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Published byLeslie Lenard Golden Modified over 9 years ago
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The Cost of a New Cycle
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Pricing is Shifting Another heated development cycle Construction went from non existent to explosive Impacts of this shift are reaching into all aspects of construction and driving up cost
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Pricing is Shifting Commodity prices are seeing upward pressure as demand increases (Copper, Steel, Lumber & Oil Based Products) Far reaching impacts…
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Pricing is Shifting Skin/Structure Finishes
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Pricing is Shifting Lender/Owner requirements have tightened Increase in the number of consultants and Inspectors driving up costs
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Pricing is Shifting Deals are more complicated now and take more time due to tightening of credit markets which has created more documentation & process for GC & Subs Green building efforts come with a cost
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Types of Construction Contracts GMP (Guaranteed Maximum Price) Cost Plus
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Types of Construction Contracts We generally utilize GMP Meaningful buyout savings on 2011 starts Buyout is getting more challenging
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Cost Impact April 2011 Start April 2012 Start 18% Hard Cost Increase
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Impact + 18% + 1%
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Cost Impact Labor has tightened both on the Subcontractor and GC side Market is adjusting for the increased demand on construction payroll & hiring is more complicated
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How do you hedge? Have local presence in each major market you are in (Development and Construction)
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How do you hedge? Treat subcontractors right Important that subs know your future pipeline Have a good pay cycle for subs
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How do you hedge? Subcontractors need assurance that project will go forward (Not another bid exercise) Lock in pricing as early as possible for the length of the project
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How do you hedge? Maintain discipline of consistent design decisions throughout project Minimizing potential change orders (brick colors, unit Finishes, etc.) Further plans are along = Less chances for surprises
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How do you hedge? Use and understand historical data on material pricing When possible, use same construction teams across similar asset class projects
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How do you hedge? Important that Developer, Construction Company & Partners have same expectations on final product up front Limit allowances when possible
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How do you hedge?
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Fund deals and do business with Developers/Construction Companies with a proven track record
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Questions?
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