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Christine Chen, Executive Director 202-223-9170 (w), 703-593-0000 (c),

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Presentation on theme: "Christine Chen, Executive Director 202-223-9170 (w), 703-593-0000 (c),"— Presentation transcript:

1 Christine Chen, Executive Director 202-223-9170 (w), 703-593-0000 (c), cchen@apiavote.org

2 2 2 Alabama Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Florida Georgia Idaho IllinoisIndiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming Connecticut Delaware Maryland New Jersey Rhode Island Alaska Hawaii

3 3 State Total Citizen Voting Age Population Registration Rate To fill Registration Equality Gap† To register 50% of Unregistered‡ AZ8 6,00080%8,500 CA3,070,00050%616,000762,500 CO7 9,00046%20,00021,500 FL2 75,00047%51,00073,500 GA1 57,00032%50,00053,000 HI4 83,00055%25,000109,000 IL2 69,00049%54,00068,500 MD1 61,00047%35,00043,000 MA1 36,00048%36,00035,500 MI1 22,00043%38,00034,500 NV1 49,00048%23,00038,500 NJ3 37,00052%58,00081,000 NY6 33,00038%199,000195,500 NC1 00,00077%11,500 PA1 28,00051%22,00031,500 TX5 85,00046%131,000157,000 VA2 90,00056%46,00064,500 WA2 51,00060%45,00050,500 Engaging the Emerging Majority: The Case for Voter Registration in 2012 and Beyond Report Produced by the NOI Education Fund

4 Asian Americans and their Potential Impact Asian Americans could make a difference in close elections, if they are effectively engaged to vote. Although Democratic-leaning, Asian Americans historically have voted on the basis of the individual candidates and issues. Almost a third of Asian Americans are independents, don’t identify with a party, or refuse to identify, and have not been engaged to participate more in the political process.

5 5 FLORIDA Florida is home to over half a million AAPIs, which represent 3% of the total population. In addition to being a presidential swing state, there will be 9 competitive US House races, including a new congressional seat due to reapportionment) and the entire state legislature on the ballot this year. WHAT’S AT STAKE? Presidential swing state -- Competitive US Senate race Competitive US House of Representatives races -- All 40 State Senate seats All 120 House of Representative seats -- 7 statewide ballot measures Congressional District2010 Result 4 AAPI Percentage 2 nd Steve Sutherland 54% - Allen Boyd 41%2.5% 7 th John Mica 69% - Heather Beaven 31%3.0% 8 th Daniel Webster 56% - Alan Grayson 38%5.9% 10 th Bill Young 66% - Charlie Justice 34%4.2% 13 th Vern Buchanan 68.9% - James Golden 31.1%1.9% 22 nd Allen West 54.3% - Ron Klein 45.7%3.3% 24 th Sandy Adams 59.6% - Suzanne Kosmas 40.3%4.2% 25 th David Rivera 52.1% - Joe Garcia 42.6%2.3%

6 66 Asian Americans in Florida give Obama a 38 point lead over Romney. That would provide a 33,000 vote margin for Obama if there is a similar turnout pattern as 2008. Assuming Mitt Romney is the nominee for the Republican party, if the election for President was held today and the candidates were: President Barack Obama, Democrat and Former Governor Mitt Romney, Republican, for whom would you vote, or are you undecided? +28 *Asked of 114 respondents 88,000 Asian Americans voted in the November 2008 election of 8,453,000 total voters in Florida.

7 7 NEVADA Nevada’s AAPI population has continued its phenomenal growth with an increase of over 116%. The state is close to becoming a majority-minority state. It is considered a presidential swing state and has a new congressional district as a result of reapportionment. In addition, there will be 2 other competitive US House seats and state legislative races on the ballot. 8 State House Districts have an AAPI population of 9% or more 1. Nevada is ground zero for the housing crises and AAPIs have a 12% unemployment rate, the highest in the country 2 Congressional District 2010 Result AAPI Percentage 2 nd Dean Heller 63% - Nancy Price 33%6.0% 3 rd Joe Heck 48% - Dina Titus 47%14.5% WHAT’S AT STAKE? Presidential swing state Competitive US House of Representatives races 10 State Senate seats All 42 State Assembly seats 2 statewide ballot measures

8 8 In Nevada, Asian Americans could give Obama a 9,000 vote advantage over Romney, based on a 25 point lead for Obama and assuming similar turnout to 2008. Assuming Mitt Romney is the nominee for the Republican party, if the election for President was held today and the candidates were: President Barack Obama, Democrat and Former Governor Mitt Romney, Republican, for whom would you vote, or are you undecided? +25 *Asked of 105 respondents 35,000 Asian Americans voted in the November 2008 election of 970,000 total voters in Nevada.

9 9 VIRGINIA The AAPI vote will figure into the 3 competitive US House seats, 2 in Northern Virginia and 1 in Hampton Roads. In the 2006 US Senate race, Asian Americans made up 3% of the electorate where Jim Webb squeezed out a victory with a margin of less that 1% 2. WHAT’S AT STAKE? Presidential swing state Competitive open US Senate race Competitive US House of Representatives races Congressional District 2010 Result AAPI % of Population 2 nd Scott Rigell 53% - Glenn Nye 43%7.0% 10 th Frank Wolf 63% - Jeff Barnett 35%14.3% 11 th Gerry Connolly 49.22% - Keith Fimian 48.79% 17.2%

10 10 In Virginia, if we experience similar turnout as 2008, we could see a 47,000 vote margin for Obama from the Asian American community. Assuming Mitt Romney is the nominee for the Republican party, if the election for President was held today and the candidates were: President Barack Obama, Democrat and Former Governor Mitt Romney, Republican, for whom would you vote, or are you undecided? +34 *Asked of 117 respondents 136,000 Asian Americans voted in the November 2008 election of 3,753,000 total voters in Virginia.

11 Christine Chen, Acting Executive Director 202-223-9170 (w), 703-593-0000 (c), cchen@apiavote.org


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