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Future Trends Impacting Real Estate People just ain’t what they’re going to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster www.annimac.com.au Barry Plant National Conference Fremantle Western Australia 5 th March 2007
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www.annimac.com.au 2 Rate of Change - exponential Amount of change now in 1 day grandparents had in 1 year Younger means faster Generational gap widening
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 3 I’m never having kids. I hear they take nine months to download.
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 4 Three Global Challenges Climate change Peak Oil People change
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 5 Three Global Challenges Climate change Global warming impacting now Aus second most arid continent Aus climate highly vulnerable changing rainfall : SE Aus = 10% changing temperatures : 2° - 4°
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 6 Three Global Challenges Peak Oil The Big Rollover : Demand > Supply O&G industry : 2007 - 2012
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 7 OIL BUYERS MARKET The Peak of World Oil Production CHEAP & EASY-TO- EXTRACT OIL US North Sea Forecast oil production Past oil production We are here Previous Rollovers SELLERS MARKET 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 1930195019701990201020302050 EXPENSIVE & HARD-TO-EXTRACT OIL Annual Oil Production Gbbl
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 8 Three Global Challenges People Change Customer driven world Product driven world shrinking Customers demand excellence Profiles rapidly changing
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 9 By 2020 70 % of job types then do not exist now Driving People Change
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 10 80 % of technology then is not imagined yet Driving Change : By 2020
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 11 Japanese Robanoid 2006 Future Receptionist ? Display home hostess ?
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 12 Imagine what some of those jobs might be …..
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 13 Likely jobs in next 15 years : Director of Emerging Thought Chief Zookeeper - of people Biotech Homes Consultant Home Mood Enhancement Coach Nano Technology Info Officer Chief Imagination Advisor Hacker Relations Manager Holographic Display Modeller Online Client Life Consultant
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 14 Pressure to change - why Technology driving change Who is driving new technologies Not IT industry Not executives in Big Biz or Govt Not market industry researchers
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 15 Look at Generational differences Gen gap always existed but Gen gap is fast
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 16 Parallel Universes Kids live them.
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 17 Gen differences impacting : Consumers Service providers Product providers Product innovators R & D executives
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 18 What does gap mean for Barry Plant Right now Into the future For own organisation - staff For industry For government For community
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 19
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 20 Generations Baby Boomers 1945 – 60 age 45 – 60 Generation X 1960 – 75 30 - 45 DotComs 1975 – 90 15 - 30 Ferals 1990 – now to 15 annimac Generation X 1960 – 80 25 – 45 Generation Y 1980 – now to 25 wikipedia
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 21 Baby Boomers
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 22 Baby Boomers 45 - 60 Downsizing lives Empty nesters Retired or part time work Male identity from job Questioning material status
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 23 Boomers Care
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 24 Baby Boomers 45 - 60 : Sense of community Seek new safe experiences Security & Health conscious Defer to authority Love / hate change
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 25 Boomers & technology That’s the phone, dear, Here, try the remote That’s the phone dear. Here try the remote.
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 26 Impact for Barry Plant Baby Boomers 45 - 60 Winding down : leisure indulgence Risk averse Respect rank Steady relationships Need relationship continuity familiar experiences positive group identity structural reliability
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 27 So Are Boomers driving change No Yes Maybe
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 28 Generations Baby Boomers 1945 – 60 age 45 – 60 Generation X 1960 – 75 30 - 45 DotComs 1975 – 90 15 - 30 Ferals 1990 – now to 15 annimac Generation X 1960 – 80 25 – 45 Generation Y 1980 – now to 25 wikipedia
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 29 Gen Xers
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 30 Generation Xers 30 - 45 Single Childless Net Dating Varied lifestyles Varied workstyles SOHO
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 31 Gen X Singles
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 32 Generation Xers 30 - 45 Risk takers Personal journey Fast decisions Materialism assumed Environmental values Defer to heroes Expect & accept change
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 33 Gen X Lifestyle Dog
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 34 Impact for Barry Plant Gen X 30 - 45 Fast action Now Short term pitch - staged pitch Results oriented Need choices immediacy short term involvement complete – stand alone skills oriented demand quality of experience
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 35 So Are GenXers driving change ? No Yes Maybe
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 36 Generations Baby Boomers 1945 – 60 age 45 – 60 Generation X 1960 – 75 30 - 45 DotComs 1975 – 90 15 - 30 Ferals 1990 – now to 15 annimac Generation X 1960 – 80 25 – 45 Generation Y 1980 – now to 25 wikipedia
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 37 DotComs
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 38 DotComs 15 – 30 ( Gen Y) Own path Immediacy Temporary pairing Group socialising Internet relationships Wired No home No single careers
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 39 DotComs Relationships
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 40 DotComs 15 - 30 I.d. from activity Multi channeled Multi actions Planetary group mission Temporary deference - usefulness Need change Cluetrain Manifesto www.cluetrainmanifesto.com
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 41 Impact for Barry Plant DotComs 15 - 30 Passionate – value driven Team + personal relationships Short term fast involvement Multi channel activities Need choices no spin very short term flexibility innovation real positive outcomes
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 42 So Are DotComs driving change ? No Yes Maybe
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 43 Generations Baby Boomers 1945 – 60 age 45 – 60 Generation X 1960 – 75 30 - 45 DotComs 1975 – 90 15 - 30 Ferals 1990 – now to 15 annimac Generation X 1960 – 80 25 – 45 Generation Y 1980 – now to 25 wikipedia
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 44 Ferals
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 45 Ferals 0 - 15 Wild Child No limits No boundaries Planetary mission : to create sustainable world Wired Parallel universes Unlimited mind channels Intuitive & telepathic
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 46 Ferals Virtual World
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 47 Ferals to 15 Future jobs unimportant Non consumers Global i.d. from self values No deference Respect only when useful Live change & ignore barriers
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 48 Ferals
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 49 Impact for Barry Plant Ferals to 15 Expect new relationships & things Love Virtual world Create into unknowns Influencing older gens Need personal power trust clear values nb: super spin detectors no rules no hindrance ICT quality access multi channel everything
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 50 So Are Ferals driving change ? No Yes Maybe
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 51
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 52 Barry Plant Trends Summary huge rate of change climate change & Peak Oil younger generations driving change relationships key Work / Life styles options less governance more community power individual responsibility ! Virtual world emerging !
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 53 Facing the future with Barry Plant :
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5th March 2007 www.annimac.com.au 54 thank you www. annimac.com.au
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