1. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects 2nd EAST-WEST Innovation Forum Floods: Danger, Strategies, Solutions 5-6 June 2003, Warsaw, Poland Panagiotis Balabanis DG Research panagiotis.balabanis@cec.eu.int The research on floods supported by the European Commission up to date

2. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects Three decades of EU flood related research  Flooding was a major component of successive EU environmental research programmes  Earlier programmes were focussed on understanding the causes of natural disasters and the development of protection methods  Recent programmes (FP4,FP5 and FP6) give more and more emphasis on integrated approaches for flood management within the context of sustainability

3. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects EC supported flood research projects  FP2 - 6 projects  FP3 - 12 projects  FP4 - 22 projects  FP5 - 18 projects  Other (IC) - 4 projects  EC Funding over €58 Million

4. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects RIBAMOD Principles (1997)  Pre-flood preparedness  risk mapping and reduction  spatial planning  flood defence infrastructure  contingency planning  Operational flood management  warning and emergency response  Post-flood recovery  relief, review, regeneration

5. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects RIBAMOD Conclusions  Involvement of the public as well as politicians and professionals in the sustainable development of river basins.  Need a catchment view of flood defence activities, integrated with environmental effects rather than a collection of unconnected, individual measures  Need to understand the effects of environmental change on flood risk

6. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects RIBAMOD Conclusions  Need multidisciplinary working between  meteorologists and hydrologists to improve flood forecasting and  between engineers, planners and ecologists for the design of flood defences  Risk is the framework for managing and communicating the effects of flooding.  Incorporate “human” factors in flood defence planning – how to present information to achieve the desired action.

7. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects EUROTAS  Integrated catchment modelling  Procedure for risk assessment  Procedure for environmental change  Land use and climate impact  Procedure for river engineering measures  Prototype Decision Support  Technology implemented in UK strategic flood defence planning - MDSF

8. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects Advances in FP3 and FP4  Radar precipitation and hydrology  Integration of data sources  Use of LAM in flood forecasting  Floods with debris (mountain areas)  Integrated catchment modelling  Flood risk assessment  Hazards, exposure and vulnerability

9. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects Flood research in the context of FP5  Key Action “Sustainable Management and Quality of Water”  emphasis on flood forecasting and early warning systems  Key Action “Lobal Change, Climate and Biodiversity”  emphasis on major natural and technological hazards

10. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects FloodMan Near real time flood forecasting, warning and management system based on satellite radar images, hydrological and hydraulic models and in-situ data. Coordinator: Dr. Tore Guneriussen, NORUT, Tromsø, Norway

11. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects FloodMan Objectives The main objective of this project is to develop, demonstrate and validate a prototype information system for cost effective near-real time flood forecasting, warning and management using EO data, in particular space borne Synthetic Aperture Radar data, hydrological and hydraulic models and in-situ data..

12. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects Real-time Flood Decision Support System Integrating Hydrological, Meteorological and Radar Technologies Michael Butts Water Resources Division DHI Water & Environment FLOODRELIEF

13. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects Main Objectives The FLOODRELIEF project aims  to develop and demonstrate a new generation of flood forecasting methodologies which will advance present capabilities and accuracies  to make the forecasting information and results more readily accessible both to flood managers and those threatened by floods.

14. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects Critical Assessment of available Radar Precipitation Estimation techniques and Development of Innovative approaches for Environmental Management

15. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects Project Objectives CARPE DIEM aims to improve the quality of flood forecasting for small and medium size catchments developing an innovative methodology to exploit radar data (Doppler moment, reflectivity and polarisation information) in order to enhance rainfall estimation and prediction.  Improve the techniques for assimilation of radar data in NWP models, with emphasis on the forecasting of flooding events and on nowcasting.  Improve the quality of radar rain retrieving techniques.  Improve the quality of the rainfall field inputs to hydrological models.  Improve the useful lead-time and reliability of forecasted floods.

16. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects MANTISSA Microwave Attenuation as a New Tool for Improving Stormwater Supervision Administration Professor Chris Collier, University of Salford, United Kingdom

17. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects MANTISSA Objectives  To evaluate the applicability of microwave links as a tool for improved rain measurements in urban and rural catchments.  To improve the management of stormwater flows including flash floods in rural and urban catchments.

18. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects EURAINSAT European Satellite Rainfall Analysis and Monitoring at the Geostationary V. Levizzani, National Council of Research, Institute of Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, Italy

19. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects EURAINSAT What is the main purpose? Develop new satellite rainfall estimation methods at the geostationary scale for an operational use in short and very short range weather monitoring and forecasting. Who are the key target users? The project is very much application-oriented and natural users are to be found among:  National and regional met services,  Basin authorities,  International agencies (WMO, FAO, …),  National and international space agencies,  National agencies for civil and environmental protection,  Institutions for the protection against hydrogeological risks,  Air traffic control centers,  Research institutions,  Industry, agriculture, …

20. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects MUSIC - Multi-sensor precipitation measurements integration, calibration and flood forecasting  Improving the reliability of rainfall estimation techniques based on radar and Meteosat, by combining them, in an objective and optimal way, with the traditional rain-gauge observations.  Communicate and disseminate results to the authorities involved in real-time flood forecasting and management

21. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects EFFS - A European Flood Forecasting System  To take advantage of currently available Medium- Range Weather Forecasts (4 - 10 days) to produce reliable flood warnings beyond the current flood warning period of approximately 3 days.  To design a Medium-Range Flood Forecasting System for Europe that will produce flood warnings on the basis of the Medium Range Weather Forecasts.  To produce flood forecasts in regions where at present no flood forecasts are made on the basis of the newly developed system.

22. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects MITCH Mitigation of Climate Induced Natural Hazards Paul Samuels, HR Wallingford Ltd, United Kingdom

23. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects MITCH Objectives  To provide a forum for discussion and debate.  To assist hazard planning and management by disseminating start-of-the-art research.  To match end user needs with research community capability.  To seek implementation pathways for research results.

24. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects MITCH The MITCH Workshops (http://www.mitch- ec.net/news_events.htm)  'Floods, Droughts and Landslides - Management in a Changing Climate, December 2001  Advances in Flood Forecasting, Flood Warning & Emergency Management, June 2002  Floods, Droughts and Landslides - Who Plans, Who Pays? November 2002

25. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects ACTIF - ACTIF - Achieving Technological Innovation in Flood Forecasting  To actively consolidate and disseminate FP5 research advances in flood forecasting  To derive and disseminate additional benefits from these projects to facilitate the implementation of technological innovations already achieved in the research.  Convening of two scientific workshops and promotion of an international conference  Preparation of Guidelines of best European Practice in three aspects of flood forecasting technology  Preparation of guidelines on the access to high quality, site specific, data for further research and analysis

26. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects ECOFLOOD - Towards Natural Flood Reduction Strategies  The ECOFLOOD accompanying measure will support a series of workshops and a conference to reduce the gap between the research community and the stakeholders and to elaborate a manual for stimulating the idea of natural floods defence strategies  International Conference, Warsaw, 6-13 September 2003 ( http://levis.sggw.waw.pl/ecoflood/)

27. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects Conclusions 1  Past and ongoing research activities provide important insights for the sustainable management of floods  It will never be possible to guarantee absolute safety and therefore a change of paradigm towards non- structural flood protection measures, such as floodplain management, flood forecasting and warning systems, risk assessment, economic instruments, awareness raising and improving information is needed

28. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects Conclusions 2  Flash-floods have been significantly less studied than floods occurring in basins larger than 500 km 2  Implications of climate variability and climate change have not been fully considered in current water policy and decision-making frameworks and need to receive proper attention  Dissemination of research results to end users and the establishment of closer links between researchers and operational agencies is of paramount importance

29. E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o nCommunity Research Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects Conclusions 3  A more concerted EU research action is needed to integrate various fragmented activities in the field of flood risk assessment at catchment and regional scale, in the context of climate change and variability, land-use change, urbanisation and population growth, making use of recent technological advances (radar, satellite, modeling etc.) and improving the opportunities of floodplain management to manage the variability of extreme events