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Analyst: JohnPaul Bennett and Ron Sivick Thursday, September 24 th, 2009.

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Presentation on theme: "Analyst: JohnPaul Bennett and Ron Sivick Thursday, September 24 th, 2009."— Presentation transcript:

1 Analyst: JohnPaul Bennett and Ron Sivick Thursday, September 24 th, 2009

2 Stock Price $51.82 (as of 09/23/09) 52-week range $34.33 - 59.22 Market Cap $209.02 billion (Large, value stock) Beta 0.87 IMP Portfolio currently holds 0 shares of CHL Current Stock Price Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro

3  Sector: Telecommunications  Industry: Wireless Communications  China Mobile Limited provides mobile telecommunications and related services primarily in China, Hong Kong, and internationally  It offers mobile voice services, such as:  local calls  domestic long distance calls  international long distance calls  intra/inter-provincial roaming  international roaming  voice value-added services  The company also engages in data businesses, which include short message services, wireless application protocol, and multimedia messaging services, and provides various data products, such as java applications, IVR, and PIM  In addition, it offers agricultural information services  As of December 31, 2008, it had approximately 498 million subscriber base Company Overview Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro

4 Intrinsic Valuation 3 Stage Dividend Discount Model $159.13 Undervalued (CP<IV) Current price =$ 51.82 (09/23/09) Intrinsic Value =$159.13 Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro

5 Valuation Ratios StockS&P 500 P/E12.218.9 P/B2.92.2 P/S3.21.1 Dividend Yield %3.22.3 StockS&P 500 Forward P/E12.116.3 PEG Ratio0.81.8 Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro

6 Key Statistics Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro

7 Key Statistics cont. Experts opinion on the industry: Buy or Hold Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro Current Ratio1.281

8 2 Yr Price Performance of CHL vs. Competitors Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro

9 5-Year Comparison with S&P 500, Shanghai SE Composite, and CHU Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro

10 S trengths W eaknesses O pportunities T hreats  Prominent mobile telecommunications player  Growth through acquisitions  Strong financial performance  Declining key parameters  Lack of broadband services  Strategic alliance with SOFTBANK Corp and Vodafone International  2010 Shanghai Expo  3G technology  Intense competition  Limited spectrum allocation  Stringent government regulations Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro

11 “…far ahead of its nearest competitors. Additionally, a strong balance sheet, strong free cash flow and sustainable dividends facilitate the company's efforts to weather economic volatility…” –Zacks.com “There is much more room for growth. Many rural areas of China are not deeply penetrated, and the country’s overall wireless penetration is only about 50%. China Mobile is advancing into un-serviced areas.”- Seeking Alpha “China Mobile is the Goliath of the wireless communications industry in China… more than 70% market share in mainland China… those millions of customers provide recurring revenue year in and year out.” – Motley Fool “China Mobile has a perfect five-star rating on CAPS… a perfect dividend stock”- Motley Fool “Growth, financial health, and profitability received ‘B’ by Morningstar” Headlines and Reports Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro

12 Recommendations Long-term, value stock Rock solid financial statements Experts suggest fair value estimate is $63.00 and to sell @ $126.00 Durable for weathering economic volatility Strong government support Buy 60 shares of CHL @ 51.81 (price as of 09/23/09


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