: mean is decreased to:

43 43 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Relationship Between the Sample Size and the Sampling Distribution of and the Sampling Distribution of With n = 30, With n = 100,

44 44 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Recall that when n = 30, P (980 < < 1000) =.5034. Recall that when n = 30, P (980 < < 1000) =.5034. Relationship Between the Sample Size and the Sampling Distribution of and the Sampling Distribution of We follow the same steps to solve for P (980 < < 1000) We follow the same steps to solve for P (980 < < 1000) when n = 100 as we showed earlier when n = 30. when n = 100 as we showed earlier when n = 30. Now, with n = 100, P (980 < < 1000) =.7888. Now, with n = 100, P (980 < < 1000) =.7888. Because the sampling distribution with n = 100 has a Because the sampling distribution with n = 100 has a smaller standard error, the values of have less smaller standard error, the values of have less variability and tend to be closer to the population variability and tend to be closer to the population mean than the values of with n = 30. mean than the values of with n = 30.

45 45 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Relationship Between the Sample Size and the Sampling Distribution of and the Sampling Distribution of1000980990 Area =.7888 SamplingDistributionof

46 46 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western A simple random sample of n elements is selected from the population. Population with proportion p = ? n Making Inferences about a Population Proportion The sample data provide a value for the sample proportion. The value of is used to make inferences about the value of p. Sampling Distribution of

47 47 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Sampling Distribution of where: p = the population proportion The sampling distribution of is the probability distribution of all possible values of the sample proportion. Expected Value of

48 48 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western is referred to as the standard error of the is referred to as the standard error of the proportion. Sampling Distribution of Finite Population Infinite Population Standard Deviation of

49 49 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western The sampling distribution of can be approximated The sampling distribution of can be approximated by a normal probability distribution whenever the by a normal probability distribution whenever the sample size is large. sample size is large. The sample size is considered large whenever these The sample size is considered large whenever these conditions are satisfied: conditions are satisfied: np > 5 n (1 – p ) > 5 and Sampling Distribution of

50 50 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western For values of p near.50, sample sizes as small as 10 permit a normal approximation. With very small (approaching 0) or very large (approaching 1) values of p, much larger samples are needed. Sampling Distribution of

51 51 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western For our example, with n = 30 and p =.72, the normal probability distribution is an acceptable approximation because: Sampling Distribution of for the Proportion of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing n (1 - p ) = 30(.28) = 8.4 > 5 and np = 30(.72) = 21.6 > 5

52 52 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Sampling Distribution of for the Proportion of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing SamplingDistributionof

53 53 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western What is the probability that a simple random sample What is the probability that a simple random sample of 30 applicants will provide an estimate of the population proportion of applicants desiring on-campus housing that is within plus or minus.05 of the actual population proportion? In other words, what is the probability that will be In other words, what is the probability that will be between.67 and.77? Sampling Distribution of for the Proportion of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing

54 54 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Sampling Distribution of for the Proportion of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing Step 1: Calculate the z -value at the upper endpoint of the interval. the interval. z = (.77 .72)/.082 =.61 P ( z <.61) =.7291 Step 2: Find the area under the curve to the left of the upper endpoint. upper endpoint.

55 55 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Cumulative Probabilities for the Standard Normal Distribution the Standard Normal Distribution Sampling Distribution of for the Proportion of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing

56 56 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western.77.77.72 Area =.7291 Sampling Distribution of for the Proportion of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing SamplingDistributionof

57 57 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Sampling Distribution of for the Proportion of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing Step 3: Calculate the z -value at the lower endpoint of the interval. the interval. Step 4: Find the area under the curve to the left of the lower endpoint. lower endpoint. z = (.67 .72)/.082 = -.61 P ( z.61) =.2709 = 1 . 7291 = 1  P ( z <.61)

58 58 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western.67.72 Area =.2709 Sampling Distribution of for the Proportion of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing SamplingDistributionof

59 59 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western P (.67 < <.77) =.4582 Sampling Distribution of for the Proportion of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing Step 5: Calculate the area under the curve between the lower and upper endpoints of the interval. the lower and upper endpoints of the interval. P (-.61 < z <.61) = P ( z <.61)  P ( z < -.61) =.7291 .2709 =.4582 The probability that the sample proportion of applicants wanting on-campus housing will be within +/-.05 of the actual population proportion :

60 60 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Sampling Distribution of for the Proportion of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing of Applicants Wanting On-Campus Housing.77.67.72 Area =.4582 SamplingDistributionof

61 61 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Sampling Methods n Stratified Random Sampling n Cluster Sampling n Systematic Sampling n Convenience Sampling n Judgment Sampling

62 62 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western The population is first divided into groups of The population is first divided into groups of elements called strata. elements called strata. The population is first divided into groups of The population is first divided into groups of elements called strata. elements called strata. Stratified Random Sampling Each element in the population belongs to one and Each element in the population belongs to one and only one stratum. only one stratum. Each element in the population belongs to one and Each element in the population belongs to one and only one stratum. only one stratum. Best results are obtained when the elements within Best results are obtained when the elements within each stratum are as much alike as possible each stratum are as much alike as possible (i.e. a homogeneous group). (i.e. a homogeneous group). Best results are obtained when the elements within Best results are obtained when the elements within each stratum are as much alike as possible each stratum are as much alike as possible (i.e. a homogeneous group). (i.e. a homogeneous group).

63 63 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Stratified Random Sampling A simple random sample is taken from each stratum. A simple random sample is taken from each stratum. Formulas are available for combining the stratum Formulas are available for combining the stratum sample results into one population parameter sample results into one population parameter estimate. estimate. Formulas are available for combining the stratum Formulas are available for combining the stratum sample results into one population parameter sample results into one population parameter estimate. estimate. Advantage: If strata are homogeneous, this method Advantage: If strata are homogeneous, this method is as “precise” as simple random sampling but with is as “precise” as simple random sampling but with a smaller total sample size. a smaller total sample size. Advantage: If strata are homogeneous, this method Advantage: If strata are homogeneous, this method is as “precise” as simple random sampling but with is as “precise” as simple random sampling but with a smaller total sample size. a smaller total sample size. Example: The basis for forming the strata might be Example: The basis for forming the strata might be department, location, age, industry type, and so on. department, location, age, industry type, and so on. Example: The basis for forming the strata might be Example: The basis for forming the strata might be department, location, age, industry type, and so on. department, location, age, industry type, and so on.

64 64 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Cluster Sampling The population is first divided into separate groups The population is first divided into separate groups of elements called clusters. of elements called clusters. The population is first divided into separate groups The population is first divided into separate groups of elements called clusters. of elements called clusters. Ideally, each cluster is a representative small-scale Ideally, each cluster is a representative small-scale version of the population (i.e. heterogeneous group). version of the population (i.e. heterogeneous group). Ideally, each cluster is a representative small-scale Ideally, each cluster is a representative small-scale version of the population (i.e. heterogeneous group). version of the population (i.e. heterogeneous group). A simple random sample of the clusters is then taken. A simple random sample of the clusters is then taken. All elements within each sampled (chosen) cluster All elements within each sampled (chosen) cluster form the sample. form the sample. All elements within each sampled (chosen) cluster All elements within each sampled (chosen) cluster form the sample. form the sample.

65 65 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Cluster Sampling Advantage: The close proximity of elements can be Advantage: The close proximity of elements can be cost effective (i.e. many sample observations can be cost effective (i.e. many sample observations can be obtained in a short time). obtained in a short time). Advantage: The close proximity of elements can be Advantage: The close proximity of elements can be cost effective (i.e. many sample observations can be cost effective (i.e. many sample observations can be obtained in a short time). obtained in a short time). Disadvantage: This method generally requires a Disadvantage: This method generally requires a larger total sample size than simple or stratified larger total sample size than simple or stratified random sampling. random sampling. Disadvantage: This method generally requires a Disadvantage: This method generally requires a larger total sample size than simple or stratified larger total sample size than simple or stratified random sampling. random sampling. Example: A primary application is area sampling, Example: A primary application is area sampling, where clusters are city blocks or other well-defined where clusters are city blocks or other well-defined areas. areas. Example: A primary application is area sampling, Example: A primary application is area sampling, where clusters are city blocks or other well-defined where clusters are city blocks or other well-defined areas. areas.

66 66 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Systematic Sampling If a sample size of n is desired from a population If a sample size of n is desired from a population containing N elements, we might sample one containing N elements, we might sample one element for every n / N elements in the population. element for every n / N elements in the population. If a sample size of n is desired from a population If a sample size of n is desired from a population containing N elements, we might sample one containing N elements, we might sample one element for every n / N elements in the population. element for every n / N elements in the population. We randomly select one of the first n / N elements We randomly select one of the first n / N elements from the population list. from the population list. We randomly select one of the first n / N elements We randomly select one of the first n / N elements from the population list. from the population list. We then select every n / N th element that follows in We then select every n / N th element that follows in the population list. the population list. We then select every n / N th element that follows in We then select every n / N th element that follows in the population list. the population list.

67 67 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Systematic Sampling This method has the properties of a simple random This method has the properties of a simple random sample, especially if the list of the population sample, especially if the list of the population elements is a random ordering. elements is a random ordering. This method has the properties of a simple random This method has the properties of a simple random sample, especially if the list of the population sample, especially if the list of the population elements is a random ordering. elements is a random ordering. Advantage: The sample usually will be easier to Advantage: The sample usually will be easier to identify than it would be if simple random sampling identify than it would be if simple random sampling were used. were used. Advantage: The sample usually will be easier to Advantage: The sample usually will be easier to identify than it would be if simple random sampling identify than it would be if simple random sampling were used. were used. Example: Selecting every 100 th listing in a telephone Example: Selecting every 100 th listing in a telephone book after the first randomly selected listing book after the first randomly selected listing Example: Selecting every 100 th listing in a telephone Example: Selecting every 100 th listing in a telephone book after the first randomly selected listing book after the first randomly selected listing

68 68 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Convenience Sampling It is a nonprobability sampling technique. Items are It is a nonprobability sampling technique. Items are included in the sample without known probabilities included in the sample without known probabilities of being selected. of being selected. It is a nonprobability sampling technique. Items are It is a nonprobability sampling technique. Items are included in the sample without known probabilities included in the sample without known probabilities of being selected. of being selected. Example: A professor conducting research might use Example: A professor conducting research might use student volunteers to constitute a sample. student volunteers to constitute a sample. Example: A professor conducting research might use Example: A professor conducting research might use student volunteers to constitute a sample. student volunteers to constitute a sample. The sample is identified primarily by convenience. The sample is identified primarily by convenience.

69 69 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Advantage: Sample selection and data collection are Advantage: Sample selection and data collection are relatively easy. relatively easy. Advantage: Sample selection and data collection are Advantage: Sample selection and data collection are relatively easy. relatively easy. Disadvantage: It is impossible to determine how Disadvantage: It is impossible to determine how representative of the population the sample is. representative of the population the sample is. Disadvantage: It is impossible to determine how Disadvantage: It is impossible to determine how representative of the population the sample is. representative of the population the sample is. Convenience Sampling

70 70 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Judgment Sampling The person most knowledgeable on the subject of the The person most knowledgeable on the subject of the study selects elements of the population that he or study selects elements of the population that he or she feels are most representative of the population. she feels are most representative of the population. The person most knowledgeable on the subject of the The person most knowledgeable on the subject of the study selects elements of the population that he or study selects elements of the population that he or she feels are most representative of the population. she feels are most representative of the population. It is a nonprobability sampling technique. It is a nonprobability sampling technique. Example: A reporter might sample three or four Example: A reporter might sample three or four senators, judging them as reflecting the general senators, judging them as reflecting the general opinion of the senate. opinion of the senate. Example: A reporter might sample three or four Example: A reporter might sample three or four senators, judging them as reflecting the general senators, judging them as reflecting the general opinion of the senate. opinion of the senate.

71 71 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western Judgment Sampling Advantage: It is a relatively easy way of selecting a Advantage: It is a relatively easy way of selecting a sample. sample. Advantage: It is a relatively easy way of selecting a Advantage: It is a relatively easy way of selecting a sample. sample. Disadvantage: The quality of the sample results Disadvantage: The quality of the sample results depends on the judgment of the person selecting the depends on the judgment of the person selecting the sample. sample. Disadvantage: The quality of the sample results Disadvantage: The quality of the sample results depends on the judgment of the person selecting the depends on the judgment of the person selecting the sample. sample.

72 72 Slide © 2004 Thomson/South-Western End of Chapter 7


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