Download presentation
Presentation is loading. Please wait.
Published byPhillip Chambers Modified over 9 years ago
1
2003 KBC Bank & Insurance Group Interim results at 30 September 2003 www.kbc.com Ticker codes: KBC BB (Bloomberg) KBKBT BR (Reuters) B:KB (Datastream) ISIN code: BE0003565737
2
Results third Quarter 2003 2 Interim results at 30 Sep 2003 Highlights Outlook Performance, insurance Performance, banking
3
Results third Quarter 2003 3 Third Quarter Highlights Average quarter 2002 In m EUR + 0% - 5% - 15% Relatively good performance (up 69 %) y-o-y + 69% + 15%
4
Results third Quarter 2003 4 Third Quarter Highlights Robust performance in Belgium Further improving level of costs in banking (ytd -5%) Pressure on interest margin reversed (Q/Q: 195 -> 210 bp) Low level of loan loss ratio (ytd 22 bp) and P&C (*) claims ratio (ytd 59 bp) Satisfactory result in most CEE markets ROAC (*) banking in Czech (CR) / Slovak republics (SR): ytd 17% ROAC for banking in Hungary: ytd 19% Improved performance by insurance operations (still limited scale) … but very poor performance of banking business in Poland (high loan loss provisions : 124 m in 3Q) (*) P&C : Property and Casualty insurance (**) Return on allocated capital
5
Results third Quarter 2003 5 Interim results at 30 Sep 2003 Highlights Outlook Performance, insurance Performance, banking
6
Results third Quarter 2003 6 Banking, income development Interest income : ytd 2% organic growth (margin : 6M 1.63% 9M 1.71%) Commission income : strong growth (capital-guaranteed funds) Lower trading income due to lower FX income and MtM of equity derivatives Considerable capital gains (ytd 196 m) on ‘free’ bond portfolio One-off ‘other income’ recorded in 2Q 02 and lower dividends Excluding capital gains, stable gross operating income despite difficult climate in 1H Total income -2% - 33% - 13% +16% -1% -30% - 12% Gross income ytd 9M 03
7
Results third Quarter 2003 7 Banking, expense development Belgium : Expenditures ytd : 5% (- 60 m) Headcount reduction : target of 1 650 FTE met in Oct 03 Central and Eastern Europe : Expenditures ytd: 1% (6 m) Headcount reduction : Czech Republic : 460 FTE (48% of target) Poland : new target of 1 000/1200 FTE Continuing cost control Cost/Income ratio 9M 03: 65% (65% for FY 02) 9M 03: 45 % Belgium 9M 03: 27 % CEE 2 461 2 782 2 757 2001 excl. KB Ytd expenses (m EUR)
8
Results third Quarter 2003 8 Cost control in Belgium Although Belgium is a ‘mature’ market, further improvement in performance can be expected Merger (almost) completed, full extent of cost savings in bottom-line as of 1H 04 Lower cost/income ratio ahead, thanks to: Greater use of bancassurance (acceleration in P&C and to SME segment) Reduction in product complexity in retail (possibly by up to 70%) (*) Outsourcing of transaction processing (payments) and IT (limited scale) (implementation in progress) Stronger pooling of back-office activities of Belgian group companies Various other co-sourcing scenarios being considered Screening of real-estate-related costs (*) e.g. by reducing the wide range of credit cards, travellers’ cheques, mortgage loans, savings certificates, …
9
Results third Quarter 2003 9 Banking, loan provisions Customer loan book Sept. 03 (1) Loss ratio 9M 03 (2) Belgium49.0 bn0.22% Hungary3.7 bn0.32% CR / SR5.9 bn0.45% Poland4.0 bn6.09% International 27.6 bn0.51% Total90.3 bn0.60% Intensive clean-up of loan portfolio in Poland Quarterly loan loss provisions (m EUR) Loan loss ratio 9M 03: 0.60% (0.55 for FY 02) (1) Gross loans (2) Specific provisions - annualized
10
Results third Quarter 2003 10 Retail banking in Belgium Ytd profit 145 m ( 189%), ROAC up to 10% from 3% Growth in income : ytd 6% (strong commission income and rebound in interest income) Cost reduction : ytd 5% Provisions (38 m EUR) remain low (16 bp on RWA (*) ) 2003 has seen a turnaround in Belgian retail on the back of robust commission business and cost savings Belgium 1 st home market +36% (*) Risk -weighted assets
11
Results third Quarter 2003 11 Banking in Central and Eastern Europe CR & SR : stable yoy in spite of pressure on margin, thanks to commission income and zero expense growth Hungary : income and volume growth more than set off pressure on margin Poland : difficult economic conditions and high loan loss provisions (195 m) (*) excl. minority interests, incl. 12 m provisions for KB related to 02 Satisfactory performance in Czech Republic,Slovakia and Hungary (though further improvement to be expected) Still basic restructuring work to do in Poland Central Europe 2 nd home market In m EUR (*) 9M 029M 03%ROAC 03 CR / SR 109112+3 %18% Hungary 1323+77 %19% Poland -37-138-- Slovenia -+ 5--
12
Results third Quarter 2003 12 Activities in Central and Eastern Europe Confidence in our strategy fundamentals : Satisfying year-to-date results in most markets (incl. insurance), excl. banking in Poland Within 6 months : all CEE affiliates (5 countries) operating in the EU Common shared optimism regarding rebound of economic cycle in ‘04 Refocusing : from ‘external expansion’ to ‘improvement in performance’ Adjustment of group governance model to encompass CEE affiliates. Key issues : Further increase in management and controlling capacity of KBC HQ Improved organization of transfer of know-how to CEE Strengthened central audit teams Central Europe 2 nd home market
13
Results third Quarter 2003 13 Addressing the challenges in Poland Capital base : strengthened (+ 666 m PLN (completed), KBC's stake up to 81%) Risk sensitivity : to be greatly reduced Credit risk policies redefined and credit decision authority reduced (completed) Cleaning up ‘historic’ loan book (195 m provisions ytd) Improving risk control and risk management Cost base : to be further reduced Centralizing back offices, strengthening HR and performance measurement Reducing headcount (driven by new central IT system) by 1000/1200 FTE, real estate expenses (15-20 %) and other tangible costs (5-10%) by ‘04 Disinvesting from non-strategic activities (Ukraine, Lithuania, PKB, Pension Fund,…) Market position : to be improved on the retail market (sales growth 10-15 %) Thorough customer segmentation in the nationwide network Transfer of KBC product know-how (e.g., in the field of AM) Acceleration of bancassurance efforts with WARTA Insurance Central Europe 2 nd home market
14
Results third Quarter 2003 14 Asset Management division Breakdown of retail funds Equity: 11% Bonds & MM: 13% Balanced: 12% Capital- guaranteed: 48% Profit contribution : ytd 84 m ( 4%) New capital-guaranteed funds : ytd 105 new mutual/unit-linked funds AUM : ytd 5% to 84 bn from 80 bn Retail funds (42 bn) : 4% Private assets (13 bn) : 4% Institutional & group assets (28 bn): 6% Profit contribution down slightly Belgium: 85 % Central Europe: 5 % Other
15
Results third Quarter 2003 15 Corporate banking : Profit contribution: ytd 140m 10% (ROAC 9%) Cost decrease ( 7%) due to strict cost control, mainly in Belgium / Western Europe No repeat of 2002 one-off revenues Provisions for problem loans (56 bp on RWA), mainly for the electricity sector in the US Market activities : Profit contribution: ytd 117 m 51 % (ROAC 14%) Very strong performance in money and capital market products Equity trading: still weak (break-even for KBC Securities at operating level) KBC Financial Products : satisfactory result but negative MtM for equity derivatives Corporate and investment banking Profit contribution : corporate banking and market activities
16
Results third Quarter 2003 16 Interim results at 30 Sep 2003 Highlights Outlook Performance, insurance Performance, banking
17
Results third Quarter 2003 17 P&C, underwriting result Exceptionally low level Premium income Combined ratio Very sound business, in ‘03 partly driven by upward trend in rates and in general by strong risk and cost discipline Premiums ytd 15% org. growth 99% 95% 94% Excl R/I 614 684 784
18
Results third Quarter 2003 18 Life business, underwriting result Quarterly net premium income Very strong growth (bancassurance-driven) 9M 02: 1816 m 1 050 m interest-guar. 766 m unit-linked 9M 01: 1 230 m 299 m interest-guar. 931 m unit-linked 9M 03: 1 991 m 1 369 m interest-guar. 622 m unit-linked 9M 03: 95 % Belgium 9M 03: 5% Central Europe Premiums ytd 9 % organic growth
19
Results third Quarter 2003 19 Insurance, investment income 9M 029M 03 Interest, dividend, rent 347 +0% Capital gains on shares (*) 13696-30% Total483443-8% Suffering from low bond yields (*) incl. write-back from provision for financial risk (15m in ‘03)and excl. value adj. for unit-linked products
20
Results third Quarter 2003 20 Insurance, non-recurring items In m EUR3Q 039M 03 Non-recurring result Value adjustments, shares-18-108 Transfer from equalization reserve-92 Non-recurring gains on securities-122 Transfer to provision for financial risks7-115 Other-2-8 Total non-recurring result-13-17 Value adjustments on shares offset by non-recurring income Provision for financial risks, balance : 100 m EUR
21
Results third Quarter 2003 21 Interim results at 30 Sep 2003 Highlights Outlook Performance, insurance Performance, banking
22
Results third Quarter 2003 22 Profit outlook Interest rate environment and general financial climate have improved. Economic outlook is more favourable. On the other hand, further loan losses in 4Q cannot be ruled out (credit review, Poland). Profit ‘03 expectation : at least the ’02 level (based on current information and assumption of stable stock market)
23
2003 Additional information
24
Results third Quarter 2003 24 Year-to-date results, detailed overview m EUR 9M 029M 03 %% Organic % Gross operating income4 9794 872- 2% - banking4 3384 231- 2% - insurance652640- 2%- 3% Administrative expenses- 3 133- 3 143+ 0% - banking- 2 782- 2 757- 1% - insurance-348-380+ 9%+ 7% Operating result1 8461 729- 6%- 5% - banking1 5561 474- 5%- 4% - insurance303260- 14% Loan loss provisions Value adjust., non-recurring, extraordinary and other results - 305 - 211 - 425 8 Pre-tax profit1 3231 274- 4%- 4%- 3% Taxes- 445- 318 Minority interests- 130- 96 Net profit747860+ 15%
25
Results third Quarter 2003 25 Contribution per business, year-to-date 744 747 860 Group result : 3/4 from banking, 1/4 from insurance +20% -2% Net profit in m EUR ROE banking : 11.1% ROE insurance : 16.3% ROE Group: 13.2%
26
Results third Quarter 2003 26 Year-To-Date Highlights In banking : high commission income (y-o-y +16%) and in 3Q strongly improving interest income. In insurance : high premium volume (y-o-y + 11%), but pressure on investment income. Zero cost growth y.o.y. In banking : cost level down 1%. Strong technical result in non-life : combined ratio 95.4% (excl. reinsurance : 93.8%). Relatively high loan loss provisions (425 m). Value impairments on shares (100 m, but offset). Solid solvency : 8.6% (Tier 1 - bank) and 318% (insurance)
27
Results third Quarter 2003 27 Main changes in scope of consolidation Impact (*) CSOB Insurance NLB Bank Full consolidation, retroactively to 1Q Equity method -0.4% +0.1% Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4 20022003 Ergo Insurance Krefima Bank Full consolidation Deconsolidation (previously full consolidation) (*) Impact on gross operating income Limited net impact of changes in consolidation (full consolidation, previously equity method) Q1 2004 Warta Insurance EXPECTEDEXPECTED
28
Results third Quarter 2003 28 Group, key performance ratios Sep 02Dec 02Sep 03 Cost / income, banking64.1%65.2% Combined ratio, insurance (*) 95.2%101.4%93.8% Solvency (Tier 1), banking8.3%8.8%8.6% Solvency, insurance (**) 305%320%318% Return on equity12.3%12.7%13.2% Growth in EPS (y-o-y)+0%+1%+15% (*) Excluding reinsurance (**) Including unrealized gains Getting closer to strategic objectives
29
Results third Quarter 2003 29 Areas of activity, profit contribution (*) Profit excluding minority interests Profit contribution (*) year-to-date Activitym EUR % ROACHeadlines Retail, Belgium328 m 30%15% - Strong commission and premium income - Improving interest margin (2.1% in 3Q) - Cost reduction in banking ( 5% y-o-y) - Low loan losses (16 bp/RWA) and low combined ratio P&C (92 %) Central Europe: - banking in CR/SR - banking in Hungary - banking in Poland -28 m 112 m 23 m -138 m - + 3% + 77% - - 2% +18% + 19% - - Strong commissions and zero cost growth in CR (although margin pressure and fewer one-offs) - Strong income growth in banking in Hungary - High loan losses in Poland (195 m) - Improvement in insurance (though limited scale) Asset management84 m 4 %- - AUM up 5% vs Dec 02 Corporate services139 m 11%9%9% - Successful cost control - Less one-off income (CLOs) and higher loan losses (US energy) - R/I out of the red Market activities117 m 51%14% - Fixed income: very strong - Equities: still weak but cost-cutting successful - Derivatives: satfisfactory (suffered from MtM) Strong rebound in Belgian retail. High adverse impact of Poland.
30
Results third Quarter 2003 30 Interest spreads in Belgium, banking Going forward, increasing market rates could fuel top-line growth Interest margin Spread on new loans
31
Results third Quarter 2003 31 Economic outlook Popu- lation Real GDP growth 10-y interest rate CPI change 20022003e2004eDec 03eSep 04e20022003e2004e Belgium10 m0.7%0.8%1.9%4.4%4.8%1.6%1.5%1.1% Czech Republic 10 m2.0%3.0%3.9%4.5%5.0%1.8%0.0%2.2% Slovak Republic 5 m4.4%3.5%4.2%5.1%5.4%3.3%8.2%6.0% Hungary10 m3.2%2.0%3.0%7.3%7.5%5.3%4.5%6.5% Poland38 m1.3%3.1%4.0%5.0%5.8%1.9%0.6%2.2% Source : KBC Asset Management, November 2003
32
Results third Quarter 2003 32 Value adjustments, investment portfolio Significant value adjustments in ‘02 and in 1Q 03 (offset in insurance business by non-recurring result) DJ Eurostoxx -223 -35 -220 125 -6
33
Results third Quarter 2003 33 Unrealized gains, investment portfolio In m EURDec 02Sep 03 % Banking book 1 7421 784+ 2 %+ 2 % Bonds1 6301 597 Shares113187 Insurance book 82174+ 112% Bonds497434 Shares-516-359 Real estate10199 Unrealized gains increasing, driven by upward trend of stock markets Balance of gains and losses
34
Results third Quarter 2003 34 Solvency 8.8% 8.6% 504% 320% 318% Banking business (Tier 1) Insurance business (Solvency margin) 564 m 668 m 612 m 3 868 m Solid solvency in both banking and insurance (no double gearing and no DAC) In m EUR
35
Results third Quarter 2003 35 Solvency KBC Bank 1993 / 2003 mandatory convertible bond Conversion, 30 Nov 2003 : Capital increase: ca. 8.1 m new shares (*) (not dividend-entitled for ’03) Impact : Lower interest charges (12.2% for ‘03) EPS ‘04 dilution, ca. 1.5 pp Tier 1: ca. + 30 bp Free float : ca. + 1% (*) Based on outstanding MCB at 30 Sept. 2003
36
2003 KBC Bank & Insurance Group Investor Relations Office - tel.: +32 2 429 4916 E-mail : investor.relations@kbc.be Press Office - tel.: +32 2 429 8545 / 6501 E-mail : viviane.huybrecht@kbc.be stef.leunens@kbc.beinvestor.relations@kbc.be
Similar presentations
© 2025 SlidePlayer.com. Inc.
All rights reserved.