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The Media April 25, 2013
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Opportunities to discuss course content Today 11-2 Monday 10-2
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Learning Objectives Evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of how presidential and congressional elections are financed. Identify and describe the formal and informal institutions involved in the electoral process
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Readings Chapter 7: Political Communication and the Mass Media (Flanigan)
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Horse Race Coverage What is it? What does it contain Why?
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Following The Polls
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The keys to horse race coverage Polling Perception No issues
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Horse Race Dominated the Primaries
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HORSE RACE COVERAGE IN THE PRIMARY ELECTION
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Component I: Categorizer Sorts the candidates into winners and losers Creates an Image for the candidate Romney Obama
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Component II: Expectation Setter Puts odds on the candidates You want to be at the top… duh But it isn't as good as you might thinkthink
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Component III: Mentioner You want the media to notice you Not all press is good press Mentions mean money and votes
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Component IV:Winnowing The Press Winnows (narrows) down the candidates Attention is on Iowa and NH Frontloading is the results
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Winnowing In 2012
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DEBATES
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Presidential Debates A Recent Phenomenon General Strategies Do not screw upscrew
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Why Candidates Like these A chance for exposure A chance for Legitimacy A chance to move in the polls
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Presidential Debates Who Wins (the leader in the polls) The Person who doesn’t make a mistake Does it matter?
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Presidential Debates Win by not losing What don't you want to do? – The 1960 DebateDebate – Seem heartlessheartless – You are no Jack KennedyJack Kennedy – Eastern Europe is Free Eastern Europe is Free – Adm. James Stockdale Blind, Deaf, Dumb BlindDeafDumb
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Impact of the First Debate on Coverage
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THE GENERAL ELECTION
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2012 vs 2008
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Less Horse Race than 2008
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Obligatory Chad Long Dig
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Negative Coverage Dominates
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Horse Race Coverage Favors Frontrunners
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The Media Missed Palin
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THE MEDIA STRATEGY
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The Media Strategy Getting the Message Out – Paid Advertisements – Free Press You campaign for votes and you campaign for media by getting free coverage Avoid cannibalizing
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Getting Free Press Having your message get covered by the media You can reach a wide audience and It is not costing you money This is fully mediated
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Obama Gets More Coverage (President + Candidate)
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Maximizing Free Coverage Create a package Convey a winning message Shape an Image
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Maximizing Free Coverage Don’t Say too Much Repeat the Few Basic Points Bad Press is Bad Press
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Ask Herman Cain about Bad news
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PAID MEDIA IN 2012
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Paid Media Unmediated Control the Message More outlets than ever
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A Record Breaking Year 1 million ads were aired Both Sides were overwhelmingly negative Obama Spent more and Ran More Ads The Best AdsAds
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Herman Cain Bizarre Ads The Rabbit Smoking
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Targeting Ads and their Effect Uncommitted voters vs Partisans When are they Most Effective? Ads are a sign of political viability
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Candidate Credibility We have to trust the messenger Issue Ownership Try to focus on your best issue
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Getting More Votes Delivering a positive message about your candidate (mobilizing) Deliver a negative message about the opposition (mobilizing/demobilizing)
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Biographical Ads Inform us about the Candidate Very important early in the campaign Obama doesn’t need to run these….
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Issue Ads Focus on a specific issue or a policy area Associate yourself with favorable policies Do not mention issue weakness
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Examples of Issue Ads The Bear in the Woods in 1984Bear Mike Huckabee and Chuck Norris...Chuck Norris Hillary Clinton- Attack/Issue AdAttack/Issue Ad
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Attack Ads The Norm Rather than the Exception The Mother of all Attack AdsMother
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The Effect of Attack ads on voters Some voters become disenchanted and disaffected Your Base Loves them!
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How Effective are these If they didn’t work, candidates wouldn’t run them The Lessons of 1988 – The Revolving DoorDoor – Willie HortonHorton
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Why They Work and Who uses them more We don’t trust politicians They are more memorable and informativememorable Challengers and vulnerable incumbents use them
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How To Deal with them Defend the ChargesCharges Counterattack on the same issue or up the ante- The Puppy AdPuppy Attack the Credibility of your opponentCredibility
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How not to deal with them Do Nothing If you get Punched in the nose, you must punch back
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How the attack can backfire If you are seen as being too evil
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Ads Can Backfire You do it too late to make a difference You bring a knife to a gun fight
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The New Media Innovative in 2008 Candidates had a lot to like They didn’t like the anarchy
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Social Media in 2012 No new Innovations Obama Retains the social media advantage More Control More negative
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You have No Friends on Social Media
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