1. 1 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Information Session Spring 2007

2. 2 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan ISSUES AND CHALLENGES Capacity and Utilization The trend for the Toronto Catholic District School Board has been declining numbers in student enrolment The decline results in an increase of surplus schools that have more capacity than is required for the students enrolled In 2000/2001, 14 of our elementary schools were below 60% with none being below 60% in our secondary schools In 2005/2006, 156 of our elementary schools were above 60% capacity and 15 were at or below 60% capacity In 2005/2006, 28 of our secondary schools were above 60% capacity and 2 were at or below 60% capacity

3. 3 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Table 1: TCDSB School Use Number of School Buildings Available Pupil Places 2005-2006 Occupied Pupil Places 2005-2006 Utilization Rate 2004-2005 Elementary Schools 171 60296.058359.596.8% Secondary Schools 302488526736.5107.4%

4. 4 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan

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6. 6 Table 2: TCDSB Elementary School Utilization Rates Year Number of Schools

7. 7 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Table 3: TCDSB Secondary School Utilization Rates Number of Schools Year

8. 8 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Table 4: Enrolment Decline

9. 9 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Enrolment Information Since 1998-1999, the elementary enrolment has declined by approximately 9% or 6,021 students and the secondary enrolment has also declined by approximately 9% or 2,945 students Over the next 15 years, the elementary enrolment is projected to decline by another 2% and the secondary enrolment is projected to decline by a further 6% The next two slides demonstrate the enrolment projections for each panel over the next 15 years

10. 10 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan

11. 11 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan

12. 12 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Major factors contributing to this decline are: –Decline in the preschool aged population –Long term trend of women waiting longer to have children –Decline in the Birth Rate (# of births/1,000 people in the population) –Decline in Fertility Rate (Estimates the average number of children women aged 15 – 49 will have in their lifetime) –Change in the immigration patterns (immigration from traditionally non-Catholic countries) –Increase in Private School Enrolment

13. 13 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Private School Enrolment Elementary Private School Enrolment 1998/19991999/20002000/20012001/20022002/2003 15,84718,70320,14220,45122,116 Secondary Private School Enrolment 1998/19991999/20002000/20012001/20022002/2003 9,20810,86711,70312,95413,864

14. 14 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Secondary Service Factor 78.9% 80.8% 84.3% 71.2% 60.0% 65.0% 70.0% 75.0% 80.0% 85.0% 1986199119962001 Census Years Service Factor Elementary Service Factor 81.4% 81.7% 79.3% 80.5% 75.0% 80.0% 85.0% 1986199119962001 Census Years Service Factor Catholic Service Factor This review was prepared in the context of the school aged population identified as Catholic and the number of students attending Catholic Schools. As you can see, the elementary and secondary service factors have decreased from 1991 to 1996.

15. 15 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Facility Recommendations for Elementary Schools In Ward 6 Study relocation and Growth Needs –St. John the Evangelist, Weston Road Corridor School Accommodation Review Group ‘A’ –St. Josaphat School Accommodation Review Group ‘B’ –Pope Paul VI, St. John Bosco Future School Accommodation Review –St. Bruno Acquire site –Stella Maris No Recommendations at this time –Holy Rosary, Our Lady of Victory, Santa Maria, St. Alphonsus, St. Clare, St. Mary of the Angels and St. Nicholas of Bari

16. 16 TCDSB Long Term Accommodation Plan Future Programming for Secondary Schools In Ward 6 Archbishop Romero –Communications & Technology/Media Arts –Health and Wellness Loretto College –Leadership –Health Care (Personal Care)