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Scenario Planning for Albuquerque Metropolitan Planning Area – Integrating Land Use and Travel Demand Model and the Application of Policy Levers 15 th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Tuesday, May 19 th 2015
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Key Contributors Chowdhury Siddiqui – Land Use/Travel Demand Modeler, MRCOG Eddie Janowicz – Synthicity
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Albuquerque Metropolitan Planning Area 3 Counties 2 Urbanized Areas 19 Incorporated Places 13 Pueblos/Tribal Lands 900,000 People 400,000 Jobs
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Scenario Planning Process Futures 2040
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Conceptual Scenarios
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Trend Existing plans and policies Existing zoning Fiscally constrained roadway and transit networks Mid-Region Council of Governments of New Mexico
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Modeling Environments
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Integrated Model Flow UrbanSim 2012 - 2025 Cube 2025 UrbanSim 2025 - 2040 Cube 2040 Performance Measures
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Policy Levers ZONING
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Scenario Evaluation Mid-Region Council of Governments of New Mexico
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Network Performance
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Sustainability Measures
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Commuting Measures
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Scenario Refinement 1.Pursue a Hybrid Approach 2.Make a Bigger Impact
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Policy Levers ZONING INCENTIVES PREFERRED SCENARIO
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Preferred – Zoning
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Preferred – Incentives Key Transit Nodes Attraction of 87 points Key Activity Centers Attraction in 21 zones Centers enhanced with Tiered Approach
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Reasonableness and Sensitivity Testing TestEmploymentResidential Test 1 (base case)0.0 Test 21.0 Test 31.5 Test 42.0 Test 53.0
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Model Results
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Mid-Region Council of Governments
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Roadway Performance Systemwide Speed Hours Traveled Miles Traveled
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Commuting Measures Mid-Region Council of Governments of New Mexico Average Commute Time River Crossing Trips
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Sustainability Measures Mid-Region Council of Governments of New Mexico
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Board Approved Trend & Preferred Continued desire to make a larger impact
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Mid-Region Council of Governments Questions How much is enough? *** A predictive land use model may temper stakeholder aspirations, but it provides important information for decision-makers regarding the relative magnitude of investment that may be required in targeted locations…
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