1. Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations Collaborations Scientific Advisory Committee Meeting 13 April 2010

2. Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations Multi-Model Approach: Honest Broker (via Institutional Collaborations) Community Climate System Model (CCSM; NSF) Climate Forecast System (CFS; NOAA) NOAA - Climate Test Bed Modeling, Analysis and Prediction (MAP) (MERRA, GEOS5; NASA)

3. Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations Community Climate System Model Led effort to correct tropical biases Adaptation as seasonal prediction research tool Participation –CCSM Advisory Board –Atmospheric Model Working Group –Land Model Working Group Contributing to CPL7 and IE capability in CCSM code base (see PetaApps project) Contributing to incorporation of superparameterization in CCSM code base (see CMMAP project)

4. Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations Climate Forecast System (CFS) CFS1.0 (2005 version; used operationally for seasonal prediction) –12 COLA Technical Reports produced based on CFS –10 COLA scientists, 3 PhD students and 2 summer interns have used CFS –Diagnose/model initial tendency errors in GFS/CFS (DelSole CTB project) –Developed an interactive ensemble version of CFS –Many diagnostic and model sensitivity studies –Winter high-resolution experiments to complement summer runs made by NCEP CFS2.0 (new GFS + MOM4; used in CFSRR; ready in May 2010) –Letter from L. Uccellini – COLA as “Research to Operations” partner –Collaborative research with EMC and CPC to use CFS2.0 to understand the weather-climate connection, including decadal prediction CFS3.0 (2015??) –COLA will collaborate with EMC and CPC to design and develop next generation CFS

5. Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations Multi-model experiments –CCSM transition to operations (CTB-funded project with U. Miami) –GFDL CM2.1 transition to operations (collaboration with NCEP, GFDL) Real-time seasonal predictions for CPC, IRI, and APCC GrADS: –Used in CPC, NOMADS and other NOAA labs - Helps broaden the usage and impact of NOAA climate products –Adding GIS capability to enhance interoperability of CPC products with impacts and applications community (CTB-funded project) Joint NCEP-COLA CTB Seminar Series Contributions to Climate Test Bed

6. Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations CTB Seminar Series 2007-2008 CFS as a prediction system and research tool Venue alternating between NCEP and COLA NCEP Venue: seminars coordinated with CTB “Test and Evaluation Team” meetings for broader discussion following the seminars 2008-2009 Topics include: –CFS improvements (R2O) –MME - evaluation, consolidation techniques (R2O) –Climate Forecast Products (R2O) –Using CFS to do scientific research (O2R) –2009-2010 Venues now include COLA, NCEP, ESSIC, and GSFC

7. Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations NOAA OST maintains a web page for the extended summaries of CTB Joint Seminar Series (part of the Science and Technology Infusion Climate Bulletin assembled by Jiayu Zhou) http://www.nws.noaa.gov/ost/climat e/STIP/fy09jsctb.htm

8. Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations Modeling, Analysis and Prediction (MAP) Program of NASA New atmospheric reanalysis (MERRA) uses ESMF-based model (GEOS-5) – provides unique data set for evaluating high-resolution models Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (GLACE, collaboration with Randy Koster, GMAO) COLA participants: Dirmeyer, Guo Along with GSWP, showed that locations where soil moisture data appear most likely to have an impact on climate prediction are those sparsely-vegetated areas (grasslands, savanna, steppes), which are also the locations where a passive microwave satellite has a chance of getting good data GLACE-2 – continuing collaboration with Koster to examine effect of soil moisture on prediction skill

9. Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations Land Group Collaborations Atmospheric Research Beijing Normal U. BoM (Australia) Catalan Institute of Science and Climate Center for Euro-Mediterranean Climate Change CNRM CSIRO Earth Water Global ECMWF Environment Canada Florida State U. GFDL Hadley Center Hokkaido U. Institute of Hydrology, Wallingford Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Water Problems KNMI Kyoto U. LMD/CNRS Météo-France MIT Nanjing U. NASA/GSFC National Institute for Environmental Studies (Japan) National Oceanography Centre, Southampton NCAR NCEP (EMC and CPC) NERC, Centre for Ecology & Hydrology Princeton U. Purdue U. Research Institute for Humanity and Nature (Japan) Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Texas A&M U. U. Colorado U. Exeter U. Gothenburg U. Lisbon U. Maryland U. Maryland Baltimore County U. Miami U. Minnesota U. New South Wales U. Texas U. Tokyo UCLA UK Met Office Western Kentucky U.

10. Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations International CLIVAR Climate of the 20 th Century Project (C20C) COLA participants –Cash, Jin, Kinter –COLA hosts the project home page  > 15 modeling groups from many countries –Australia, Brazil, China, France, Italy, Japan, New Zealand, Russia, U.K., USA Series of workshops organized jointly by COLA & Hadley Centre –4 th workshop held at COLA in 2007 –5 th workshop planned in Beijing on 19-22 April 2010 Many-author papers have shown what can and cannot be attributed to variations and change in global SST and sea ice –Scaife et al. –Kucharski et al. –Zhou et al. –Grainger et al.

11. Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations PetaApps COLA participants –Kinter, Stan Several groups participating with NSF OCI funding –NCAR, UC Berkeley, U. Miami Already had several impacts –Demonstrated efficacy of collaboration between modeling groups and computational science/software engineering groups –Highest resolution integration of CCSM (0.5 degree CAM + 0.1 degree POP) – interesting comparison with DOE Grand Challenge runs –Re-design of Flux Coupler for purposes of Interactive Ensemble (IE) led to high degree of efficiency in using O(6000 cores) –Serendipity: Design intended to support IE easily adapted to support EnKF for POP –Largest TeraGrid allocation (up to that time in 2009) of 35M SUs

12. Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations CMMAP COLA participants –Stan, Kinter NSF Science and Technology Center at CSU –Center for Multi-scale Modeling of Atmospheric Processes, D. Randall (PI) Demonstrated improvement of coupled model (CCSM) simulation with explicit representation of clouds, despite very low resolution of host model (T42 CAM) PRAC – Blue Waters COLA participants –Stan, Kinter NSF Petascale Research on Blue Waters –~320K cores IBM Power7 system at NCSA (Illinois) –Partners: –NCAR (Loft et al.) –Center for Multi-scale Modeling of Atmospheric Processes (D. Randall, R. Heikes) –U. Miami (Kirtman) –UC Berkeley (Collins, Yelick)

13. Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations http://adv-model-earth-syst.org/

14. Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations The Athena Project

15. Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations Participants ECMWF –Mats Hamrud –Thomas Jung –Martin Miller –Tim Palmer (co-PI) –Peter Towers –Nils Wedi NICS –Phil Andrews (co-PI) –Troy Baer –Matt Ezell –Christian Halloy –Dwayne John –Bruce Loftis –Kwai Wong Cray –Pete Johnsen –Per Nyberg JAMSTEC/U. Tokyo –Chihiro Kodama –Masaki Satoh (co-PI, U. Tokyo) –Hirofumi Tomita (co-PI, JAMSTEC) –Yohei Yamada NSF –AGS: Jay Fein –OCI: Steve Meacham, Rob Pennington COLA  Emilia Jin  Jim Kinter (PI)  Larry Marx  Julia Manganello  Cristiana Stan  Tom Wakefield  Deepthi Achutavarier  Jennifer Adams  Eric Altshuler  Ben Cash  Paul Dirmeyer  Bohua Huang