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Voting 11/2/2011
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Clearly Communicated Learning Objectives in Written Form Upon completion of this course, students will be able to: – discuss and critically analyze political events in the United States government – understand and interpret the United States Constitution and apply it to present policy dilemmas. – assess the 2010 and 2012 elections without resorting to partisan bickering.
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Office Hours and Readings Chapter 5 Chapter 4 (110-129) Office Hours – Thursday 8-10 – Monday 8-10:30
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"The most accurate form of public opinion polling is the vote." Walter Dean Burnham
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VOTING IN THE CONSTITUTION It Says Very Little
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What The Constitution Says Article I Section 2 Article I Section 4
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Civil War Amendments 14 th - Male and 21 for federal elections 15 th - Cannot Deny on the condition of race or previous servitude
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17 th Amendment (1913) Senators will be elected by the people This Ends appointment by state legislature
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19 th Amendment Wyoming is the first state to grant women’s suffrage states cannot deny the right to vote on account of sex
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Recent Expansions 23 rd Amendment 26 th Amendment Expanding to win
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The Role of the States States still can control who votes as long as they do not violate the federal law Restrictions TodayToday
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WHO VOTES Three Big Things
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Factor 1: Age
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Age and Voting Older People vote more Why Curvilinear relationship!
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Factor 2: Education
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Education and Voting This is a linear relationship Why do better educated people vote more?
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Other Effects of Education
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Education and Age in 2008
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Factor 3: Income
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Income and Voting Wealthy people vote at higher Rates Related to education Lower Information Costs
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Other Factors Partisanship Previous Voting History
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WHY YOUNG PEOPLE DO NOT VOTE
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Registration
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Why Young People Don’t Vote Are Unfamiliar with the system- Are one step above Gypsies Have less formal and political education
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Low Social Capital Writings of Robert Putnam Are not connected to the community As a Result, have low interest in politics
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TURNOUT IN RECENT ELECTIONS High and low stimulus elections: The Saw-tooth Pattern
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Presidential elections Why Higher What is the Result- the exciting saw-tooth pattern
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Turnout in 2004 Higher than 2000, which was supposed to favor Democrats Why Higher Turnout Who it helped?
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Voter Turnout in 2008 130 Million voted, 61% which was the highest rate since 1968 Where was turnout up? – Best States – Worst States
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People expected more Voters in 2008 Only slightly higher than 2004 18-29 year olds did not increase greatly Why No increase?
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Turnout in 2010 Very Similar to 2006 A Smaller Electorate than 2008 42% overall
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Midyear Tends to be boring
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Low Motivation from The Left Every Democratic Group claimed responsibility for President Obama’s Victory Supporters wanted immediate policy change on their issue
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Who Voted GOP was more energized More conservative Older Whiter
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Groups most likely to vote Democratic stayed at home, and enabled the GOP to win at all levels
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