Download presentation
Presentation is loading. Please wait.
Published byTheodora Moore Modified over 9 years ago
1
EU Economy – Lessons Learned by a Newcomer: Romania Wednesday, 28 September 2011
2
Romanian economic developments in the European context London, September 28, 2011 Radu Şerban
3
Romania and UK – strategic partners
10
In July 2011 only 4.7 %
11
Minimum wages Romania 268
12
Source: UNCTAD Report July 2011
14
BP plans a new gas pipeline: SOUTH –EAST EUROPE PIPELINE, a possible alternative to Nabucco September 26, 2011
15
If you want to find enthusiastic Europeans come to Bucharest! BBC4, 19 Sept. 2011
19
EU Funds
21
TOURISM – huge potential
22
Convergence criteria for eurozone Inflation rate GovernmentGovernment financesfinances ERM II ERM II membership Interest rate annual governmen t deficit to GDP governmen tdeficit GDP gross government debt to GDP government debt GDP Refere nce value No more than 1.5 percentage points higher than the average of the three best performing member states of the EU max 3.0% max. 3%max. 60%min. 2 years not more than 2 percentage points higher than in the three lowest inflation member states max 6.4% 8% in 2010, 3% target 2011 6.4%, 3 % in 2012 30.8% 0 years, but constant X rate in the last 2 years 6.4% Target: to meet criteria in 2015
23
Exchange rate in Euro
24
National Bank of Romania, estimates Annual rate of inflation – red line
25
Current account balance % of GDP Including reinvested profit NCP prognosis
26
Total Risk Index: credit trends, loan/deposit ratios, debt levels,` current account balances, exports, and FX reserves Source: UBS, December 2010 Romania, between Switzerland and Germany
27
Romania’s sovereign rating by CRAs FitchMoody’sStandard & Poor’s Investment grade July 2011: upgraded from BBB- to BB+ Baa3BB+ FT July 5: Stefan Wagstyl
28
Romania: National Reforms Program 2011 – 2013 (published April 2011) Main objectives: Resuming the growth and creating new jobs Sustainable public finances Protecting the vulnerable categories of population etc. Major targets GDP growth 1.5% in 2011, EBRD: 1.9%; 3.8%/2012 Inflation 4.8 % in 2011 and ≤ 3 % next year C/A deficit -4.3% Budget deficit -3% in 2012 Government debt/ GDP 30.8% Qualitative elements: A factor driven economy An innovation driven economy FromTo
29
Romania and UK – strategic partners
30
FT, Sept 15, 2011
Similar presentations
© 2025 SlidePlayer.com. Inc.
All rights reserved.