1. Globalization – what is it about? Manfred Steger; Globalization – a very short introduction

2. Perceptions of the World Different levels: tribal, local, regional, national, international and global. Globalization indicates that we are dealing with the highest level of relations in the world

4. Tomas Ries 14.10.2004 NEW HISTORICAL ERA - WAVES TIME …8000 BC17002000 ABILITY TO MANIPULATE MATTER GATHER-HUNT AGRICULTUREINDUSTRY INFORMATION TECHNOLOGICAL WAVES

5. Tomas Ries 14.10.2004 WORLD SOCIETY – EARLY GLOBALISED PREMODERN SOCIETIES MODERN STATES GLOBALISING COMMUNITY 1 % EXXON-MOBIL DAIMLER-CHRYSLER MITSUBISHI CITIGROUP 14 % USA JAPAN SINGAPORE HONG KONG SWEDEN ITALY TAIWAN 5 % SOUTH KOREA (CHINA, INDIA 10%) ESTONIA HUNGARY THAILAND 15 % BRAZIL EGYPT RUSSIA SYRIA (CHINA, INDIA 40%) 65 % ANGOLA (CHINA, INDIA 50%) RWANDA SUDAN ZAIRE

6. Tomas Ries 14.10.2004 WORLD SOCIETY - STRATA GNP pc ppp 000 USD 1% GLOBALISED ELITE 30 DAIMLER-BENZ NOKIA SONY-ERICSSON 25 USA SWITZERLAND JAPAN 13% RICH GLOBALISING 20 HONG KONG FINLAND, SWEDEN ITALY, TAIWAN PRC 1, INDIA 1 822.5 2% EARLY GLOBALISING 15 SPAIN SOUTH KOREA 124.8 4% LATE MODERN 10 CZECH REPUBLIC ARGENTINA HUNGARY 233.7 15% PRIMITIVE MODERN 05 BRAZIL RUSSIA VENEZUELA 891.0 32% PREMODERN 01 34% MISERY PRC 3, INDIA 3 ANGOLA, LAOS RWANDA 1,925.2 2,066.2 FLOW WORLD COLLISION IMPLOSION

7. Tomas Ries 14.10.2004 WORLD SOCIETY – EARLY GLOBALISED PREMODERN SOCIETIES MODERN STATES GLOBALISED COMMUNITY 1 % EXXON-MOBIL DAIMLER-CHRYSLER MITSUBISHI CITIGROUP 14 % USA JAPAN HONG KONG SWEDEN ITALY TAIWAN 5 % SOUTH KOREA (CHINA, INDIA 10%) CZECH REP HUNGARY THAILAND 15 % BRAZIL EGYPT RUSSIA SYRIA (CHINA, INDIA 60%) 65 % ANGOLA RWANDA SUDAN ZAIRE THE EMPIRE “OECD community”

8. Tomas Ries 14.10.2004 L’EMPIRE, C’EST NOUS – THE GLOBAL FAT CATS POSTMODERN COMMUNITY - Cooper GLOBALISERS - Friedman CORE - Barnett ? ?

9. Tomas Ries 14.10.2004 EXTERNAL POLITICAL TENSIONS - EARLY GLOBALISED YUGOSLAVI A REFUGEES INSTABILIT Y CRIME IRAQ- KUWAIT VITAL INTERESTS DISORDER FALKLANDS CHALLENGE MAGHREB REFUGEES MIGRATION POVERTY ISRAEL- PALESTINE TERRORISM INDIA- PAKISTAN RADIATION DISORDER CHECHNYA PRC-TAIWAN DETERRENC E DISORDER SIERRA LEONE EVACUATION COLUMBI A CRIM E PANDE MIC DISEAS E L’EMPIRE - C’EST NOUS TRANSNATIONAL STRATEGIC TERROR AFRICA ARAB WORLD

10. Tomas Ries 14.10.2004 THE WHITE MAN’S BURDEN DEVELOPMENT AND DEMOCRACY 1.ORDER AND SECURITY 2.ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT 3.SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT (Middle Class) 4.DEMOCRACY You must first develop structural stability. Only thereafter is stable democracy possible. This is why development aid is not enough. And this is our dilemma.

11. Tomas Ries 14.10.2004 IMPERIAL SECURITY AGENDA PREMODERN SOCIETIES MODERN STATES GLOBALISED COMMUNITY 1 % 14 % 5 % 15 % 65 % SYMBIOSIS (WEF) LEADERSHIP + STRATEGY G7, NATO, EU INTEGRATE EU, OECD, WTO ASSIST, PROTECT IMF, WB, UNDP, NATO ASYMMETRIC REALPOLITICS OSCE, NATO, EU ??? BENEVOLENT COLONIALISM ??? UN? NATO? ESDP?

12. Tomas Ries 14.10.2004 THREAT ANALYSIS - EARLY GLOBALISED SEVERITY EXISTENCE VITAL COMFORT MORAL LIKELIHOOD REMOTE POSSIBLE LIKELY HAPPENING MADRID LONDON 9.11 STRATEGISK TERROR FLU SARS DEADL Y PANDE MIC GLOBAL ECONOMIC DEPRESSION GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRASH