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Work and play: Disease spread, social behaviour and data collection in schools Dr Jenny Gage, Dr Andrew Conlan, Dr Ken Eames
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Metapopulation models Complicated word for something familiar. Population patches: lots of infection within a patch, less transmission between patches.
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Lots of people close together in the same place. Many susceptibles - ideal for an epidemic.
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Even within a small school, theres a lot of spatial structure… Class PlaygroundDining hallTravel … but how do different parts interact?
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Structure of Contacts: Building Networks Who mixes with whom?
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Drawing contact networks At our last research group meeting, we asked everyone to choose any two people in the room. PersonContact 1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh Well now plot this table as a contact network.
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PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh Drawing contact networks Julia Who is named most frequently?
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PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh Drawing contact networks Julia It helps to put people with a lot of links in the centre. Its also a good idea to work systematically.
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PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh Drawing contact networks Julia Who is named second most frequently?
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PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh Drawing contact networks Julia Ken
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Drawing contact networks Julia Who is named third most frequently? PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh
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PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh Drawing contact networks Julia Ken Andrew AliciaJosh
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Drawing contact networks Julia Who is named fourth most frequently? PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh
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PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh Drawing contact networks Julia Ken Andrew AliciaJosh Tom Johann
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Drawing contact networks Julia Weve got all the contacts now - is anyone missing? PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh
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PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh Drawing contact networks Julia Ken Andrew AliciaJosh Tom Johann Roberto
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PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh Drawing contact networks Julia Ken Andrew AliciaJosh Tom Johann Roberto Now we add the links for each person.
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PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh Drawing contact networks Julia Ken Andrew AliciaJosh Tom Johann Roberto Now we add the links for each person.
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PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh Drawing contact networks Julia Ken Andrew AliciaJosh Tom Johann Roberto Now we add the links for each person.
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PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh Drawing contact networks Julia Ken Andrew AliciaJosh Tom Johann Roberto Now we add the links for each person.
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PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh Drawing contact networks Julia Ken Andrew AliciaJosh Tom Johann Roberto Andrew and Josh have already named Julia, so these become MUTUAL LINKS.
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PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh Drawing contact networks Julia Ken Andrew AliciaJosh Tom Johann Roberto Andrew and Alicia have already named Ken, so these become MUTUAL LINKS.
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PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh Drawing contact networks Julia Ken Andrew AliciaJosh Tom Johann Roberto
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PersonContact1Contact 2 AliciaJuliaKen AndrewJuliaKen JohannJuliaTom JoshJuliaAlicia JuliaAndrewJosh KenAndrewAlicia RobertoJuliaKen TomJohannJosh Drawing contact networks Julia Ken Andrew AliciaJosh Tom Johann Roberto Johann has already named Tom, so this becomes a MUTUAL LINK.
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Drawing contact networks Julia Ken Andrew AliciaJosh Tom Johann Roberto The network is now complete, but moving Tom will make it easier to see whats going on.
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Drawing contact networks Julia Ken Andrew AliciaJosh Tom Johann Roberto We could usefully move Roberto also.
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Drawing contact networks Julia Ken Andrew Alicia Josh Tom Johann Roberto … and Andrew.
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Drawing contact networks Julia Ken Andrew Alicia Josh Tom Johann Roberto
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The completed network Julia Ken Andrew TomAliciaJosh Roberto Johann
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