1. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School1 CGS 2005 Summer Workshop: Ph.D. COMPLETION AT DUKE UNIVERSITY: SOME INTERVENTIONS AND THEIR INITIAL EFFECTS Lewis Siegel, Dean, Graduate School & Vice Provost for Graduate Education

2. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School2 Faculty consensus on Graduate School goals and policies in early 1990s: All aspects of the Graduate School should be as transparent as possible to faculty and students. The Graduate School should be a major reservoir of information to permit administration, faculty, and students to assess the relative quality of departments and programs over time. The Graduate School should collect and publish data on student quality, progress to degree, job placements. The Graduate School should base allocation of funds to departments on rational criteria that provide incentives for improvements in quality of graduate programs.

3. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School3 A STUDY OF Ph.D. COMPLETION AT DUKE: Ph.D. cohorts from Fall 1991 through Fall 1995 were examined for each Duke degree granting program for % Completion (as of Fall 2004) Patterns of withdrawal from Ph.D. program Median Time to Degree Effect of Variables such as GRE scores, GPA, Race, Gender, and Merit Fellowship selection Following Some Interventions, Attrition Rates Through 5 th Year Were Compared for 1996-99 and 1991-95 Cohorts

4. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School4 EFFECT OF GPA/GRE SCORES, J.B. DUKE FELLOWSHIP SELECTION, RACE, AND GENDER ON Ph.D. COMPLETION RATES (1991-95 Cohorts )

5. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School5 CONCLUSIONS: High GRE (V and Q) and high GPAs do not correlate well with Ph.D. completion in any field.

6. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School6 N. KUNCELS META-ANALYSIS OF PREDICTORS OF GRADUATE STUDENT SUCCESS IN ALL FIELDS

7. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School7 CONCLUSIONS: Duke faculty CAN pick students who are more likely to complete than the general population based on reading of applications. In all fields, J.B.Duke fellowship awardees complete significantly more than others with similar high GRE scores and GPAs.

8. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School8 CONCLUSIONS: CAREFUL SELECTION, TARGETED FELLOWSHIP SUPPORT AND GOOD MENTORING DO WORK: Dukes African-American Ph.D. students complete the degree at higher rates than the general population (and even the JB Duke scholars) in all fields except the Physical Sciences and Engineering (where the numbers are very low).

9. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School9 INTERVENTIONS TO IMPROVE Ph.D. COMPLETION RATE AT DUKE AFTER 1995: BETTER INFORMED SELECTION Reduce emphasis on GRE scores and GPAs – data show poor correlation with completion as Duke uses them Carefully read entire application: Emphasize demonstrated research experience Interview students before admitting them – campus visits and/or by telephone with international students

10. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School10 INTERVENTIONS TO IMPROVE Ph.D. COMPLETION RATE AT DUKE AFTER 1995: BETTER INFORMED SELECTION Exchange information to learn fit rather than just sell program Transparency: Put on Web all Duke data on placement, time to degree, completion rates in each program – student should know what (s)he is getting into before undertaking Ph.D. study at Duke

11. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School11 INTERVENTIONS TO IMPROVE Ph.D. COMPLETION RATE AT DUKE AFTER 1995: IMPROVED PROGRAMS Require structured teaching experiences for graduate TAs where career-appropriate Graduate school workshops in pedagogy and uses of instructional technology; expanded PFF program; Pathways to the Professoriate Field-specific symposia to introduce career options to Ph.D. students

12. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School12 INTERVENTIONS TO IMPROVE Ph.D. COMPLETION RATE AT DUKE AFTER 1995: STUDENT FUNDING Institute 5-6 year funding guarantee in all A&S units; generally support to degree in sciences Reduce student teaching loads; more fellowship in early years – Lab Science departments brought closer to Biomedical Sciences funding model Competitive summer research support introduced Changed the way funds for Ph.D. student support are allocated to A&S departments

13. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School13 Allocation Formula for A&S Depts FTE are allocated to departments according to a set of criteria which provide positive incentives to improve graduate education in that department

14. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School14 Allocation Formula for A&S Depts Departments compete for a fixed pool of FTEs available in each division Factors used to determine FTE allocation: Number of graduate faculty in dept Number of faculty supervising Ph.D.s Relative Ph.D. completion rate Student quality: number of competitive merit fellowship recipients Number of Ph.D. students in years 1-5 (or 6) supported on external funds

15. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School15 EFFECT OF INTERVENTIONS ON COMPLETION Compare attrition in first 5 years for Fall 1996-99 vs. Fall 1991-95 cohorts: Significant reduction in attrition in disciplines where funding change is greatest: Humanities 5-year attrition reduced from 25% to 18%. Effect strongest in Language instruction departments where reduction in required service greatest. Reduced attrition in the most TA-dependent Physical Science departments (Chemistry, Math)

16. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School16 YEAR 1-5 ATTRITION AFTER INTERVENTION: Significant improvement in Humanities, particularly in highly T.A.- dependent Language & Literature departments DUKE UNIVERSITY GRADUATE SCHOOL

17. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School17 EFFECT OF INTERVENTIONS ON COMPLETION Compare attrition in first 5 years for Fall 1996-99 vs. Fall 1991-95 cohorts: Virtually no overall effect on Biological Sciences, where attrition already lowest and funding with choice already in place Attrition worsens in most tub on own bottom units (EOS, Engineering) and others (Economics) that resist following Graduate Schools new budgeting system and/or recruit students directly into labs on research grants.

18. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School18 YEAR 1-5 ATTRITION AFTER INTERVENTION: Highly T.A.-dependent Physical Science depts generally improve ; Tub on own bottom depts in Engineering, EOS get worse DUKE UNIVERSITY GRADUATE SCHOOL

19. July 13, 2005Duke University Graduate School19 Data Can Lead to Change: Based on the results from Dukes completion data project, Engineering has agreed that allocations for its departmental Ph.D. programs will be based on A&S factors. Engineering Ph.D. students are to be admitted with year 1 fellowships rather than tied to research grant support in a particular laboratory.