1. National Weather Service Perspective for Lidar Wind Data
Jim Yoe – NWS/NCEP and the JCSDA
Mike Johnson – NWS/OST
February 8, 2011

2. Overview Background Applications in the NWS Closing Considerations
Numerical Weather Prediction
Secondary Applications
Closing Considerations

3. Background Recommendation: “Build A Business Case”
Mike Johnson to LWG, January 2010

4. Business Case Requirements
Recognize Fiscal Realities
Competition with
Other observing systems
Model & IT improvements
Demonstrate technology is ready for space
Broaden Advocacy Base
Focus on one main application
Develop secondary applications
WITHOUT requiring system redesign

5. Organizational Chart for the National Weather Service
Hurricane
Center
Space Weather
Prediction Center
Where are DWL applications developed, supported in the NWS?

6. Numerical Weather Prediction

7. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER Tropical Weather Guidance and Forecasts
26 FTE
46 FTE 7

8. Test Beds Service – Science Linkage with the Outside Community
EMC WRF Developmental Test Center, NASA/ NOAA/DoD Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation
CPC Climate Test Bed
NHC Joint Hurricane Test Bed
HPC Hydrometeorological Test Bed
SPC Hazardous Weather Test Bed with NSSL
SWPC Space Weather Prediction Test Bed with AFWA
AWC Aviation Weather Test Bed
OPC linked with EMC’s Marine Modeling and Analysis Branch 8

9. Numerical Weather Prediction
Demonstrate impact of global wind observations on NWP Modeling
Using real observations – ADM, Aircraft obs
Using simulated observations - OSSEs
Resultsto be reported on in this meeting
Masutani et al
Ma et al
McCarty et al
Pu et al, Emmitt et al

10. Secondary Applications

11. Suggested Applications
Aviation Support
Complement VIS/IR sensing of volcanic ash, SO2
Complement obs of cloud height, phase, & type
Icing, low-cloud, and fog observations (terminal landing and take-off forecasts)
Air Quality
Complement GEO sounder observations
Others ?
Where and how to explore and develop these?

12. Organizational Chart for the National Weather Service
Hurricane
Center
Space Weather
Prediction Center
An application identified and requirements specified: How to proceed?

13. Proving Ground
Proving Ground Purpose (5.1, J Gurka Wed 0830 & J10.1, IIPS, B Reed Wed 0400PM)
Ensure users ready to fully exploit GOES-R data on day 1
Focus on interactive demonstrations of GOES-R product set…& in exploitation of GOES-R within NWP.
Push to include national polar programs within PG. Not realized yet due to NPOESS-to-JPSS transition maturity
Inherently includes demonstrations from other “operational” satellites. E.g. NASA missions (eg. MODIS)
Satellite Readiness Training
Training Partners are a Proving Ground Core Member

14. NWS Satellite Product User Readiness (NSPUR) Working Group
Formed to mitigate NWS User Readiness Risk associated with impact that GOES-R, NPP, JPSS, other-satellites, AWIPS development, rapid increases in data volume, & changes to data delivery will have on NWS Users.
Effort to examine in an integrated way:
the products that GOES-R, NPP, JPSS, and other satellite programs are expected to deliver to NWS & when.
Corresponding development of communications pathways and AWIPS Extended
User guided discussions on push-pull trades and optimum achievable product deliveries.
Identify systematic high-level pathway to achieve strategic goals (merged observing system)
Develop Satellite Product CONOPs
Engage Users (for example WFOs) in developing applications

15. Closing Considerations
Continually assess and balance
Wind Requirements and DWL capabilities
Continually document both
Internally – NOAA CORL
Externally – BAMS Article

16. Back-Up Slides

17. Forces for Change
Increasing emphasis on multi-model ensemble approaches that build on the NCEP model suite
SREF
NAEFS
Climate Forecast System
Entering the JPSS era
More rapid access to hyperspectral data
GPS soundings
Higher resolution surface radiance data
Models run within ESMF/NEMS
Models run concurrently
Fully coupled
Spanning all scales
Operational Earth System model; enable more explicit hydro, ocean, coastal, climate and ecosystems applications
Collaborative Forecast Process
ESMF-based System
Global/Regional Model Domain
Model Region 1
Model Region 2

18. NCEP Supports the NOAA Seamless Suite of Climate Weather and Ocean Products
Organization: Central component of NOAA National Weather Service
Mission: NCEP delivers science-based environmental predictions to the nation and the global community. We collaborate with partners and customers to produce reliable, timely, and accurate analyses, guidance, forecasts and warnings for the protection of life and property and the enhancement of the national economy.
Aviation Weather Center
Space Weather Prediction Center
NCEP Central Operations
Climate Prediction Center Environmental Modeling Center Hydromet Prediction Center Ocean Prediction Center
Storm Prediction Center
National Hurricane Center
Vision: The Nation’s trusted source, first alert and preferred partner for environmental prediction services

19. Increasing Collaboration Within NCEP Service Centers and the WFOs
SPC/WFO
Watch “by county”
HPC/WFO
Winter Weather Desks
Medium Range: Days 4-7/NDFD
Alaska Desk
AWC/WFO/CWSU
Collaborative Convective Forecast Product
CPC/ Regions/WFO/RFC
Hazard Assessment
Seasonal outlooks/CTB
OPC/WFO
Near shore  High seas
HPC-TPC-OPC-AR-PR
Unified Surface Analysis!
SWPC – AWC – AR
Solar/Aviation Products

20. Discussion: Working to Ensure User Readiness and Satisfaction
Satellite User Readiness
PROVING GROUND
TRAINING
NOAA Enterprise Solution
AWIPS
PLANNING (NSPUR)*
NWS IT
Multiple activities taking place to prepare NWS users for satellite data
NWS IT Infrastructure Readiness program manager working closely with those conducting satellite user readiness
NWS Satellite Product User
Readiness (NSPUR)
GOAL: DELIVERING MEANINGFUL DATA TO USERS
SO THEY CAN DELIVER TIMELY AND ACCURATE FORECASTS