1. Nick Sabatini & Associates, LLC
Expert Aviation Safety Solutions
NCSBN Consumer Conference
June 9, 2011
Chicago, IL

2. World Regional Fatal Accident* Rate / Million Cycles (2002 – 2006)
Western-built, selected Eastern-built and turboprop aircraft accidents*, by airline domicile.
Europe
.56
Canada .15
China
.29
USA .10
Middle East
1.97
Rest of Asia
.85
Africa
4.98
Latin America
and Caribbean
1.28
Regional cooperative safety activities (ICAO and local regulators work together – COSCAPs) by region.
This chart shows two things.
Accident rates by region of the world
Regional cooperative safety activities (ICAO and local regulators working together – COSCAPs) by region.
The number of CAST Safety Enhancements adopted by the Asian COSCAPs and the European JSSI (Joint Safety Strategy Initiative) are also depicted.
COSCAP = cooperative Development of Operational Safety and Continuing Airworthiness Programme
Australasia
.35
World
.64
Note: * US 121 like accidents
Source: Selected AirClaims & WAAS Accident Data & JOS Exposure Data. Includes estimated exposure data for 2006.

3. U.S. Air Carrier Fatalities Per 100 Million Persons Flown, 1946-2010
Regional cooperative safety activities (ICAO and local regulators work together – COSCAPs) by region.
This chart shows two things.
Accident rates by region of the world
Regional cooperative safety activities (ICAO and local regulators working together – COSCAPs) by region.
The number of CAST Safety Enhancements adopted by the Asian COSCAPs and the European JSSI (Joint Safety Strategy Initiative) are also depicted.
COSCAP = cooperative Development of Operational Safety and Continuing Airworthiness Programme

4. U.S. Air Carrier Fatalities Per 100 Million Persons Flown, 1946-2010
Pressurized Aircraft (L-049, DC-6 & B-377)
Early ILS (Glide slope, LOC & markers) xx
Persistent 60-Year
Factor: Fleet Renewal
Broad implementation of VOR and DME
Radar introduced at selected towers
Vickers-700 Turboprop (1953 in UK, 1956 US)
DC-7 (1955), Lockheed Electra
Radio contact, ATC centers & cruise aircraft
Long-Range radar (Centers)
Jet Engine; 707 (1958) & DC-8
VOR/DME integrated into autopilot
(precision approaches)
Secondary radar
Fatalities
FMS
CRM
6-Axis Simulator & FDR
Windshear
Cabin Safety
Regional cooperative safety activities (ICAO and local regulators work together – COSCAPs) by region.
This chart shows two things.
Accident rates by region of the world
Regional cooperative safety activities (ICAO and local regulators working together – COSCAPs) by region.
The number of CAST Safety Enhancements adopted by the Asian COSCAPs and the European JSSI (Joint Safety Strategy Initiative) are also depicted.
COSCAP = cooperative Development of Operational Safety and Continuing Airworthiness Programme
RNAV (processing VOR/DME &
basic Instruments)
GPWS, TCAS; Early automation
Flight Envelope Protection
FOQA/ASAP & ATC Data
RJ Revolution
New Large Jets
RNP, Synthetic Vision

5. Aviation Safety Action Program (ASAP)
“mid 1980s our focus shifted to working together with industry to allow voluntary sharing of data”
Aviation Safety Action Program (ASAP)
Flight Operations Quality Assurance (FOQA)
Crew Resource Management (CRM)
Threat and Error Management (TEM)
“programs were aimed at recognizing human error and fallibility and learning from past mistakes and errors to prevent these errors and mistakes from happening in the future”
Regional cooperative safety activities (ICAO and local regulators work together – COSCAPs) by region.
This chart shows two things.
Accident rates by region of the world
Regional cooperative safety activities (ICAO and local regulators working together – COSCAPs) by region.
The number of CAST Safety Enhancements adopted by the Asian COSCAPs and the European JSSI (Joint Safety Strategy Initiative) are also depicted.
COSCAP = cooperative Development of Operational Safety and Continuing Airworthiness Programme

6. "FAA Statutory authority found in Title 49 of the United States Code"
"Unlike the medical community, the FAA is the sole authority for regulating the entire aviation industry"
"FAA Statutory authority found in Title 49 of the United States Code" 
“the duty of an air carrier to provide service with the highest degree of safety in the public interest” 
Regional cooperative safety activities (ICAO and local regulators work together – COSCAPs) by region.
This chart shows two things.
Accident rates by region of the world
Regional cooperative safety activities (ICAO and local regulators working together – COSCAPs) by region.
The number of CAST Safety Enhancements adopted by the Asian COSCAPs and the European JSSI (Joint Safety Strategy Initiative) are also depicted.
COSCAP = cooperative Development of Operational Safety and Continuing Airworthiness Programme

7. ACCIDENTS PREVENTED 1500 Fatalities Remaining risks
Regional cooperative safety activities (ICAO and local regulators work together – COSCAPs) by region.
This chart shows two things.
Accident rates by region of the world
Regional cooperative safety activities (ICAO and local regulators working together – COSCAPs) by region.
The number of CAST Safety Enhancements adopted by the Asian COSCAPs and the European JSSI (Joint Safety Strategy Initiative) are also depicted.
COSCAP = cooperative Development of Operational Safety and Continuing Airworthiness Programme
Remaining risks
Data reflects accidents and fatal accidents per million flight hours (the only common denominator available for the full period).

8. How to Retrieve Reference Documents
Click on "Regulations and Policy"
Click on "Advisory Circulars"
Enter desired AC number
AC B: Aviation Safety Action Program (ASAP)
AC : Flight Operations Quality Assurance (FOQA)
AC : Line Operations Safety Audits (LOSA)
Regional cooperative safety activities (ICAO and local regulators work together – COSCAPs) by region.
This chart shows two things.
Accident rates by region of the world
Regional cooperative safety activities (ICAO and local regulators working together – COSCAPs) by region.
The number of CAST Safety Enhancements adopted by the Asian COSCAPs and the European JSSI (Joint Safety Strategy Initiative) are also depicted.
COSCAP = cooperative Development of Operational Safety and Continuing Airworthiness Programme