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The Weather Company and Climate Change The Weather Company and Climate Change Dr. Jeff Masters Director of Meteorology The Weather Underground http://www.wunderground.com Dr. Jeff Masters Director of Meteorology The Weather Underground http://www.wunderground.com
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Wunderground’s Climate Change Page: Customized to Where You Live
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Weather.com Environment News Section Launched in 2013
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Weather Channel On-Air Climate Change Stories, Jan – Jun 2013
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October 2013: Weather Channel Airs the 6-Part “Tipping Points” Series
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Live Coverage of President Obama’s June 2013 Climate Speech
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Climate Conversation at SxSW, 2013, in Austin With Actor Adrian Grenier
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Live Coverage of the September 2013 Release of the IPCC Report
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When talking about climate change, audience research shows that it is most important to emphasize that based on the evidence, 1) Earth's climate is warming. 2) This time, humans are mostly responsible. 3) 97% of climate scientists agree. 4) The warming climate is already causing significant impacts to people and ecosystems. 5) There are choices we can make now to reduce the severity of future impacts. These points are put at the top of wunderground’s Climate Change page as our Position Statement, at: http://www.wunderground.com/climate/
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How Does One Communicate Effectively to the Public? Don’t be Such a Scientist. Tell Stories, Use Metaphors. Arouse and Fulfill!
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Lessons from climatecommunication.org: The public will respond to simple, clear messages, repeated by a variety of trusted sources. Bad words:Replace with: AnthropogenicHuman-caused RadiationSolar energy Greenhouse gasesHeat-trapping gases EnhanceIncrease AnomalyDeparture from average Tell people about solutions. Use the analogy of The Little Engine That Could, not Chicken Little.
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Q: Why is there such widespread doubt that Earth's climate is warming, humans are mostly responsible, and the overwhelming majority of climate scientists agree? A: Because of a well-funded PR campaign by the oil, coal, and gas industries, amplified by sympathetic media outlets and politicians. Most of the public is in no position to distinguish good science from bad, so if you can create doubt, uncertainty, and confusion, you can win.
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From 2003 to 2010, $500 million was given to anti-climate science organizations by the fossil fuel industry. Biggest donors: Koch Foundation, Scaife Foundation, Donors Trust. Source: Source: Drexel University sociologist Dr. Robert Brulle on PBS’s FRONTLINE show, October 2012
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Earth’s Climate: Where are We at, and Where are We Headed? Developed a Climate Change Slide Show for a Weather Channel Company-wide Presentation, Available at: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/2013/climatetalk.ppt http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/2013/climatetalk.ppt
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Plants and Animals are Responding to a Warming Climate Spring is springing forward: Spring events, like bird and butterfly migrations, flower blooming times, and frog mating, have been advancing by about three days per decade over the past 30 years. Source: Source: Jeong et al., 2011, “Phenology shifts at start vs. end of growing season in temperate vegetation over the Northern Hemisphere for the period 1982–2008”
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Fall is falling back: From 2000 - 2008, the end of the growing season was delayed by 2.3 days. In the U.S., fall now occurs ten days later than it did 30 years ago.
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Extremes Have been Rising Since the 1970s, and the Two Most Extreme Years in U.S. History Were Also the Two Warmest Years: 2012 and 1998
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Extreme Summer Jet Stream Patterns Have Doubled in Frequency in the Past 11 Years
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Climate Change’s 3rd Greatest Threat: More Extreme Fresh Water Floods
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A 1-in-200-year Flood Like the 1862 California “Arkstorm” May be a 1-in-60-year Flood by 2100
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Climate Change’s 2 nd Greatest Threat: Sea Level Rise Combined With Stronger Storms
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Expect a 5% increase in hurricane winds per °C of ocean warming (Emanuel, 2005). Expected increase in SST by 2100: 1-2 °C. Hurricane wind speeds should increase by 5- 10%. Difference in wind speed between a Cat 3 and Cat 4: 15%. Thus, major hurricanes in 2100 should do 1.5 - 3 times more damage than they do now.
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Casino Pier in Seaside Heights, N.J. on Oct. 30, 2012, after Hurricane Sandy.
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Climate Change’s Greatest Threat: Drought Lake Oroville, California, January 2014
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2012 Drought: 123 killed, $30 billion in damage
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Dust Bowl Drought: 5,000 killed, 2.5 million people displaced
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The future of drought, 30 years from now?
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“We are already observing signs of instability within the climate system. There is no assurance that the rate of greenhouse gas buildup will not force the system to oscillate erratically and yield significant and punishing surprises.” -- Harvard climate scientists Paul Epstein and James McCarthy in “Assessing Climate Instability", Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2004. Hurricane Sandy, Oct 28, 2012
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Mother Nature’s new weather dice: It is now possible to roll a “13”!
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But There is Reason to be Optimistic—Many Dedicated Creative People are Working on Solutions Solar Vortex concept, developed at Georgia Tech, uses dust devil like vorticies to turn Turbine blades and generate power
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Send us your wunderphotos, http://www.wunderground.com/wximage/ jmasters@wunderground.com My Sample Climate Change Talk: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/2013/climatetalk.ppt Thanks for listening!
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