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Vulnerability Assessment Progress Dissemination of study on climate change vulnerability indicators Identification of agroecosystems Definition of methodology for each region 4 sub-regional assessments in progress Vulnerable Agriculture in the Gran Chaco Paraguay
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Why is Vulnerability Assessment useful? Why is Vulnerability Assessment useful? 1.Provide decision-makers with information: Causes and areas of current and future vulnerability Adaptation actions Mainstream adaptation into policy and planning 2.Identify and influence adaptation investing and financing opportunities
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Status 4 Sub-Regional Studies Vulnerability Assessment Start/ expected end date Centre of ExcellenceRelation to other projects Regional: Gran Chaco Local: Chaco Seco Paraguay March - December 2012 La Universidad Nacional de Formosa, Desarrollo Participación Ciudanía, and Universidad de la Cordillera Adaptation Fund (Paraguay) $7 millions Regional: Andes Local: Nor Yauyos- Cochas, Peru Regional: May 2012 - January 2013 Local: June2012- February 2013 Regional: CIAT Local: Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina MEBA $5.5 millions GEBA$3 millions Small Scale Agriculture Mesoamerica ToRs to be posted by July 2012 N/A Coastal Agricultural Systems Caribbean ToRs to be posted by August 2012 N/A
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Vulnerability to Climate Change IPCC, 2001
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Definition: Exposure to CC
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Definition: Sensitivity to CC Definition: Sensitivity to CC CIAT (2011). Coffee Under Pressure.
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Definition: Adaptive Capacity to CC UK Department for International Development (DFID) sustainable livelihood approach (Farrington et al. 1999) Examples of Indicators: Physical capital: Road access (quality and distance) Natural capital: Access and availability of water Human capital: Access to formal and informal education Social capital: Presence of community organizations Financial capital: Access to credit
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1.Vulnerability assessment results: Useful for project design and fundraising 2.Local scale: Clearly identify specific adaptation options 3.Importance of 3 vulnerability dimensions: exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity 4.A rigorous vulnerability assessment: Takes time, money, diversity of tools and expertise, and inter- institutional collaboration Lessons Learned Lessons Learned
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Lessons Learned #1. Results: Useful for project design and fundraising CIAT (2011). Impact of Climate Change on Jamaican Hotel Industry Supply Chains on Farmers Livelihoods.
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Lessons Learned #2.Local scale: Clearly identify specific adaptation options #3. Importance of 3 Vulnerability components High exposure(changes in temperature and precipitation) High sensitivity (high variability in coffee yields) Low adaptive capacity (limited access to credit, limited knowledge on managing pests and disease) Adaptation Focus: Crop diversification, strengthen local capacity on farming management practices CIAT (2011). Coffee Under Pressure.
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#4. A rigorous vulnerability assessment : Takes time, money, diversity of tools and expertise, and inter-institutional collaboration Lessons Learned Key Tools Meteorological data Climate modeling Agro-models (Eco-Crop) Hydrologic models Socio-economic indicators Surveys and focus groups Workshops with decision- makers GIS
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1. Stakeholders and Institutions 3. Current Climate Conditions and Future Scenarios 2. Data and Information 4. Vulnerability of Agriculture Sector 5. Social Vulnerability and Adaptive Capacity 6. Vulnerability of Water Resources 7. “Hot” Areas of Vulnerability 8. Adaptation Options 9. Adaptation Planning Methodological Components
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Preliminary Results from the Chaco RESILENCIA DE ECOSISTEMAS
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How are Preliminary Results being Used? RESILENCIA DE ECOSISTEMAS 1.Identification of new projects and proposals 2.Collaboration between financial institutions and agriculture producers 3.Development of a tool to evaluate climate risks and agriculture insurance
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Incorporating EBA RESILENCIA DE ECOSISTEMAS Identify: 1.Key ecosystems and their services in the study area 2.Stressors and pressures affecting the resiliency of ecosystems to provide those services 3.Actions to confront those stressors 4.Benefits and feasibility of EbA actions versus alternative actions
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Ecosystem Services Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005).
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Assessing Threats to Ecosystems RESILENCIA DE ECOSISTEMAS St. Vincent and the Grenadines 4 th National Report to UNCBD (2010).
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What if? Prioritising Policy Options RESILENCIA DE ECOSISTEMAS Winograd, M., Perez-Soba, M. and Verweij, P.(2011). The Quickscan Approach. Toolbox to Support Decision and Policy Making.
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Comparing Different Land Use Policies RESILENCIA DE ECOSISTEMAS Winograd, M., Perez-Soba, M. and Verweij, P.(2011). The Quickscan Approach. Toolbox to Support Decision and Policy Making.
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Adaptation Actions Honduras RESILENCIA DE ECOSISTEMAS Winogard, M.(2007). Sustainability and Vulnerability Indicators for Decision Making: Lessons Learned from Honduras.
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Resilience of Land Use RESILENCIA DE ECOSISTEMAS Winogard, M. (2007). Sustainability and Vulnerability Indicators for Decision Making: Lessons Learned from Honduras.
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Priorities 2012-13 RESILENCIA DE ECOSISTEMAS Completion of 4 VIAS REGATTA Workshop (January) 2 publications on VIA and EbA VIA Tool-Kit On-line Community of Practice portal
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Community of Practice– Adaptation- Andes
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