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FAST FORWARD, READY OR NOT January 12, 2005
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CHANGE CHANGE IS THE NEW REALITY A World Constantly Remade 1984 Nuclear War / Japan Inc. China, India, USSR not players 8% U.S. PC Penetration MacIntosh introduced ~ 0 Internet users The only jobs our kids will get are “selling McDonald’s hamburgers & sweeping up around Japanese computers.” 8MHz CPU, $2,500
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CHANGE CHANGE IS THE NEW REALITY A World Constantly Remade 19841994 Nuclear War / Japan Inc. China, India, USSR not players Oklahoma City / NAFTA 8% U.S. PC Penetration MacIntosh introduced 24% U.S. PC Penetration ~ 0 Internet users 2% Internet users Mosaic brand new The only jobs our kids will get are “selling McDonald’s hamburgers & sweeping up around Japanese computers.” NAFTA will create a “giant sucking sound of all our jobs leaving for Mexico.”
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CHANGE CHANGE IS THE NEW REALITY A World Constantly Remade 198419942004 Nuclear War / Japan Inc. China, India, USSR not players Oklahoma City / NAFTA Terrorists / “Benedict Arnold CEOs” 8% U.S. PC Penetration MacIntosh introduced (8MHz CPU, $2,500) 24% U.S. PC Penetration 58% U.S. PC Penetration (2.66GHz, $600) ~ 0 Internet users2% Internet users Mosaic introduced ~ 160M online US > 650M online worldwide The only jobs our kids will get are “selling McDonald’s hamburgers & sweeping up around Japanese computers.” NAFTA will create a “giant sucking sound of all our jobs leaving for Mexico.” “From a superpower to a third world country, the U.S. is in rapid decline.”
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2000 Bubble Collapse Global Recession Terrorist Attacks Corporate Scandals / Iraq War 20012002 NEW ENTRANTS… China, India, Eastern Bloc enter global economy NEW TECHNOLOGIES… Digitization and networking create productivity revolution, any job anywhere NEW PRESSURES… Pressure to innovate, customize, & be first-to- market… blue & white collar work THE NEW DRIVERS OF CHANGE Cyclical AND Structural Changes…
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Japan has the world’s fastest super- computer SOUTH KOREA #1 IN BROADBAND… over 70% citizens @ >1Mbps Shrinking Share of: Global R&D S&E graduates Global patenting THE NEW DRIVERS OF CHANGE...Combined with Better Global Competition…
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Years to 25% U.S. Adoption Source: McKinsey THE NEW DRIVERS OF CHANGE … Are Coming At An Accelerating Pace…
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There will be more change in the next 30 years than in all of the 20 th Century. Disruptive Technologies Globalization Convergence Rising Competitors THE NEW DRIVERS OF CHANGE … And Will Come Even Faster…
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COPING WITH CHANGE Creating New Opportunities & Challenges Consumer AcceptanceK-to-Gray Learning Environments Regulatory Flexibility Evolving Business Models
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“It is not the strongest of the species that survive, nor the most intelligent, but the ones most responsive to change.” Charles Darwin WORKERS / COMPANIES / REGIONS / NATIONS COPING WITH CHANGE Can We Move Fast Enough?
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HELP PEOPLE TRANSITION MAXIMIZE OUR COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES ENGAGE THE WORLD IMPROVE EDUCATION Promoting American Competitiveness COPING WITH CHANGE COPING WITH CHANGE How Do We “Pick Up The Pace”?
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WHAT DO WE DO ABOUT IT? Help People Transition Better Improve and fund retraining & adjustment programs Credits for proactive investment in human capital Encourage Saving Explore wage insurance & health care portability Improve systems for Lifelong Learning
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Fight for Market Access Protect IPR globally Prevent Non-Tariff Trade Barriers Expand the Pie WHAT DO WE DO ABOUT IT? Engage the World
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INNOVATION America must never compete in the battle of who can pay their workers the least. WHAT DO WE DO ABOUT IT? Reinvest in our Comparative Advantages ENTREPRENEURSHIP INFRASTRUCTURE EDUCATION
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IMMIGRATION & STUDENT VISAS K-TO-GRAY LEARNING ENVIRONMENTS Grow, Attract & Retain the Best & Brightest TECH- LITERATE WORKFORCE TEACHERS ABLE TO INTEGRATE TECHNOLOGY WHAT DO WE DO ABOUT IT? Improve Education
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THANK YOU ARE YOU READY?
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